Too much rain. Not enough. One thing is certain about Texas weather, it's never the same and you can't predict it.

Abundant spring rains delayed much of Texas wheat harvest as some fields are still too wet for combines, custom harvesters.  USDA in May forecast Texas wheat production this year at 131.25 million bushels on an average yield of 35 bushels from 3.75 million acres. A year ago, the state harvested 67.5 million bushels at 30 bushels per acre from 2.25 million acres.

A super-strong El-Nino now brewing in the tropical Pacific will likely bring another rain-drenched winter to large parts of Texas, said Dr. John Nielsen-Gammon, state climatologist, College Station. But the climate scientist said he doesn't expect a repeat of the 2015 wet spring will necessarily follow. 

The El Nino of 2014-2015 was only moderately strong, but the rain it brought, followed by a very wet spring, effectively ended the Texas drought. Meanwhile the 2015-2016 El Nino is shaping up to be a record breaker, said Nielsen-Gammon. 

"So far, it is the strongest ever for this time of year," he said. "The (climate) models that have gotten it right so far, are forecasting it to continue to intensify. So, it seems like it could be among the five strongest ever going into this upcoming winter. There's only about a 10 percent chance, according to the Climate Prediction Center, that the current El Nino could weaken enough that we won't have El Nino conditions this winter," Nielsen-Gammon said. "This is about as solid a bet as you can get for a six month forecast," he said.