Discount Gold and Silver Trading

American Survival Newsletter:
Combining the World of Finance, Health & Politics
8/21/15

American Gold

A weekly newsletter brought to you by
Discount Gold & Silver 800-375-4188
Edited by Alfred Adask
Friday, August 21, AD 2015
 
MARKETS
 
Between Friday, August 14AD 2015 and 
Friday, August 21, AD 2015, the bid prices for:

Gold rose 4.2 % from $1,113.70 to $1,160.40
Silver rose 0.6 % from $15.25 to $15.35
Platinum rose 2.8 % from $990 to $1,018
Palladium fell 2.4 % from $617 to $602
Crude Oil fell 4.4 % from $42.14 to $40.27
DJIA fell 5.8 % from 17,477.40 to 16,459.75
NASDAQ fell 6.8 % from 5,048.23 to 4,706.04
NYSE fell 5.4 % from 10,782.20 to 10,195.70
US Dollar Index fell 1.7 % from 96.47 to 94.80
 
 

"Only buy something that you'd be perfectly happy to hold
if the market shut down for 10 years." --Warren Buffett 

"If the markets shut down for 10 years, what investment would you dare to hold-- 
other than gold"? --Alfred Adask

Since this article went to print the DOW lost another approx. 1000 points. 

in Overnight trading the Asian and European markets got hammered. 
The DOW opened over 1000 points down and closed 588 down. the S&P and NASDAQ didn't fair any better.
We will bring you updates throughout the week if this sell-off continue. 
Pressure on the commodity sector (oil inparticular) extended to both Gold and Silver.  Everyone ran to Treasuries for safety as we saw the 10 year yield touch 1.95%.   however i expect to see gold and silver pull away as a commodity and perform as a monetary metal for a safe haven. 
U.S. markets, as of Monday's close:

The Dow Jones industrial average: down 10.3 percent in August, and down 11 percent in 2015.
 
The Standard & Poor's 500 index: down 10 percent this month, and down 8.1 percent this year.
 
The Nasdaq composite: down 11.7 percent this month, and down 4.4 percent this year.
 
Europe:

Germany's DAX: down 14.7 percent in August, and down 1.6 percent in 2015.
 
France's CAC-40: down 13.8 percent this month, but up 2.6 percent this year.
 
U.K.'s FTSE 100: down 11.9 percent this month, down 10.2 percent this year.
 
Asia:

Japan's Nikkei index: down 9.9 percent in August, up 6.2 percent in 2015.
 
Hong Kong's Hang Seng: down 13.7 percent this month, and down 10 percent this year.
 
China's Shanghai Composite: down 12.4 percent this month, and down 0.8 percent this year.
Failed QE caused Market falls?

by Alfred Adask

Last Thursday (Aug. 20th, A.D. 2015), the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 358 points.  The New York Times wrote "China Woes Send Stocks Into Tailspin" in an attempt to blame the fall in US markets on the previous fall in the Chinese stock markets and recent devaluation of the Chinese yuan:
 
"Stock markets around the world plummeted on Thursday, signaling that investors have not gotten over the shock of China's devaluation last week and remain nervous about the health of the global economy.
 
"The selling began in Asia . . . . moved to Europe . . . and ended with a rush for the exits in the United States.
 
 "The Dow Jones industrial average tumbled 358.04 points, or 2.1 percent, to close at 16,990.69.
 
". . . the S&P 500 declined 43.88 points, or 2.1 percent, to 2,035.73, its lowest level in six months . . . .
 
"The biggest source of uneasiness right now appears to be China's economy. Many analysts assumed that China's recent devaluation was in part motivated by a desire to stimulate China's economy. . . .
 
"But the devaluation stoked suspicions . . . that China's economy might be weaker than its official figures suggested."
 
China is trying to shore up its stock market with a Chinese version of Quantitative Easing (QE).  But will QE work in China?
 
In fact, will QE work anywhere?
 
As you'll read, the answer may be No.
 
If QE doesn't and can't work, what will prevent China's and the world's stock markets from falling further?
 
*  The Dow's decline didn't end on Thursday.
 
