ProtectingTop
Protecting Communities and Special Places
e-Newsletter, March 21, 2013

Responsible Drilling Alliance
                                               
      "Shale development is not about long-term
                 economic promise for a region."
                                 ~ Deborah Rogers 
                                                    

UPCOMING EVENTS
 
We All Live Downstream

An organizing skills workshop facilitated by Nathan Sooy of
Clean Water Action

Part 1: April 13, 10-4
Part 2: May 11, 10-4

UU Church of
Athens and Sheshequin
Athens, PA 

 

 
Unfrackable!

May 3-5, 2013
Crystal Lake Camps
Hughesville, PA

Early Bird Registration
through March 22


For more information or to register

Sharp
Sharp Top Hike
 
A Walk in the Loyalsock State Forest

Signs of spring were hard to find last Saturday and the view from Sharp Top even harder to see when several inches of snow fell during the hike. But nature's beauty shines through in all weather even if the sun doesn't, and hikers enjoyed seeing the forest once again dressed in white by the end of the hike.


Photo credits:
Richard Karp

In
In The News

Washington County Judge Unseals the Hallowich Case

The struggles of the Hallowich family were well known until a much-needed
settlement silenced
the family and a court order sealed the documents. Now, thanks to Judge O'Dell-Seneca, you can read just what happened. 

   
Read the State Impact article here that contains the complete set of documents.

The Resource Curse:

What does it mean for Pennsylvania?  

 

Much is said about the economic benefits shale gas extraction brings to our state, but with it comes pollution, decreased dairy production, damaged roads,strained social services, and the disappearance of affordable housing.
 

Read more about   

the boom and bust cycle here. 

 

We welcome your active participation and are in  
need of help for special events, publicity, research, and other projects.  
Contact us for details.
 

As a 501(c)(3) non-profit organization, RDA relies on donations for the important work we do. In order for RDA to continue its valuable education and advocacy outreach in 2013, please consider a tax-free contribution
to our efforts.

 

 

 



March
Join the March to Defend the Loyalsock State Forest!

Our friends at PennEnvironment have collected over 10,000 signatures calling for a public hearing on plans to drill in the Loyalsock State Forest. Join in a 12-mile trek from the State Forest to Senator Yaw's office in Williamsport to present the petition and tell Senator Yaw to Keep It Wild! Time is running out for this beautiful forest!

What:   March from Loyalsock State Forest to Senator Yaw's
             Williamsport Office
When:  Monday, March 25 at 9 a.m.
Where: Loyalsock State Forest (exact location will be emailed
              to participants)

     Can't do the whole march?
     Then join in wherever you
     can along the way to help
     Keep it Wild!


Yaw

 

Senator Yaw is "Well" Placed
BY RALPH KISBERG
 

State Senator Gene Yaw of the 23rd District, Chairman of the Environmental Resources and Energy Committee, recently sponsored a bipartisan resolution directing the Center for Rural Pennsylvania - whose board Yaw also chairs - "to study the demand for residential, commercial and industrial natural gas service in the state by collecting and    

analyzing information on the:

  • estimated demand in un-served and under-served areas of the Commonwealth;
  • estimated price consumers are willing to pay for access or conversion to natural gas service;
  • regional differences in consumer demand and willingness to pay for natural gas service;
  • relevant economic information on the costs and benefits to expand natural gas distribution infrastructure."

According to his website, Yaw has received numerous inquiries from

                                                Image: Ralph Kisberg
Flags fly on the drilling rig at the
                          "Gene Yaw Unit" well pad.
              
people "who want to
be able to benefit from this less expensive form of energy". The website also mentions that the N
atural Gas Expansion and Development Initiative would include encouraging governments to switch to natural gas to heat municipal buildings; offer incentives to school districts, colleges and hospitals to switch to natural gas and create funding alternatives to help extend natural gas into under-served areas.

 

The Senator may want to consider the perspective of Deborah Rogers on NG pricing as part of the study. (See the article in this issue). In case you missed Ms. Rogers' "Shale Gas and Wall Street" presentation, Econ 101, or the common sense gene, an increase in demand for a commodity such as NG, or the market perception that there will be an increased demand, can lead to an increase in price.  

 

For what its worth, a search of public records reveals the Senator, like many people in his district, does have some skin in the game, as the saying goes. In 2006 he leased 148 acres of land in Cascade and Gamble Townships in northern Lycoming County to Anadarko E & P Company, LP.

 

The lease was for a five-year term and included a bonus of $85 per acre. In August of 2010 a Declaration and Notice for a 640-acre Pooled Unit was recorded that included 99.40 acres of the Senator's property. Without seeing the entire file for each well, it is not clear when the first well in the unit was drilled, but it appears to have been in late fall 2010. In early 2011, Anadarko exercised an option to extend the Senator's lease for the same $85 per acre.

 

Drilling units are usually named after the owner of the property where the well pad is located. As the owner in this case is not a public figure, for our purposes let's just refer to the unit as the "Gene Yaw, Chairman of the Environmental Resources and Energy Committee, Unit" or the "Gene Yaw Unit" for short.

 

The Gene Yaw Unit makes a good case study for the progress of a typical drilling unit. The Pad is visible from Frymire Road and in passing by a few weeks ago, it was apparent that another well was being drilled. 

Permits for three wells in the Yaw unit are in place, as are permits for three wells in an adjacent unit to the north, accessed from the same pad. 

 

Four flags were proudly flying on the rig working on the pad: a Canadian flag, a flag representing the Edmonton Oilers Hockey Team, an American flag, and a green flag that was not unfurled enough to discern - Brazil? Greenpeace? Not sure what the flags represented, perhaps the allegiances of the drilling crew?  

