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Did Bernanke Go Far Enough?

Fox Business Network's Expert Fed Panel weighs in on Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke's speech on economic growth.

What does it mean for the US economy and the world after Bernanke said they will do whatever it takes to prevent another meltdown.
Watch as experts discuss the implications of Bernanke's recent speech.

Dear Members,

No one is sure where our market is going. Not even Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke.

This Friday, Bernanke gave a small boost to the market by vowing to do whatever it takes to revive the shaky economy. He reassured Wall Street that the central bank will act if "unexpected developments" cause the recovery to falter. This brought the Dow back above 10,000.

You can find the full speech by clicking HERE.

Bernanke confirmed again that the deep economic contraction had ended, and that we are seeing broad stabilization in global economic activity and the beginnings of a recovery.

Although the markets took a sigh of relief, albeit a very small sigh, this isn't the first time Bernanke has made reassuring statements about the economy. So while he sees no double dip, let's not forget that he also didn't see a housing bubble before it popped.

But we can't blame him. We have to remember that his words play an extremely powerful role in the reactions of the market. If his talks are overly negative and pessimistic, his words alone have the ability to cause another economic collapse. And no one wants that.

So let's cut the guy some slack.  Bernanke is a genius. While we can all talk about how to make things better, let's be real. The majority of us are not as smart as he is (this guy scored 1590 out of 1600 on his SAT.)  Despite his smarts, being the Federal Reserve Chairman is not an easy task. He has to find a way to tell the truth, without telling the truth.

But the truth is simple: We are still very close and playing a very tough balancing act to another market downturn.

The Double Take

Just days before Bernanke's speech, gold climbed once again while our favourite precious metal, silver, ended the week climbing over 5%. But what's interesting is the fact that gold started to retreat after Bernanke' s statement about the economy.

Investors' perception of gold relies heavily on the economic outlook of the US. While, for the most part, a strong economy should mean that gold prices should falter, that may no longer be the case.

We are in a completely different world now.

Gold and precious metals, such as silver, have been a safe haven for investors during times of economic uncertainty. It has been a preserver of wealth for thousands of years. But wealth is about how much money someone has. It's about how much Dollar, Yuan, Euro, or Rupees you own. Ultimately, it's about how much it's all worth.

So even if a slow recovery has begun, as Bernanke has mentioned, that doesn't mean gold should fall and the Dollar should rise. Even if the US Dollar eventually strengthens, it should only strengthen amongst other currencies (see the Human Metal).

You see, the US still has a lot of debt. More than it ever has. Just take a look at the rising US debt by keeping track of the US Debt Clock like we have over the past year (see the Human Metal, Another Shot at Glory, and It's Bigger Than Ever)

With that kind of debt, gold should have an even stronger place in preserving wealth. Even if the economy roars over the next five years, the US will still be busy paying back the trillions of dollars they borrowed from the Fed and from countries around the world.

That's why gold, and other precious metals, shouldn't really fall that sharply on strong US economic numbers. Not this soon into the so-called "recovery" anyway.

In fact, if you look into Bernanke's recent statement, he insured that:

 "Regardless of the risks of deflation, the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) will do all that it can to ensure continuation of the economic recovery. Consistent with our mandate, the Federal Reserve is committed to promoting growth in employment and reducing resource slack more generally."

In short, Bernanke said that the central banks will act if "unexpected developments" cause the recovery to falter. That means the spending of even more dollars. More borrowed dollars, that is. 

Either way, we are confident that the US economy is being held together through generous spending of borrowed money. So if we don't go into a double dip, its more than likely that this spending of borrowed money played a big role in preventing another downturn.

At the pace interest accrues on these trillion dollar loans, precious metals should move even higher when pegged against the US Dollar.

Now, if we do go into a double-dip, we already know that means precious metals will continue to climb. So either way, there is strong evidence to support that precious metals will continue their run, regardless of the economic outlook.

So the next time your parent's tell you that money doesn't grow on trees, you can tell them they're wrong. The US does it everyday...

Until next time,


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Casey Research

You'll Buy Gold Now and Like It!

Jeff ClarkBy Jeff Clark, Casey's Gold & Resource Report

I get this question a lot: "Should I buy gold now, or wait for a pullback?"