On Friday, August 21st, A.D. 2015, CNBC wrote "Europe markets plunged 3%; China and oil dominate":  
 
"European stock markets faced severe selling on Friday, with major markets crashing in excess of 2.5 percent, following U.S. stocks lower as worse-than-expected Chinese economic data and a sharp drop in oil prices spooked traders.
 
"Oil was testing investors' nerves on Friday, with light crude trading near $40 per barrel . . . . U.S. oil prices heading for its eighth week of falls running on Friday, the longest losing streak since 1986. 
 
"Big falls across Asian stock markets on Friday, after China August PMI data showed that China's factory activity . . . shrank at its fastest pace in more than six years. The Shanghai Composite Stock Exchange closed over 4 percent lower."
 
* But the big news, perhaps the real "bomb" that triggered the global stock market declines, may have been the "white paper" released by the St. Louis Federal Reserve on Tuesday, August 18th.
 
As reported by CNBC.com ("St. Louis Fed official: No evidence QE boosted economy"):
 
"In a white paper dissecting the U.S. central bank's actions to stem the financial crisis in 2008 and 2009, Stephen D. Williamson, vice president of the St. Louis Fed, . . . said that:
 
1) "The zero interest rates in place since 2008 that were designed to spark good inflation actually have resulted in just the opposite.
 
2)  "The 'forward guidance' the Fed has used to communicate its intentions before it acts has instead been a muddle of broken vows that has served only to confuse investors. And, most importantly,
 
3) "The quantitative easing, or the monthly debt purchases that swelled the central bank's balance sheet past the $4.5 trillion mark, have at best a tenuous link to actual economic improvements."
 
"As for spurring inflation, reducing employment or otherwise generating sustained economic activity, the results, particularly for QE, are "at best mixed." In addition to muted inflation, the gross domestic product has yet to eclipse 2.5 percent for any calendar year during the recovery, while wage gains, and consequently living standards, have been mired around 2 percent or less.
 
"There is no work, to my knowledge, that establishes a link from QE tothe ultimate goals of the Fed-inflation and real economic activity.  Indeed, casual evidence suggests that QE has been ineffective in increasing inflation,"Williamson wrote.
 
"For example, in spite of massive central bank asset purchases in the U.S., the Fed is currently falling short of its 2 percent inflation target," he added. "Further, Switzerland and Japan, which have balance sheets that are much larger than that of the U.S., relative to GDP, have been experiencing very low inflation or deflation." 
 
In other words, QE has not only failed to significantly stimulate the US economy, it's also failed to provide intended "stimulation" in Switzerland and Japan.  This suggests that QE is an inherently failed and ineffective strategy around the globe. 
 
Q:  What is China doing to shore up its falling stock market? 
 
A:  QE.
 
Q:  What are the chances that Chinese QE will be any more successful than the QEs of Japan, Switzerland and the US?
 
A:  Near zero.
 
Q:  Why do nations continue to try to use QE if the evidence shows that it doesn't work?
 
A:  Because, in a debt-based monetary system, there's nothing else they can do.  They're trapped and left with no solution to fundamental economic problems other than the dim hope that QE might work a little or at least buy some time.
 
Q:  How could the St. Louis Fed's white paper have triggered the current global stock market declines?
 
A:  That hypothesis is a long shot, but the timing is at least coincidentally good (the St. Louis Fed issued that white paper on Tuesday and US markets began to fall on Wednesday). More importantly, the essence of the white paper is the claim and/or admission that QE doesn't work.  
 
Q:  What does this imply?
 
A:  First, it implies that if QE hasn't worked in the past, it won't work in the future. If so, we have no remedy for the current problems.  Further, the admission that QE hasn't worked implies that the current economic problem is systemic and can't be solved until the current "system" is abandoned and replaced by a significantly new "system". 
 
Q:  If the problem is systemic, what current "system" is so fundamentally flawed that it must be replaced?
 
A:  Probably, the current, debt-based, fiat monetary "system".
 
Q:  If the current, debt-based, fiat monetary system had to be abandoned, what new system might replace it?
 
A:  Hard to say.  I see two possibilities:
 
1) The Powers That Be might be able to palm off a "new" monetary system based on "Special Drawing Rights" issued by the IMF.  But, that SDR system wouldn't be fundamentally "new".  It would only be another debt-based, fiat monetary system wrapped up in a bright new bow; and,
 
2) An asset-based monetary system based on something tangible like gold or silver.
 
