Issue: #1625/12/2012
Hello and Welcome,

Welcome to the new Trizen Systems newsletter.  This will be the new format for discussing our algorithmic trading systems and other information.  Monthly updates will include Actual Profits/Losses, Commitment of Traders, Articles and Actual Trading screen shots. Pass this along to anyone that you feel would like to understand more about the financial markets, derivatives, and how to trade them successfully.

 

2013 BladeTrader: +25.13% vs. S&P 500: +14.55% 

 

HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS

 

2012: +25% vs. S&P 500 +13% 

2011: +7% vs. S&P 500 +0%

2010: +42% vs. S&P 500 +13%

2009: +49% vs. S&P 500 +23%

2008: +5% vs. S&P 500 -38%

2007: +20% vs. S&P 500 +4%

 


 

2013 May

 

A record falls and falls again and again...Where will this bull market take us?  1700?  20% in 2013?  The FED continues to pour money into the economy and continues to drive fixed income products to extremely low levels. There is no other place to put your money; however, when every news outlet says this bull market is just starting, it does make you wonder.

  

The market is firing all green at the moment and treasuries are holding up, but falling inversely now to the market.  Don't fight the tape; but if you have missed out on 4 years of this bull run should you pile in?

  

A lot of investors and commentators that have missed out blame the FED for such an inflated market.  Those that have been in the market say its valued just fine and its the cheapest in 50 years (in one article from the New York Fed: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-economists-stocks-cheapest-theyve-143322056.html)

 

 To put "cheapness" into perspective, its the stock market return minus the risk free return which in this case the risk free return is less than 2% (treasuries) which is negated if you take into consideration inflation (not excluding food and energy). So, you really have no choice but to be in the stock market even if your risk is to lose 50% of your money.

 

Its a horrible situation indeed.  Corporations have a major advantage and can be extra selective with employees and though sales seem to be falling, earnings are increasing?  Labor is cheap and the efficiencies that were created just to survive in the great recession are now paying huge dividends--employees are simply doing more with less.

 

In other words, its time to be cautious.  You have to be in, no matter what unless you want a negative return on your cash; but does that mean throw all your money into stocks if you haven't already done so? 

 

Lets take a look at the shell game the FED is doing with our currency.  They are buying in total roughly 4,000,000,000,000.00 in Quantitative Easing instruments. The U.S. is arguably the single largest holder of U.S. debt.  The funny thing about this is that we print money to pay the FED and SSA and then they give that money back to the U.S. government to pay down the debt!  Its an awesome display of fiat currency at work. 

 

All in all, we are in a massive bull market.  No question, but like all monster bull markets, they do come at a cost.  When professionals are in control of the markets there is little to no panic.  They know that markets will fluctuate and don't need to sell and so you will get shallow sell-offs and then consolidation and then another leg up. When everyone on the planet has to be in the stock market to get a decent yield, things aren't so managed when bad news hits.

 

Be on the look out for articles by major news papers that say "Everyone is in the stock market, brace for Dow 40,000" as this is a good sign that everyone is in the market and the slightest hiccup will have those some investors running for the door, because unlike the professionals, they actually need that money!

 

 

 

 

 

      

 

 

 

 

 

Moving, the Internet and More...

EddieZ

 I had an incredible difficult April.  We moved...yet again.  I am tired of moving.  I had no internet for nearly two weeks while switching providers and limited access to email and other items.  It was a frustrating two weeks and now my in-box is filled to capacity!  It will take me two weeks just to sort out the email.

 

All-in-all things are going well.  The algorithm is once again beating the S&P by nearly 10% and if we can get a pull back maybe we can push this even further.

 

Accounts are still being opened and things are moving forward.  I will be taking some time off after I get caught up on email and such. 

 

Sincerely,

 


Edward Zaremba
Trizen Systems, Inc.
  

 

In This Issue
Market Action
Blog Posts
 
BladeTrader Version 6.0 
Version 6.0 has been releasted
Quick Links
 

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