Perrin Beatty is the president and CEO of The Canadian Chamber of Commerce, and he wants Canada to become a trading hub for China's renminbi or yuan. Why? Because China is Canada's second largest and fastest growing trading partner, because the renminbi ranks second among the world's most often used currencies, and because having a renminbi hub in Canada will give Canada and Canadian companies a competitive advantage. More on all of that in a moment.
NOVEMBER 2014. First, a word about November. It begins tomorrow. And it is shaping up to be a month in which the whole world may seem to be pivoting toward Asia. From the 5th to the 11th of November, China will host this year's concluding APEC meetings, with the Leaders' Meeting scheduled for the 10th and the 11th.
After that the action shifts to Brisbane - the capital of Queensland, Australia, on the Coral Sea. That will be the site for this year's G20 summit and related meetings from November 13 through the 16th.
There will be no breakthrough in the Trans Pacific Partnership negotiations this month -
Ambassador Froman has said as much - but with so many heads of state involved in these two very important events, there are bound to be big announcements of one sort or another. What will they be? We are not sure.
An APEC Anti-Corruption Agreement. The press today is suggesting there may be something on that.
An FTA between Australia and China. They have been negotiating for nine years, and November 2014 could be the month they wrap it up.
A Renminbi Hub for Canada. If Prime Minister Harper were to return to Ottawa with that in his pocket, he would win high praise from Canada's business community for bringing home the bacon.
MR. HARPER'S TRAVEL. Prime Minister Harper is going to China, but his plans have changed somewhat. He announced this past Monday that he would not be attending the APEC meetings, as he is determined to be in Canada for the Remembrance Day ceremonies on November 11th. That hasn't changed, but Mr. Harper will fly to China next week and will be there for some of the APEC events. According to the statement his office put out today, the prime minister will be in China from the 5th through the 10th of November.
A RENMINBI HUB IN CANADA. Clearly Mr. Harper and his Chinese hosts will have a lot to talk about and just possibly one of those things might be an RMB hub in Canada. The hope that that might be the case was the motivation for the report issued recently by The Canadian Chamber of Commerce on
"Doing More Business with China: Why Canada Needs A Renminbi Hub." The following quotes capture some of the argument of that report:
"What is a renminbi hub? ... It is a centre that is authorized by China's central bank to complete RMB transactions."
"The main immediate benefit is a potential boost in sales and profits for Canadian companies doing business in China. ... A recent survey by HSBC showed that 55% of Chinese businesses said they would offer discounts up to 5 percent to their trading partners for RMB denominated transactions."
"Because the bulk of Canadian exports to China are in highly competitive commodities with low profit margins, such as wood products, iron ore and coal, selling these goods in RMB can give Canadian companies the edge to beat out international competition." And because there is currently no RMB hub in the Americas:
"Canadian banks would have a significant first mover advantage in the Americas potentially capturing the market for RMB in the U.S. and Latin America."