The Powers want another debt-based, fiat monetary system in order to exploit the peoples of the world.
 
The world's people need an asset-based monetary system to defend them against exploitation by governments and/or central banks.
 
We shall see which side prevails.
 
*  "In Williamson's view, the Taylor rule dictates the level of interest rates in regard to economic conditions.  The thinking essentially is that low rates beget low inflation, trapping central banks in zero interest rate policies (or ZIRP)."
 
In fact, low interest rates are believed to have two, contradictory effects:
 
1) According to the "Taylor Rule," low interest rates will cause low inflation rates or even deflation.  Thus, low (Near-Zero) interest rates should have slowed the economy.  But,
 
2) According to politicians and the Federal Reserve, lower interest rates should have encouraged consumers to borrow more "cheap" currency from the banks and spend it on new homes, cars and flat-screen TVs.  Under that prevalent theory, since A.D. 2008, low (Near-Zero) interest rates should have stimulated the economy and caused it to grow.
 
The Fed and/or government apparently believed that Near-Zero interest rates would stimulate consumers to borrow and spend at such a high rate that the resulting inflationary effect would more than cancel out whatever "Taylor rule" deflationary effects that follow low interest rates. 
 
The Fed was wrong.  After the onset of the Great Recession, the American people refused to borrow much currency at any low interest rate and therefore didn't contribute to inflation or stimulate the economy. 
 
Result?  The "Taylor rule" was right.  Near-Zero interest rates caused deflationary forces to become prevalent.  That, in turn, caused the economy to slide towards recession and/or depression, rather than recovery.
 
*  "With the nominal interest rate at zero for a long period of time, inflation is low, but the central bankers believe that maintaining ZIRP [Zero Interest Rate Policy] will eventually increase the inflation rate.  But this never happens.  As long as the central banker adheres to a sufficiently aggressive Taylor rule, ZIRP will continue forever, and the central bank will fall short of its inflation target indefinitely," Williamson said. "This idea seems to fit nicely with the recent observed behavior of the world's central banks."
 
"Many Wall Street strategists have issued forecasts expecting the Fed finally to end zero interest rates in September. However, uncertainty lingers: The CME's FedWatch tool, which monitors futures contracts, indicates just a 36 percent chance of September tightening."
 
Implication #1:
 
QE's 1, 2 and 3 have cost most of $4 trillion.  If QE is now viewed as having been ineffective and having failed to achieve positive results during the past seven years, there's no valid reason to invest more hundreds of billions of dollars in a QE4
 
During the QE3 phase, some gurus chanted the slogan "QE to Infinity".  That slogan signaled their belief that the US economy had not only become fragile but also become so dependent on QE monetary stimulus, that QE could never end.  But that slogan was based on the presumption that QE actually caused some positive effect.
 
However, if it's true that QEs 1, 2 and 3 failed to deliver much of a positive result, there'll be no logical reason to support "QE to Infinity" and therefore there shouldn't be a QE4.
 
*  "The primary place where QE seems to have worked is in the stock market, where the S&P 500 has soared by 215 percent since the recession lows in March 2009.  Elsewhere, though, deflation fears have permeated and interest rates have remained low."
 
Implication #2:
If QE has had any positive effect, that effect was concentrated in the stock markets.  After A.D. 2009, it's been generally believed that QE prevented markets from plunging further, supported the markets, and ultimately pushed them higher.
 
If so, we're left to wonder how much of the (former) 18,000-point Dow was based on fundamentals and was real and how much of that 18,000 was based on QE and was therefore illusory.
 
If it's true that QE has so far failed to live up to expectations, and if it's true that therefore there won't be a QE4-then what will support the stock markets in the future?  Without continued support from QE4, what will prevent US stock markets from falling significantly-perhaps all the way back down to levels seen in 2008-2009 when the Dow Jones bottomed out at 6,440?
 
Without QE4, the US stock markets could fall dramatically.  The absence of QE4 might even help explain last week's 1,000-point fall in the Dow.   
 
