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July 28, 2014
Dear Ward Systems Group Product Owner:

Here's the latest from Ward Systems Group.

ChaosHunter Models Built with Ict Renko Bars

Generate Winning Trades 

by Marge Sherald, CEO

In our last newsletter we introduced the InterChart Tools Renko Bars Add-On for NeuroShell Trader that is sold by Ward Systems Group on behalf of Richey Enterprises, the developer of the InterChart Tools 1 and 2 Add-Ons.  
 

Richey Enterprises has developed an entirely new concept in Renko bars - optimizable Renko bars based on price, volume, or a combination of both, that may be customized for each security.   The result is that your trading systems are based on less noise and subsequently generate more precise trading signals.  
 

Bars that contained less noise sounded like the perfect modeling clay for ChaosHunter, so I created a chart in NeuroShell Trader for the Mini Size Dow with a size of 1 range bar.  Then I added the Ict Renko Open, High, Low, and Close Bars and exported the data for use in ChaosHunter, along with the Open, High, Low, and Close data from the 1 Range Bar base chart.
 

ChaosHunter found this simple formula after only a short optimization period:
 


 

 

 

 

After importing the trading signals from ChaosHunter back into NeuroShell Trader, we generated the Trading Strategy below, which continued to perform well in the out-of-sample period.
 


 

The optimization period chosen for the ChaosHunter model displayed a variety of up and down movement, so that made it ideal to create a model that held up in the out-of-sample period.  The chart above displays the ChaosHunter trading signals in a NeuroShell Trader chart.

 

Future Work

The Ict Renko Bars exported from NeuroShell Trader were based on 1 tick per up bar and 1 tick per down bar, so the bars did not take advantage of the ability of the Ict Renko Bars to differentiate between up and down price jitter.  The next step would be to include the bars in a simple Trading Strategy in NeuroShell Trader that would be optimized in order to determine the appropriate tick up/tick down settings for the security of interest.  In other words, marry your trading system to the correct bar size of the security you want to trade.  

 

Those settings could be used when exporting the bars for use in ChaosHunter. 

 

The InterChart Tools Renko Bars Add-on for NeuroShell Trader sells for $695.  You need NeuroShell Trader Professional, DayTrader Professional, Trader Power User or DayTrader Power User 6.4x beta
or higher to use the InterChart Tools Renko Bars Add-On.  To learn more, visit InterChart Tools Renko Bars Add-On.  

 

 

 

Offer ends July 31, 2014.   

 

 

  

ChaosHunter Templates Save Time Building Models
by Marge Sherald, CEO

If you build many similar ChaosHunter models, you might want to store your preferred optimization settings in a ChaosHunter template to save time when creating models for new data files.

 

Once you've loaded a data file, you can create a template in three easy steps.

 

1.  Select Inputs and the Output 

Select the inputs that you want want to use in your model, and then select the column that you want to be used as the output. 

 

2.  Choose Optimization Settings

On the Optimization tab, choose either Evolution Strategy or Swarm optimization, a population size (larger populations take longer to optimize) and a random number seed used to begin the optimizer.  In the Stopping Criteria section, you can either select a number of generations without improvement, or just a certain number of generations.  You may also leave the Stopping Criteria blank and then manually stop optimization.

 

In the Optimization Goals function section, you can check one of the options that begin with Maximize R-squared for general purpose problems.  If you're building trading models, choose either buy/sell cutoff (which builds a prediction and uses a threshold to make a buy/sell decision) or buy/sell true/false.  This goal is like buy/sell cutoff described previously, except that buy signals are generated when the formula is true (non-zero) and sell signals are generated when the formula is false (zero).  Add any other option to customize your trading system.

 


 Choose the optimization settings you want to use in your template.


 

3.  Select Potential Model Functions

On the Formula Tab, select the Formula parameters and Operations you usually use for the type of model you are building.   Also decide whether you want to include the Chaos Input in your model.


 


 

Save the Template

Once you have made all of your selections, go to the ChaosHunter File menu and choose Save Template, which brings up the standard Windows file interface for naming the template and saving it on your computer.  The default directory is c:\ChaosHunter\Template and the file extension for a template is .CHTPL.

 

Loading a Template

You must have a data file open in ChaosHunter before you can load a saved optimization template.  Any new data files you load must include the same column names that were used as either inputs or an output in the data file originally used to create the template.  For example, if the original data file had columns labeled date, open, high, low, close, volume, RSI, and CCI that were used as inputs or an output, the new data file you want to use with template must include columns with the same labels, although they do not have to be in the same order in the new data file.  The new file may include extra columns.

 

Summer Savngs!  
beach-chairs-header.jpg

Save 20% on purchase of ChaosHunter and
Upgrades to Trader Power User or DayTrader Power User 
 
Buy 2 Ward Systems Group Trader Add-ons for $450 - Lowest Price of the Summer!

  

ChaosHunter
If you haven't added ChaosHunter to your modeling toolkit, now is your chance.  Take a different approach to modeling the securities you trade and easily transfer the trading signals to NeuroShell Trader by inserting an indicator.   To learn more about ChaosHunter, click here.
 
NeuroShell Trader Upgrades
If you have a collection of NeuroShell Trader trading strategies and want to see which ones are capturing today's market conditions, use the batch processor in the Power User versions of NeuroShell Trader to update and examine them all at the same time.  Trade the ones that show results.  To learn more about the NeuroShell Trader Power User versions, click here.
 
Trader Add-Ons from Ward Systems Group
Note that the special price of $450 only appears if you use the "click here to save" link below.   Select the item "Buy 2 WSG add-ons for 450" and then be sure to enter the Add-Ons you wish to purchase in the comments box on the order form.  Add-Ons eligible for this sale include the following: 
 
 
Sale ends Thursday, July 31, 2014.

 

Have questions?  Give us a call at 301 662 7950 or send E-mail to sales@wardsystems.com.

 

  

Ward Systems Group, Inc | 5 Hillcrest Drive | Frederick, MD 21703
301 662 7950 | sales@wardsystems.com

Fax: 301-663-9920

Skype (sales only) Wardsystems



Copyright © 2014  All Rights Reserved.

Trademarks: NeuroShell, NeuroShell Trader, ChaosHunter, GeneHunter, Ward Systems Group and the old lady logo are all registered trademarks of Ward Systems Group, Inc. AI Trilogy is also a trademark of Ward Systems Group, Inc.