Boys & Girls Club Annual Dinner
I'm proud to show my support for such a wonderful organization that does so much to ensure that our children are successful.
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I had the opportunity to participate in this program a few years ago, and I can attest that it gives you an incredible opportunity to learn how our Alexandria Police Department keeps our community safe every day.
You will be shoulder to shoulder with our first responders experiencing how they accomplish their important work. It is a great experience.
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The City Academy
For a broader view of our City, we are also accepting applications for The City Academy.
This 8-week program is designed to educate residents about our government and improve engagement.
The deadline is February 15th.
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Call, Click, Connect
The City has recently launched "Call. Click. Connect," a new system designed to provide a more efficient way to submit requests to City government, and track them to resolution.
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The facility is open on Mondays and Saturdays from 7:30 AM to 3:30 PM.
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Thanks to those of you who were able to attend the City Council Installation last month, or have taken the time to offer helpful feedback on the issues covered in last month's newsletter.
January was a busy month as the new
Council worked to get organized and prepare for the upcoming budget process.
My son and I enjoyed attending the Inauguration of our President, and while we couldn't see much, we could hear what was going on.
Please let me know if I can assist you in any way. Have a great month!
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Where Will All of the Kids Go?
In 2007 there were 10,332 students in the Alexandria City Public Schools. On October 1 of last year, we had 13,114 in the very same school system.
In that short period of time, we added the equivalent of the enrollment of T. C. Williams High School to our school system.
Our current projections suggest that by the time school opens in six years, we will have anywhere from 15,000 students at the low-end to a high-end estimate of 17,500.
While this is certainly a "good news" problem for our City to have, it is most definitely a problem nonetheless. We can discuss the reasons we have arrived at this point: improvements in our schools, the economy causing parents to forgo private schools, the economy causing parents to forgo moves to other jurisdictions, the opening of a new building at T. C. Williams, faulty forecasting, etc.
Whatever the reason, the reality is that we cannot accommodate this many children in our existing schools. We must address our school capacity challenges.
The charge for the group is as simple as the task is complex: agree upon the scope of long-term enrollment growth, and figure out what to do about it.
The group has worked to develop a common understanding of our enrollment projections--incorporating our "Kindergarten Capture" rate (the percentage of children born in the City that present 5 years later as Kindergartners), the "Cohort survival" rate (the percentage of enrolled students that remain in the system in each subsequent year), our "student generation" rates (the number of children that tend to enroll from each residence type), Census data, and development plans.
We have then developed three trend-lines, a low-growth trend line that assumes that the large growth experienced in the last three years will subside, a current trend line that assumes we will continue our current patterns, and a high-growth trend line that assumes that our growth rates will accelerate.
In any event, our challenge is steep. Even assuming the successful completion of the new Jefferson-Houston Elementary School building and the capacity expansions at George Mason and Maury Elementary, we face a deficit of 105 elementary classrooms within 6 years. This is essentially the equivalent of a little over 2 new elementary schools.
Even if we were to increase elementary class size from the current average of 22 to a much larger 30, we would still have a deficit of 64 classrooms. There are no silver bullets to this problem.
This example only demonstrates a portion of the problem--as we face similar challenges in our Middle Schools and High Schools.
Every parent with a child eating lunch shortly after 10:00 AM due to a lack of space in the cafeteria can also attest that classroom space is not our only need.
This is a problem that will demand creative thinking about how we can better use our existing buildings, what alternative environments can support learning in the future and how we can leverage the redevelopment around the City to obtain property for potential school construction.
Whether we like it or not, this is a problem that will demand additional investment.
With that in mind, the City Council adopted budget guidance for our City Manager that specifically requested that he include new resources in his proposed budget for addressing the substantial capital needs within our Schools.
I believe this is the year to have this conversation. It is time for us to put every good idea on the table to ensure that we are capable of providing every child in our community with a high-quality education for decades to come.
I look forward to your ideas!
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Taxis To Accept Credit Cards
The City Council regulates our taxi industry--setting rates, regulations and issuing operating certificates. As part of our biennial review of the industry, the Council adopted a rate increase, coupled with a simplification of our rate structure.
Instead of our existing structure, which provides a variety of different rates for different bags, trunks and other articles that might be handled in addition to a passenger, the City Council largely concurred with recommendations of our Traffic and Parking Board to simplify the rate structure and make it more understandable to passengers and drivers alike.