Implication #3
 
If the Fed really wants inflation, and if the Fed now agrees that low, Near-Zero, interest rates have actually contributed to deflation, then we can expect the Fed to quickly raise interest rates-perhaps as soon as next month.  In fact, although the Fed has talked about raising our Near-Zero interest rates by 0.25%, the Fed might even surprise us and raise interest rates by more than 0.25%.
 
If investors come to believe that there'll be no QE4 (injecting more billions of dollars into the stock markets) and no more Near-Zero interest rates, the psychological impact alone should cause stock markets to fall.
 
If the implications of the St. Louis Fed's recent white paper have already begun to seep into the US and even global investor community, that paper might've already helped cause last week's 1,000-point fall in the Dow.  If so, that paper's message is explosive.
 
If QE doesn't work other than to support the markets, and if the Fed therefore decides to forgo QE4, then we can expect the unsupported markets to fall significantly.
 
Implication #4:
1) If the fall in the Chinese stock markets precipitated stock market declines in Asia, then the EU and finally the US; and,
 
2) If QE has been shown to be ineffective in Japan, Switzerland and the US; and,
 
3) If China is attempting to shore up its stock markets with QE; then
 
4) What are the chances that China's government can prevent an even greater decline in China's stock markets?
 
Not good.
 
And,
 
5) If China started the current global stock market decline, and if China has no means to stop its own markets from declining further, then global markets may continue to fall with China's.  If QE doesn't work, what will support China's markets and prevent global stock markets around the world from falling even further over the next weeks or months?
Nothing.
 
Conclusion:
 
Until China's economy and stock markets begin to rise, global stock markets may continue to fall.  Even if the Chinese economy and markets do begin to rise, the much-anticipated "correction" in the US stock markets could have gained so much momentum that US markets could continue to fall by 50%-maybe more.
 
 
Postscript
Between August 19th and 21st, the DJIA fell over 1,000 points.  People were shocked. 
 
But I was surprised because, so far as I know, no one in a position of power (like President Obama or Janet Yellen) took the podium to reassure Americans that everything was under control.  Why didn't someone offer to kiss our boo-boos and tell us there was no need to cry?
 
More, during that 1,000-point fall, where was the Plunge Protection Team? Isn't the PPT supposed to step in to stop the Dow from sudden declines?
 
For those who relish conspiracy theories, it's almost as if the Powers want investors to panic and want a serious stock market crash.
 
Of course, that's a crazy idea.  Why would gov-co want some sort of market crash?
 
Well, a large number of economic gurus have been warning for the past six weeks that, come September, "something big" was going to happen.  Whatever that "something big" might be remains to be seen.  But, some suspect that the government is about to declare some sort of extraordinary change in our financial or economic system. 
 
For example, government might be about to announce a significant change in our currency.  Maybe they're going to exchange our green dollars for new-and-improved pink dollars.
 
That's an interesting possibility, but the Powers couldn't just send President Obama to the podium to tell us to exchange our greenies for pinkies.  He'd need a pretext.  He'd have to have a reason that Americans all recognized and agreed was sufficient to justify a dramatic, systemic change.
 
So, I wonder.  If the market decline we saw last week is duplicated this next week and takes on really scary proportions, could it be that that decline is engineered and intended to serve as a pretext for something in the near future that's even bigger, more dire and caused by government edict?
HEALTH
Risks of pain killers
 
by Herbalist Wendy Wilson

Anyone who has suffered with chronic pain knows the downside to prescribed pain killers. I learned a lot about pain medications working for a neurologist. Patients with severe head pain get trapped using the narcotic (opiate) pain killers which disrupt the pain receptors. In many cases, pain patients are prescribed a narcotic and a nonsteriodal drug for inflammation. With the narcotic medications the patients develop a tolerance to them and soon they find their doctor cannot prescribe a stronger drug for them. Therefore, what modern medicine does is create a rebound effect leaving the patient with severe pain worse than when they started out. A healing or a cure from the pain is never accomplished with symptom management.  At best, pain medication should be used short-term for trauma and never as a life-long answer to pain. Is there a safer way to deal with pain and avoid the risk of over-the-counter and prescribed pain relievers? Let's find out.

