The Miller Financial Group
Markets Rally on Housing Data 
Weekly Update - May 28, 2014
In This Issue
Despite some volatility, markets rallied on better-than-expected housing numbers, putting the S&P 500 above 1900 for the first time.[1] For the week, the S&P 500 gained 1.21%, the Dow gained 0.70%, and the Nasdaq grew 2.33%.[2]
The housing market took center stage last week on upbeat reports on new and existing home sales. Sales of new homes in the U.S. rose 6.4% in April after slumping for the previous two months.[3] Existing home sales grew for the first time in 2014, creeping up a modest 1.3% in April.[4] Though analysts don't expect this "spring thaw" to rescue the housing sector, they hope that it will lead to stronger growth in the second quarter.[5] High prices and rising mortgage rates have sidelined many buyers, but stronger labor market trends could strengthen home buying trends. 

Initial jobless claims spiked more than expected last week, however, continuing claims dropped to their lowest level since December 2007. The four-week moving average of initial claims also dropped, indicating that unemployment trends are generally moving in the right direction.

However, a recent poll revealed that nearly half of unemployed Americans are thinking about or have given up the job hunt. Feelings of discouragement and hopelessness are preventing many survey respondents from continuing to seek work; even when jobless benefits have run out. The survey also indicated that many long-term unemployed are not willing to relocate or pursue education that could help them land a job. Mismatches between available jobs and worker skills could be contributing to unemployment and under-employment trends.[7]

The Fed released meeting minutes from the April Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, and while the report contained no surprises, investors were reassured by the meeting's focus on an exit strategy for quantitative easing. The minutes also emphasized the desire by some Fed insiders to give the public more information on future Fed plans in order to give markets more time to digest key policy shifts.[8]

Looking ahead at the holiday-shortened week, investors will be taking a close look at Thursday's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report as well as key consumer sentiment numbers. Strong spending and consumer confidence data would support hopes that economic activity is picking up in the second quarter.


Monday: U.S. Financial Markets closed for Memorial Day holiday
Tuesday: Durable Goods Orders, S&P Case-Shiller HPI, Consumer Confidence, Dallas Fed Mfg. Survey
Thursday: GDP, Jobless Claims, Pending Home Sales Index, EIA Petroleum Status Report
Friday: Personal Income and Outlays, Chicago PMI, Consumer Sentiment

Notes: All index returns exclude reinvested dividends, and the 5-year and 10-year returns are annualized. Sources: Yahoo! Finance and International performance is represented by the MSCI EAFE Index. Corporate bond performance is represented by the DJCBP. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Indices are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly.


Gas prices close to three-year norm. For the third year in a row, average gas prices are within a few cents of $3.64 over the Memorial Day holiday. Steady gas prices are a result of stable crude oil prices, which have been supported by rising output from the U.S., Canada, and Brazil.[9]

Beef prices heading north. Long-lasting drought conditions in California and other major agricultural states are boosting the price of summer staples like beef, pork, and fruits. The USDA expects overall food inflation to increase to 3.5% in 2014.[10]

U.S. manufacturing growth picks up. A measure of factory activity in the U.S. hit a three-month high in May and grew at the fastest pace since early 2011. Expansion in the manufacturing sector could lead to higher GDP growth this quarter.[11]

Vacation rental scams on the rise. Scammers are using Craigslist and other online classifieds to lure in vacationers with low prices on rentals in hot areas. To protect yourself, rent through a reputable agency or verify owner details and always pay with a credit card for extra protection.[12]

Quote Of The Week
Quote Of The Week
Fountain Pen
"Life is what happens to you while you're busy making other plans."
- John Lennon

Recipe Of The Week
Recipe Of The Week
Fork and Knife
Shrimp la Grecque

This quick meal is perfect for a busy weeknight dinner.




Serves 4

1 tablespoon olive oil
3 garlic cloves, minced
2 14-ounce cans diced tomatoes (or fresh whole tomatoes, seeded and chopped)
1 pound large shrimp (cleaned)
1/2 cup chopped fresh parsley
1 cup crumbled feta cheese
Kosher salt and ground black pepper
One lemon, quartered


1. Preheat the broiler.
2. Saut the oil and garlic in a broiler-safe skillet over medium heat until the garlic begins to brown.
3. Add the tomatoes and raise the heat to high, cooking for 3-4 minutes, stirring occasionally, until the sauce bubbles and thickens slightly. Add salt and pepper to taste.
4. Add the shrimp and parsley and cook just until the shrimp curl slightly and turn pink at the edges.
5. Sprinkle the feta over the shrimp and place the skillet under the broiler, cooking until the cheese browns and the shrimp are fully cooked.
6. Serve over quinoa, pasta, or a mixed salad, squeezing lemon over each serving.