It's a valid question. For nearly two years, gold hasn't had a serious decline. There have been pullbacks, of course, but nothing assumption-challenging. In fact, since October 2008, gold's largest price drop is 10.6% (based on London PM fix prices), and yet the average of all declines since 2001 is 13% (of those greater than 5%). The biggest pullback we've seen this summer is 8.2%. Technically the summer's not over, but I'll admit I'm surprised we haven't had a better buying opportunity.

So, is now the time to buy? It depends on your honest answer to another question: "Do you own enough gold?" By "enough" I mean an amount that lends meaningful protection on your assets. By "meaningful" I mean that no matter what happens next - another financial blow-up, accelerating inflation, crushing deflation, war, a plummeting dollar, more reckless government spending - you won't worry about your investments.

Whether you should buy now is almost irrelevant if you don't already own a meaningful amount of gold. If you earn $50,000 a year, how is one gold Eagle coin going to protect you if the dollar plummets and sends inflation soaring? If your investable assets total $100,000, is your nest egg sufficiently protected owning two gold Maple Leafs? This is all akin to buying a $50,000 insurance policy for a $500,000 home.

Today we face the prospect of prolonged economic stagnation, and most governments are administering grossly abusive monetary policy as a remedy. While some of the consequences are already being felt, the full ramifications have not hit your wallet yet. But they will.

If you don't have at least 10% of your investable assets in physical gold, or at least two months of living expenses, you have your answer: Buy. Don't use leverage, don't borrow money, and don't buy with reckless abandon, but yes, get your asset insurance policy and tuck it away. And then start working toward 20% (we recommend a third of assets be in various forms of gold in Casey's Gold & Resource Report).

Back to the original question: should we buy now, or wait for a pullback?

The answer comes when you look at the big picture. If you pull up a 9-year chart of gold, what sticks out is that the price is near its all-time nominal high. One could be forgiven for thinking it looks toppy or at least ripe for a pullback. But I assert that the highs for gold have yet to be charted.

What will a gold chart look like after adding five years to it?

When projecting gold's potential price peak, there are many ways to measure it. Conservatively, gold reaching its inflation-adjusted 1980 high would have it topping around $2,400 an ounce. More radically, if the U.S. tried to...

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3 Reasons Stocks Get Downgraded - Zacks Investment Research

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Discover the 3 main reasons why Zacks #1 Rank stocks may get downgraded to lower ratings.

Let Steve Reitmeister answer one of the most frequently asked questions about the Zacks Rank by watching the video as he explains how a Zacks #1 Rank stock can get downgraded without any negative estimate revisions.

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Technical Trading with Harry Boxer

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Harry Boxer has more than 40 years of Wall Street investment and technical analysis experience, including eight years on Wall Street as chief technical analyst with three brokerage firms.

Watch the video as he walks you through his
technical analysis on Amedisys, Cree, FTI Consulting, JDA Software Group, Mindray Medical International, and a whole bunch of stocks he thinks you should be watching. To see more videos, Click Here.


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Forward-Looking Statements

Except for the statements of historical fact, the information contained herein is of a forward-looking nature. Such forward-looking information involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievement of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by statements containing forward-looking information.

Although the Company has attempted to identify important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially, there may be other factors that cause results not to be as anticipated, estimated or intended. There can be no assurance that statements containing forward looking information will prove to be accurate as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on statements containing forward looking information. Readers should review the risk factors set out in the Company's prospectus and the documents incorporated by reference.

Cautionary Note to U.S. Investors Concerning Estimates of Inferred Resources

This presentation uses the term "Inferred Resources". U.S. investors are advised that while this term is recognized and required by Canadian regulations, the Securities and Exchange Commission does not recognize it. "Inferred Resources" have a great amount of uncertainty as to their existence, and great uncertainty as to their economic and legal feasibility. It cannot be assumed that all or any part of an Inferred Resource will ever be upgraded to a higher category. Under Canadian rules, estimates of "Inferred Resources" may not form the basis of feasibility or other economic studies. U.S. investors are also cautioned not to assume that all or any part of an "Inferred Mineral Resource" exists, or is economically or legally mineable.

In This Issue
PotashCorp Board of Directors Rejects BHP Billiton's Unsolicited Offer
You'll Buy Gold Now and Like It!
Evolving Gold Reports First 2010 Assay Results from Rattlesnake Hills
3 Reasons Stocks Get Downgraded
Enbridge Launches Bakken Expansion Program Binding Open Season
Technical Trading Videos with Harry Boxer
Peregrine Discovers 6 More Kimberlites at Chidliak
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