SIDE EFFECTS
There are multiple side effects when using pain medications. Whenever taking such drugs you should avoid drinking alcohol to avoid excessive damage to the liver. Prescribed pain medications come with the risk of dependency and addiction. In nearly every case such drugs make the muscles of the digestive track sluggish causing constipation. Other side effects often reported are; dry mouth, nausea, vomiting, drowsiness, sleep apnea, chest pain, abnormal heart beat, kidney problems and difficulty urinating. Names of the often prescribed opiate pain drugs are; codeine, hydrocodone, meperidine, morphine and oxycodone. Most drug inserts have warnings and state the drug only helps to manage pain and not to cure you of pain. Taking prescribed pain medications need close monitoring and to stop the drug, weaning off of it is highly recommended. There are many drug interactions patients need to be aware of and need to do their homework before taking the drug. For instance, pain medications normally do not mix well with antidepressants, antihistamines, sleep medication or blood thinners.
 
BREAKTHROUTH PAIN
What is "breakthrough pain"? Often when patients are managing their pain with drugs they can experience a flare up of severe pain while on the pain medication. This happens regardless of missing a dosage.
 
THE WITHDRAWAL
The risk of experiencing withdrawal symptoms when coming off extended use of pain medications is high.  The dependence the body encounters on pain medication is a consideration to take seriously before starting on the drug. If there is a withdrawal reaction the symptoms are; muscle pain, anxiety, irritability, nausea, vomiting and diarrhea. Withdrawal of opiate pain drugs often leads to addiction-type behaviors where the patient seeks out the pain drug resulting in negative consequences in personal and professional areas of life. If this occurs the patient resorts to enlisting the help of a professional addiction specialist.
 
NEW LABELING
Recently the FDA has issued new warning labeling for prescription and over-the-counter pain medications. This includes pain medications which may include aspirin. Why the change? It seems the accumulated use of such drugs has produced a mountain of evidence that they are more dangerous than previously thought. The new warnings will let consumers know that if they take these pain medications they run the risk of experiencing a fatal stroke or heart attack. It appears that this warning is not limited to heart patients or those with some form of cardiovascular disease. The new warnings target the non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs. We're told that aspirin by itself does not offer the same risk. However, long-term use of aspirin seems to be linked to an increased risk of macular degeneration of the eyes. Consumers will soon see these new warning labels for products such as Aleve, ibuprofen (Motrin, Advil), Naproxen, Ketoprofen, acetaminophen (Tylenol) and Celebrex. There are millions of Americans on these drugs right now putting themselves at grave risk because the research shows that even in small amounts these drugs can kill you. What will the warnings actually say? For the acetaminophen products the label will indicate in bold letters that it can produce severe liver damage and if using anticoagulants to consult a physician first. For non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs the warning will state risk of severe stomach bleeding. Although many of these products did have heart attack risk warning on them since 2005, the new evidence strengthens the warnings and warrants a significant labeling change due to the fact that you don't have to be on the drug but a few days to invite the risk.
 
"One of the underlying messages for this warning has to be there are no completely safe pain relievers, period." Bruce Lamer, Northwestern University specialist in drug safety
 
THE SUPER DOSE PAIN DRUG
In 2014, the FDA approved of a high-dose opiate drug Zohydro. At the time the FDA Commissioner Dr. Margaret Hamburg said, "...the last thing the country needs is a new, dangerous, high-dose opioid. Too many people have already become addicted to similar opioid medications and too many lives have been lost."
 
"Zohydro is a whopping dose of hydrocodone packed in an easy-to-crush capsule. It will kill people as soon as it's released."  Dr. Andrew Kolodny, president for Physicians for Responsible Opioid Prescribing.
 
"You're talking about a drug (Zohydro) that's five times more potent than what we're dealing with now. Based on potency, I'm five times more concerned." Dr. Stephen Anderson, Washington ER physician.
 
According to the CDC, deaths by prescribed opioid drugs quadrupled since 1999 from 4,030 deaths to 16,651 deaths in 2010. Of course the drug manufacturers and the FDA assert that the drug's benefits outweigh the risks. However, the drug companies and the FDA neglect to admit that pain suffers will go to great lengths to relieve their pain.
 
