SDSU
Rural Life Census Data Center

Newsletter   


February 2013
Mike w Neuhart
Dr. Mike McCurry, SD State Demographer &  Director of SDSU's Rural Life Census Data Center

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Uninsured in America

The Agency for Health Care Research and Quality has released Statistical Brief # 399 - "The Long-Term Uninsured in America, 2007-2010 (Selected Intervals): Estimates for the U.S. Civilian Noninstitutionalized Population under Age 65".  Despite the long name, it only 7 pages of data - describing the characteristics of the population that went without health insurance for long periods.

 

It seems like an analysis that will have value, regardless of the affordable care act.  A couple of the more significant findings were: "Adults ages 18 to 24 and 25 to 29 were the most likely to be uninsured for at least one month", and "Individuals reported to be in excellent or very good health status were the least likely to be uninsured for at least one month during 2009 to 2010."

 

At seven pages, this provides a lot of information that would have been nice to have a couple years earlier, but is still very relevant.

Mike McCurry, Ph.D.

Population re-categorization In Roberts County

In an effort to collect the most precise and correct information pertaining to the population, the Census Bureau formed the Count Question Resolution Program (CQR) in which state, local and tribal officials may contest the original 2010 Decennial count. With the understanding that geocoding or geographic boundaries for a housing unit or group quarters may be established incorrectly (and therefore presented in the wrong block), or mistakes may arise when processing the data; the CQR reviews challenges and rectifies any errors.

 

Recently the CQR made a change within Roberts County concerning the population count. Specifically, a correction was made regarding the Sisseton City and Sisseton Township totals. Sisseton Township changed from a total population of 453 to a total population of 483 while the city of Sisseton changed from a total population of 2,470 to a total population of 2,440. The change of thirty does not indicate a collection of new data, or a new count, but rather a reclassification from the city count to the township.

 

Mary Killsahundred-Research Assistant

Sociology and Rural Studies

School enrollment
and work status

In October, the Census released "School Enrollment and Work Status: 2011" (http://www.census.gov/prod/2013pubs/acsbr11-14.pdf ).   It's based on the American Community Survey - so we can't really take the data down to just SDSU, or anything very particular to South Dakota, but it does have some interesting data at the national level, and some hints at the state level.

 

It shows that over 20 percent of South Dakota undergraduates are working full-time when they attend college.  I doubt if that's a great surprise for any of us teaching here - but it is a heck of a statement (Massachusetts, Vermont, Rhode Island, Montana and Oregon have the fewest undergraduates working full time).  If you're interested in student work status, check it out.

 

Mike McCurry, Ph.D.

Violent Crime Rates 

World Life Expectancy has posted violent crime rates, by state, at www.worldlifeexpectancy.com/usa/violent-crime-offensesFrom the same page, you can also see their posts on motor vehicle death rates and firearms death rates.  It's kind of nice to have this sort of data available - with the ease of electronic publishing and the amount of data available, I'm seeing both sides of some issues picking their data to show correlations that, while real, don't show the entire story.

 

I'd encourage everyone to check my comments (and anyone else's) - the chart shows that the violent crime rate is about 4 ½ times as high in Washington D.C. as in South Dakota, the firearms death rate is 1.8 times as high in DC, but the motor vehicle death rate is 2.74 times as high in South Dakota than it is in DC.  I might feel safe in offering speed and distance traveled as the reasons for DC's lower motor vehicle death rate - but it's more responsible if I just share access to the data.         

South Dakota  

State Data Center Affiliates

Black Hills Council of Local Governments

Central South Dakota Enhancement District

First District Association of Local Governments

Governor's Office of Economic Development

Karl E Mundt Library

Labor Market Information Center

Northeast Council of Governments

Northern State University

Planning & Development District III

Rural Life Census Data Center

Sioux Falls Planning Department

South Dakota Department of Health

South Dakota Kids Count

South Dakota State Data Center

South Dakota State Library

Southeast Council of Governments
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FactFinder Made Easy
There's a new main page for Factfinder at the Census Bureau - http://factfinder2.census.gov/faces/nav/jsf/pages/index.xhtml  I'm hoping it will be a bit more user friendly with the additions.  At the top of the page there's a spot labeled "community facts" where you can type in the name of your community, and gain specific data relatively easily.  It covers larger places - for example, information on Winner is easy to obtain, but Ideal won't show up.
 

The Guided Search option is new, and seems good to me - but I'm not sure that I'm a good test subject.  If you give it a shot, and you're not used to using factfinder, please let me know if it's as helpful as I think it is.  It's one of those features that is best tested by beginners.

 

The advanced search section is the same factfinder that we've been using for the past couple of years - or at least I didn't spot any differences.

 

If you're new to factfinder, give it a try. 

Mike McCurry, Ph.D

A Different Look at Retirement  

The other day, we got the question of how many South Dakotans retire each year.  It seemed like a good question - it is a good question - but we've learned that it's hard to answer.  

 

After several hours of searching, I realized that I'm part of the problem - technically, since I receive a small annuity from Montana's Teacher Retirement, I retired in 2009.  On the other hand, I remain in the workforce, so I'm not retired.  On the third hand, my research showed that nearly three fourths of folks eligible for social security retire at age 62.  In short, by researching the topic, I learned that retirement isn't all that well defined.

