The article by U.S. Trade Representative
Michael Froman in the current issue of
Foreign Affairs has already been widely quoted, as well it should have been. It is an important piece. Understandably, much of the writing about that article has focused on what he said about fast-track or trade promotion authority (TPA). After all, there is at least a chance that Congress will consider TPA legislation after next week's election, in the lame duck session. Ambassador Froman held his fire on TPA until the end of his Foreign Affairs article. We too will focus first on other things.
Our guess is that most of the readers of these pages will already have read (or will soon read) Ambassador Froman's article. So we'll keep these CliffsNotes fairly short.
The title of the article is
"The Strategic Logic of Trade: New Rules of the Road for the Global Market." In his opening sentence, Ambassador Froman declares: "For much of the twentieth century, leaders and policymakers around the world viewed the strategic importance of trade, and international economic policy more generally, largely through the lens of military strength." He continues:
"[T]hey now understand prosperity to be a principal means by which countries measure and exercise power."Today's featured quote from the economist and Nobel Laureate
Thomas Schelling shows up in the second paragraph. Dr. Schelling has been a prolific writer and is now a Distinguished University Professor Emeritus at the University of Maryland. We are not precisely sure where this particular quote came from. It is powerful by itself, but its immediate importance derives from its endorsement, its quotation by America's top trade official. And Ambassador Froman doesn't drop the point. He reinforces it, writing, for example,
"If anyone doubts the strategic importance of trade, consider Russia's reaction during the past year to the prospect of Ukraine deepening its trade ties with the West."America's trade agenda today is large and ambitious. Mr. Froman doesn't try to cover all of it but focuses on these four things:
The value of trade generally - the $2.3 trillion of U.S. exports in 2013 and the 11.3 million jobs they supported.
TPP, The Trans-Pacific Partnership, which "represents a main pillar of the Obama administration's broader strategy of rebalancing toward Asia."
T-TIP, The Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership, which, he writes, "presents an enormous opportunity to increase trade, potentially grow the economies of the United States and its European partners by hundreds of billions of dollars, and support hundreds of thousands of additional jobs.
AGOA, the African Growth and Opportunity Act, which "has become the cornerstone of U.S. trade policy with sub-Saharan African." The idea of renewing AGAO does enjoy broad bipartisan support in Congress, but it needs to be renewed. The current law expires next September. And
TPA, Trade Promotion Authority, a.k.a. Fast Track. On this possibly imminent topic, Ambassador Froman writes:
"Congress's involvement [in trade] could be further enhanced and institutionalized by the passage of trade promotion authority, which would allow Congress to guide trade policy by laying out the United States negotiating objectives, defining how the executive branch must consult with Congress about trade agreements, and detailing the legislative procedures that will guide Congress's consideration of trade agreements."