"We know that a person with pain is not a person who abuses medications. A person with pain is a person suffering to get pain relief in order to live a fulfilling life." Paul Gileno, president of US Pain Foundation
 
HEART PATIENTS BEWARE
The new warnings for pain medications are more dangerous to anyone with a history of heart disease. The research is pointing to the fact that heart patients who took non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs are more likely to die by a heart attack within the following year. Here is what Emory University professor of medicine and public health, Peter Wilson said about these drugs:
"Here is the rule-of-thumb for estimating the risk from non-aspirin NSAID's: Over-the-counter doses (lowest available) will increase heart attack and stroke by 10%. Low prescription doses increase the risk by 20%. High prescription doses could increase the risk by as much as 50%. Such risks are especially dangerous for those over the age of 65 or who have cardiovascular risk factors. If you are in the habit of taking these drugs for headaches or mild pain, you might want to reconsider" 
 
YOUR OPTIONS
There are other options when dealing with pain rather than risk addiction or death. There are herbs that offer that pain receptor block like analgesics which are much safer, gentler and offer zero risk. I like to use peppermint and ice topically for pain issues. I will often use the anti-inflammatory and pain relief in willow bark and meadow sweet herb internally. There are many herbs which are useful for headache pain such as feverfew, valerian root, skullcap root and ginger root. You will find these options at Apothecary Herbs. Look for the Regular or Extra Strength Pain & Anti-inflammatory Formula, Peppermint Leaf Tincture, Ginger Root Tincture, Valerian Root Tincture and their headache formulas for tension, stress or migraine. Call Apothecary Herbs for your free product catalog 866-229-3663, International 704-885-0277 or order online http://www.thepowerherbs.com, where your healthcare options just became endless.   
 
Sources:
 
COMING UP ON HERB TALK LIVE
Herbalist Wendy Wilson on Herb Talk Live
Saturday morning show:
7 am EST on GCN
Weekday show:
7 pm EST on AVR
Shortwave show 8 pm EST WWCR 4840
Go to http://www.thepowerherbs.com Herb Talk Live & Radio Archive area for network link access and past shows to download and share. For Android users you can download a FREE app for Herb Talk Live on GCN. See the download link under radio archives at top of page at http://www.thepowerherbs.com.
 


 
 at Apothecary Herbs www.thepowerherbs.com

MORE HERB SECRETS IN THE POWER HERBS e-BOOK. By popular demand The Power Herbs e-book is available with symptom/herb reference guide, information on organ cleansing and how to make your own herbal tinctures plus a whole lot more. You must have email to order and receive the e-book a PDF version of The Power Herb book for just $14.99. At this time, we do not offer this title in hard copy. The book is now available in KINDLE and IPAD formats. Select the book you need on the drop down.

NEW DANDELION ROOT LIQUID
Try Dandelion Root Tincture for inflammation, blood purification, respiratory infections, digestion and cancer protection at Apothecary Herbs 866-229-3663 www.thepowerherbs.com 
 
MALE & FEMALE ORGAN CLEANSES KITS - Don't give disease a foothold. You will have the power to cleanse the bowel, urinary, liver, gall bladder and blood system with this cleanse package. For added cleansing, ask about how you can upgrade your order to include the prostate cleanse for men or the Kidney/Bladder cleanse for females.  Go to http://www.thepowerherbs.com or call their 24-hour live customer service line 866-229-3663, International 704-885-0277. 
The information contained herein is not designed to diagnosis, treat, prevent or cure disease. Seek medical advice from a lincensed medical physician (if you dare) before using any product or therapy. 
All content is copyright Independent News Journalist Disclaimers of FARE USE

Copyright Disclaimer Under Section 107 of the Copyright Act 1976, "Fair Use" Allowance is made for purposes such as: Criticism, Comment, News Reporting, Teaching, Scholarship, and Research. "Fair Use" is a use permitted by Copyright Statute that might otherwise be infringing. Non-profit, Educational or Personal use tips the balance in Favor of "Fair Use". Conclusions drawn from these articles or audio files do not necessarily represent the Opinions/Beliefs of those subjects People/Musicians/Participants/Entities therein. "Fair Use" says it all....Produced by FREELANCE AUTHOR.