  

On the other hand, the Census bureau has released " Labor Force Participation and Work Status of People 65 Years and Older" this month (http://www.census.gov/prod/2013pubs/acsbr11-09.pdf ).  It's just six pages, and all national level data, but does show some interesting trends on an aging American workforce.  One table in the release shows the greying of the American workforce:

Retirement Labor Force Chart

It's only a six page read - but the trends look fairly significant.

 

Mike McCurry, Ph.D.

Adolescent Victims and Perps 
The Department of Health and Human Services has released "Child Maltreatment 2011"  (http://www.acf.hhs.gov/sites/default/files/cb/cm11.pdf ).  This is no small document at 251 pages, and it has state level data that is extremely comprehensive.  While it isn't a fun read, or an easy one, it's a valuable reference - we have a tendency to look at child maltreatment with horror, and actually understanding the population involved does help us understand whether or not more staffing, or more laws would make a difference. 

 

Table 4.2. shows child fatalities - and I'd prefer to see South Dakota's numbers replaced by Montana or North Dakota's.  There are a lot of tables that show victims and perps - if you're working with child maltreatment data, you should probably keep this one around.

 

Mike McCurry, Ph.D.

 

Adolescent Drug Use  
National Results On
Adolescent Drug Use: Overview of Key Findings: 2012
(http://monitoringthefuture.org/pubs/monographs/mtf-overview2012.pdf ) is available.  This study, sponsored by Sponsored by The National Institute on Drug Abuse at The National Institutes of Health, fills 90 pages with tables and data.

 

If I were to give a capsule review, it would be that Marijuana use continues to grow, LSD has gone down, and Vicodin/Percocet misuse seems to be dropping as new regulations and controls are being recommended.  (I am really glad to deal with numbers rather than policies).  At any rate, if adolescents and drug use is a topic of interest, the current data is available.  The trends really are too inconsistent to make a simple condensed version usable.

 

Mike McCurry, Ph.D.

Changes in Sex Ratio
We received an interesting question from a math teacher - in his youth, he had been taught that 1.05 was the sex ratio for the human norm at birth - but he had seen 1.06 as a more recent number, and was surprised that there would be a change with such a large sample.  One of the nice things about the State Data Center is that we sometimes get some fairly obscure questions.  Occasionally, the questions are very interesting.  With a little research, we found two articles that deal with the changes.

 

The first, at http://www.nrlc.org/Sex-SelectionAbortion/UofCTPrenatalDiagnosisStudy.pdf offers an interesting article that concludes "The male to female livebirth sex ratio in the United States exceeded expected biological variation for third+ births to Chinese, Asian Indians and Koreans strongly suggesting prenatal sex selection."  It's interesting, finding this sort of possibility to explain a 0.01 change.

 

A second article at http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC102777/  shows changes in the sex ratio when births were analyzed in terms of north and south - but the results were the opposite when the study looked at both North America and Europe "In Europe, significantly more male babies were born in southern latitudes than in northern latitudes, whereas the reverse was found in North America. We are unable to explain these findings, which do not support a temperature related effect."  It's a great correlation, but I wouldn't use the data for family planning.

 

Mike McCurry, Ph.D.

 State Demographer/Assistant Professor
Self-Employment Changes
The Census has just released " Changes in Self-Employment: 2010 to 2011" (http://www.census.gov/prod/2013pubs/acsbr11-21.pdf ) . This brief (6 pages) is compiled from American Community Survey data, shows that, during 2010 and 2011 self-employment numbers dropped across the nation.  Locally, in South Dakota, the data demonstrate the challenges of using the American Community Survey in areas with small population - it shows that the change in the number of employed is 6,429 - but the margin of error is 6,541.  For national statistics, this is a useful brief.

 

Mike McCurry, Ph.D.  

How Helpful is  
Body Mass Index? 

As I went through the University's health screening, the nurse confidently explained that since I had scored over 30.0 on the Body Mass Index, statistics showed that I am obese.  I didn't shake her confidence when I explained that the index becomes far less reliable as it moves away from the mean.  She explained that the government accepted it, and that I should too.

 

What she didn't realize is that the equation has been around since 1832 - when it was published as Quetelet's Index.  Adolphe Quetelet was an early sociologist, statistician, and demographer.  Congressman Garfield (later to become President) consulted with Quetelet on ways to improve the US Census.   

 

Quetelet was one of us - not part of the medical profession. He developed the equation not to measure obesity, but to find the characteristics of  norm, the average man.  He didn't care if the index lost accuracy at the extremes - Quetelet's Index was developed to gauge the middle, not the tails.

 

In 1972, a gentleman named Ancel Keys cabbaged Quetelet's Index and renamed it "The Body Mass Index."  (Some of my older readers may appreciate Keys' earlier accomplishment as the man who developed K rations.)  At any rate, Quetelet developed an indicator to find the norm, Keys changed the name, and used the same equation to measure the extremes.

 

Personally, I've found the MBB index more helpful in reminding me that its time to lose weight - My Belt Buckle.  If I can't see it, I need to do something.  If you'd like to learn more about Adolphe Quetelet, the article "Adolphe Quetelet (1796-1874)-the average man and indices of obesity" is at http://ndt.oxfordjournals.org/content/23/1/47.full.pdf+html .

 

Mike McCurry, Ph.D.

State Demographer/Assistant Professor

Department of Sociology & Rural Studies

South Dakota State University
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We hope you enjoy this issue of the Rural Life Census Data Center newsletter. If you have any news tips or items that you would like to see included in a future newsletter, let us know at: 605-688-4899 or email: michael.mccurry@sdstate.edu