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Ethanol Update: Production Down, Refiner Input Up, Stocks Up 
 
Produced by Ryan Ruikka

EIA Weekly Data: For the latest week of 9-Oct-15, ethanol production was 14.548 billion gallons annualized, down 15 mil gals from the previous week--and with a weekly residual error of 59 mil gals. Refiner input was 13.598 bil gals annualized, up 77 mil gals from last week, and the calculated inclusion rate for the 136.621 bil gals of mogas receiving ethanol was 9.95%. About 97.54% of all mogas (with 140.07 bil gals annualized) did indeed receive ethanol. Ethanol stocks were up 6 mil gals to 796 mil gals.
 
USDA's Oct 9th WASDE had 2014-15 corn to ethanol bushels up 2 mil to 5.207 bil bu.
 
Page 1 & 2 has 2015 YTD annualized average of EIA's weekly U.S. refiner and blender net inputs of fuel ethanol at 13.43 bil gals, that's up 305 mil gals from last year.
 
Page 3 has OPIS's 2015 Friday RIN prices all up nearly a cent or so and as of yesterday D6's are up one cent to 35.5 cents, D5's & D4's up 3 cents to 47.75 & 49.25 cents, respectively.
 
Page 4 has Nebraska Group 3 ethanol margins up 2.5 cents last week and this week they're nearly unchanged, falling only .5 cents, to 36.4 cents.

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Ryan Ruikka
Energy Analyst
The ProExporter Network
114 S. Main St. Suite 100
Chelsea, MI 48118
Off: 734-475-0454
Fax:734-475-0452

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The analysis above is not intended as a trade recommendation. The analysis and forecasts are based on available public data and on the best judgment of PRX, but cannot be guaranteed to conform to future reality.