Slightly more Federal Reserve officials see the central bank waiting longer to start raising short-term rates. The latest projections highlight the central bank's plans to keep interest rates low long after it starts winding down its bond-buying program.
The Fed has held short-term rates near zero since December 2008 to help the U.S. economy recover from a severe recession. The projections call for the rates to rise only modestly when they do increase.
The unemployment rate fell steadily in 2013, falling to 7.0% from 7.9% in January. The decline represents steady hiring by businesses and a decline in the number of workers in the labor force.
Consumer spending rose 0.4 percent in December, compared with November when spending had increased an even stronger 0.6 percent, the Commerce Department reported Friday.
The Fed expects the economy to grow moderately in the Ninth District. Faster growth in North Dakota, where a boom continues in oil, gas drilling and production with the strongest gains expected in natural resources and mining (21 percent). Other areas of growth should be in construction (3.8 percent), leisure, hospitality (3.5 percent) and professional business services (2.5 percent).
Residential real estate markets continue to recover with increases in home sales, prices and construction. In Minnesota, the number of home sales increased 5 percent through November compared with a year earlier.
Rental housing has driven the construction recovery, and January was no exception. According to the Builders Association of the Twin Cities, there was a 15 percent increase in permits, a 51 percent increase in new units, and the best January since the housing bust.
Construction of single-family houses also was up, with a 15 percent increase over last year. Most of those permits were issued in Lakeville, Prior Lake and Woodbury, where more than 100 new houses were planned.
Wall Street Journal 12/18/13
The Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis - Fed Gazette 1/16/14
Minneapolis Star Tribune 1/31/14
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