Chef's Tip: Add red pepper flakes for added spice.

Recipe adapted from Maile Carpenter |

Tax Tips
Tax Tips
Tax Tips For a Summer Job

If a young family member is taking on a summer job after school lets out, pass along these helpful tips from the IRS:
  • Don't be surprised when your paycheck is smaller than you expect. Employers pay your taxes directly to the IRS through withholdings.
  • Keep in mind that all tip income is taxable and you must report tip income over $20 monthly to your employer.
  • Even if you don't earn enough from your summer job to owe income taxes, your employer must withhold Medicare and Social Security taxes from your pay.
  • Any money you earn from working for others is subject to taxes. If you mow lawns, babysit, or earn money outside of a regular job, you may be considered self-employed by the IRS. 
For more information about tax rules for students and first-time job holders, visit or consult a qualified tax advisor.

Tip courtesy of[13]
Golf Tip
Golf Tip

 Improve Power & Accuracy By Posting Up 

If you lack power, precision, or consistency in your game, you may not be transferring your weight correctly during your swing. As you move into the finish position, you should be transferring your weight onto your straightened left leg (for a right-handed golfer). Your left knee should be straight and your left hip higher than your right. Ask an instructor or partner to watch or tape your lower body through the swing to help you improve your weight transfer.

Tip courtesy of Scott Young, GolfTEC | Golf Tips Mag[14]
Healthy Lifestyle
Healthy Lifestyle
Medical Cross
Handle Food Safely Outdoors
Bacteria thrive in warm weather, so make sure to handle and transport food safely to keep family and friends healthy. Avoid food woes at your next picnic or outdoor barbecue with these simple tips:
  • Use pasteurized eggs to reduce the risk of salmonella;
  • Don't keep foods unrefrigerated for more than two hours, less if it's over 90F;
  • Use smaller containers for refrigerated foods and serve one container at a time, keeping backups in the cooler;
  • Never thaw frozen food on the countertop. Instead, thaw foods in the refrigerator, in cold water, or in the microwave.
Tip courtesy of AARP[15]
Green Living
Green Living

Do the Math on Energy-Saving Improvements 

While replacing windows and upgrading appliances to newer, more energy-efficient models can reduce your energy bill, be sure to run the numbers on any improvements to see how they will actually affect your bottom line.

Doing the math before making large purchases will help you understand how long it will take for improvements to pay for themselves through energy savings. Oftentimes, you will find that an expensive purchase doesn't make economic sense unless you intend to stay in your home for many years or need to replace a failing appliance. 

Tip courtesy of AARP[16]
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Investing involves risk including the potential loss of principal. No investment strategy can guarantee a profit or protect against loss in periods of declining values.

Diversification does not guarantee profit nor is it guaranteed to protect assets.

The Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted average of 30 significant stocks traded on the New York Stock Exchange and the NASDAQ. The DJIA was invented by Charles Dow back in 1896.

The Nasdaq Composite is an index of the common stocks and similar securities listed on the NASDAQ stock market and is considered a broad indicator of the performance of stocks of technology companies and growth companies.

The MSCI EAFE Index was created by Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) that serves as a benchmark of the performance in major international equity markets as represented by 21 major MSCI indexes from Europe, Australia and Southeast Asia.

The Dow Jones Corporate Bond Index is a 96-bond index designed to represent the market performance, on a total-return basis, of investment-grade bonds issued by leading U.S. companies. Bonds are equally weighted by maturity cell, industry sector, and the overall index.

The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices are the leading measures of U.S. residential real estate prices, tracking changes in the value of residential real estate. The index is made up of measures of real estate prices in 20 cities and weighted to produce the index.

The 10-year Treasury Note represents debt owed by the United States Treasury to the public. Since the U.S. Government is seen as a risk-free borrower, investors use the 10-year Treasury Note as a benchmark for the long-term bond market.

Google Finance is the source for any reference to the performance of an index between two specific periods.

Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice and are not intended as investment advice or to predict future performance.

Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Consult your financial professional before making any investment decision.

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The Miller Financial Group
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