 

One thing the flags did not represent was the nation of origin of the "Operator and Non Operator Parties" of the unit, as further research of county records revealed Anadarko E & P assigned a 50% interest in the leases in the Gene Yaw Unit to Chesapeake Appalachia, LLC in September of 2006. Chesapeake then assigned an "undivided" 32.5% interest to Statoilhydro USA Onshore Properties Inc. (Norway) in November of 2008. Anadarko later assigned 32.5% of its interest to the  

Japanese Company, Mitsui E & P USA LLC. Anadarko (USA, we think) is the operating party.  

 

It is old news that Chesapeake entered into an agreement with Statoil 

Image: Ralph Kisberg 

  for a 32.5% percentage of  

  their leases in Pennsylvania a few  

  years ago, and sometime in early

  2010, Anadarko did a similar deal  

  with Mitsui, but it is interesting to see

  it play out in filings in the Lycoming  

  County court house.  

 

  Deborah Rogers explains the   

  reasoning behind these deals very    

  well. If Senator Yaw is interested,  

  RDA will gladly drop off a DVD of her  

  presentation for him. He may be

  surprised to know that Ms. Rogers

believes NG prices will go up and stay up if industry plans for massive exportation of national NG production become a reality.  

 

Buried in the files received from a Right-To-Know-Law request regarding Anadarko's negotiations with the Pennsylvania Department of Conservation and Natural Resources on surface rights to the nearby Clarence Moore tracts in the Loyalsock State Forest was an anonymous handwritten note: "$3.25 may be break even price." As of March 19, the Henry Hub NG spot price was $3.96; up from $2.14 one year before - an 85.05% increase.

  

For more information on the intricacies of NG well operator deals, read Dory Hippauf's "America for S(h)ale" here


 

"Oil and gas companies are not in business to steward the environment, save the family farm or pull depressed areas out of economic decline. Oil and gas companies are in business to extract hydrocarbons as cheaply and efficiently as possible and get them to the customer that will pay the highest price."

                             

                             ~ Deborah Rogers

                                                       "Shale and Wall Street"


Rogers

Deborah Rogers presents "Shale and Wall Street" 

  BY ANN PINCA

 

RDA welcomed Deborah Rogers to the Williamsport Country Club on March 13 for a presentation of her new report, "Shale and Wall Street." Well prepared with facts, statistics and her subtle wit, the Texas native and seasoned financial consultant addressed the report's title question:"Was the decline in natural gas prices orchestrated?"

 

Image: Ann Pinca
Deborah Rogers answers one of many questions on the economics of shale gas drilling. 

Rogers maintained that shales should have unraveled after the 2008 economic downturn, but were instead were kept artificially alive by the "cheerleader" actions of investment banks. Noting similarities in Wall Street's handling of the shale industry through use of the same practices that lead to the mortgage crisis, Rogers explained how analysts helped to create the natural gas glut and subsequently benefited from the consequential price decline of natural gas.

 

Rogers discussed how an over-estimation of U.S. shale oil and gas reserves of anywhere from 100% to 400-500% created a "shale frenzy" that provided lucrative merger and acquisition deals on Wall Street. But over-leveraged companies obliged to meet the analysts' drilling production targets eventually created an overabundance of natural gas, causing prices to drop below production cost. Massive write-offs resulted, destroying profits for shareholders - though Wall Street still benefited nicely from commissions on asset sales made by debt-ridden operators.

 

The resultant natural gas glut has turned the oil and gas industry's hopes to shale gas exportation, where overseas market prices up to four times higher than domestic markets will provide a tidy profit for their product. As of November 2012, eighteen shale gas export permits were pending approval, representing the committal for export of approximately 60% of current U.S. natural gas consumption.

 

In Roger's words, exporting gas "changes the picture altogether" and will result in a lot more drilling once profits are realized.

 

Rogers also warned of the problems long-term export agreements could cause in view of supply issues. Recovery efficiency-the ability to harvest the gas-is significantly lower in unconventional shale plays than conventional gas fields, and shale wells decline quickly. Actual production data already points to a "drilling treadmill" that requires in the Marcellus some 561 new wells drilled each year just to keep production levels flat.

 

Rogers also discussed some of the realities of shale economics versus pro-gas industry claims. So far, economic benefits in each play have been short-lived, lasting generally from only two to four years. Rogers presented data showing that the annual median income in almost all core drilling counties across the U.S. falls below the respective state average. Contrary to the promises of vast employment, direct industry jobs have accounted for less than 1/20 of 1% of the overall U.S. labor market since 2003, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

 

Moving on to renewable energy, Rogers painted a brighter picture, citing statistics that show renewables provide significantly more jobs per kilowatt capacity than oil and gas. With unlimited energy production and no ties to international markets, Rogers asserts that renewable energy could truly provide U.S. energy independence.

 

One of Rogers' last slides was most revealing. The image showed a map covered with red dots so close together that much of the map appeared to be red. Each red dot represented a well pad of three to 24 wells.

 

"This is where I live, I'm sorry to say," said Rogers of her home near Fort Worth in the Barnett Shale. "This is what shale gas looks like when it really comes to town." According to Rogers, there are currently 18,000 wells in the Barnett Shale.

 

Rogers urges communities to look beyond the hype and understand the consequences and real numbers of shale oil and gas extraction. While there is an initial economic benefit, one must know how long it will last - and with what will you be left?

 

RDA thanks Deborah Rogers for her visit to Williamsport and for graciously answering questions long after her presentation ended. Keep current with Deborah Rogers by checking out her Energy Policy Forum blog here. 

 

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Responsible Drilling Alliance