Working with my colleagues, I was also pleased that we were able to advance a new requirement to mandate our taxi cabs to accept credit cards. While this change still requires one more procedural hurdle, I'm hopeful that by next month we will be adopting a new requirement.
Credit cards are nearly ubiquitous in our society today, and our taxis should accept them as a form of payment.
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Host a Town Hall in Your Living Room! With my return to Council, I will also bring back my regular series of Town Hall Meetings--in your living room!
You supply the living room and a bunch of your friends and neighbors. I will supply a member of the Alexandria City Council (me) with the answers to any of your questions about our City.
Just drop us a line and we'll get a Town Hall on the calendar! Thanks for the interest! |
Upcoming Issues
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Budget Arrives on February 26th
Last month in this space, I wrote about the context in which the Council will begin this budget process--with an estimated shortfall of $18.6 million.
Since that time, we have seen the release of the Superintendent's proposed budget for the Alexandria City Public Schools, which requests an additional $9.2 million (5.1%) from the City over and beyond the appropriation from last year.
That now means our budget short-fall is $27.8 million--a significant challenge for the Council as we begin the process.
As our custom, the City Council adopted guidance for our City Manager for his preparation of the budget. We encouraged the Manager to bring forward new revenue sources to assist in balancing our budget during this process--including new fees and tax changes.
The guidance also made plain our expectation that all government operations be again scoured for inefficiencies and opportunities for service reduction.
My expectation is that the proposed budget will contain cuts that none of us, including myself, are comfortable with.
The Council also made important steps to protect our strong fiscal condition--protecting our rainy-day fund, ensuring that we maintain our commitment to maintaining balance between current year commitments to our capital budget, and debt financing--as opposed to placing all of our long-term spending on the City's "credit-card."
We also created new opportunities for public input in our budget process, and will actively solicit input from throughout our community as we move forward.
Despite these challenges, the City cannot stand still. We must invest in our infrastructure as a basic down payment on the economic growth that we expect to see over the next few decades.
Accordingly, the City Council also requested that the City Manager propose a new package of Capital Infrastructure spending. The Council directed that this package focus on Public School infrastructure needs, sewer and other basic infrastructure needs, Public safety needs and enhancements to recreation facilities.
Whether the City Council adopts the full vision of this Capital Infrastructure spending plan intact, or substantially modifies it, my hope is that we as a community can have discussion of how we value these important needs.
A month from now, I'll include details on the proposed budget in this newsletter. I look forward to your input on the proposal.
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When Will Potomac Yard Metro Open?
If you made a list of the largest environmental quality initiatives underway in the City today, atop the list would be the Potomac Yard Metrorail Station.
If you made a list of the largest economic development initiatives underway in the City today, atop the list would be the Potomac Yard Metrorail Station.
It is difficult to overstate the importance of this project to the City's future, and getting this project done in the right way is vital.
As mentioned last month, I have joined the Mayor on the Potomac Yard Metrorail Station Implementation Workgroup--the group that is presently guiding the Environmental Impact Statement process, and working to finalize the location, the financial plan and construction details.
This is a massive project with cost estimates ranging from as low as $195 million and as high as $462 million. The Environmental Impact Statement process is considering three "build" alternatives
and one "no-build" alternative.
The Draft Environmental Impact Statement is now scheduled to be released in May. A Public Hearing will be held in June, and the City Council will determine the Locally Preferred Alternative in September.
With that determination, the Final Environmental Impact Statement will be released in June 2014. The construction could then begin in late 2014, with a completion and opening in mid 2017.
There are however, numerous issues we must work through over the next few months. Each of the three options have different impacts on the neighboring residences, the adjacent wetlands, and the George Washington Memorial Parkway. We will need to work through those impacts and minimize or mitigate them.
Then there is the matter of the cost. In 2010, the Council approved a funding plan that contemplated the use of developer contributions, a Special Tax District for properties in Potomac Yard, and a portion of the increased tax revenue generated from new development in Potomac Yard. Ultimately, that will fund the capital and debt service costs of the Metro.
Even with the funding plan intact, the borrowing for the initial construction will be done by the City. The Council must work over the next year to determine the proper timing for commencing construction--based on the expected pace of development.
This is an exciting project, with great promise for our City. I look forward to seeing it through.
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