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Tuesday, March 25, 2014Published Weekday MorningsFollow us on Twitter  Find us on Facebook
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The Truth About Elections

Jonathan Bernstein: Nate Silver Predicts Republican Senate Advantage. Is He Right?

Democrats to Nate Silver: You're Wrong

Steve Benen: DSCC, Nate Silver can both be right

Cook Political Chart of the Week: Republican Supporters FAR Outspending Democrats Already

Fact Check: Sen. Cruz's 'biggest lie in politics' is actually the truth: Repubs ARE the Party of the rich.

Alex Seitz-Wald: The Presidential Election Does Start Earlier Every 4 Years (but Don't Blame the Media)
Individual Rights On Trial

Hobby Lobby Case Goes Before the Supreme Court Today

Supreme Court to hear birth control/corporate rights case today

Anti-Contraception Ruling Could Have Reach Far Beyond Women's Rights

Pew Research Center: 5 questions about the Supreme Court cases on contraceptive coverage

Justice Scalia's Past May Come Back To Haunt Him On Birth Control

Lin-Fan Wang: The Danger Of Giving Science And Religion Equal Weight In Birth Control Cases

Crying Wolf on Religious Liberty

Adam Winkler: Will the Supreme Court License Anti-Gay Discrimination? 
Russian Roulette

U.S., other powers kick Russia out of G8

Ousted by G-8, Russia determined to prove it can thrive without the West

Ukraine Aid Senate Bill Clears Hurdle

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid notes: Senate GOP's delays may have helped Russia annex Crimea

Kevin Drum: Russia Is Not Exactly a Big Winner in the Crimean Dispute

Peter Baker: Three Presidents and a Riddle Named Putin
Plane Frustrating

Malaysia Airlines Flight 370: China demands satellite data Malaysian government used to conclude Boeing 777 crashed into ocean

Experts, relatives also ask: Where's the proof that MH370 fell into ocean?

Australia Suspends Search for Jet Debris, Citing Bad Weather

Uncertainty haunts search for wreckage, as weather delays search further
Total Recall

Former GM engineers say quiet '06 redesign of faulty ignition switch was a major violation of protocol

General Motors Misled Grieving Families on a Known and Lethal Flaw
Communications Breakdown

After Week Away, Jon Stewart Tears Apart Media For Overblown Missing Plane Coverage

Pew Center: Nearly Half of Public Says There's Been Just The 'Right Amount' of Malaysian Jet Coverage
Nations In Turmoil

Lebanese Foreign Minister says ongoing Syrian crisis poses threat to Lebanon

Egyptian Court adjourns second mass Muslim Brotherhood trial

Yemen: 22 Soldiers Killed by Militants

Death toll rises in Venezuelan protests
The War Over There

Taliban Attack Election Office in Kabul
International News

Arab League summit under way amid divisions

World Health Organization: Air pollution kills 7 million people a year, worldwide
National Politics

Gallup: Party preferences now more than ever polarized by race and ethnicity
Money in Politics

Billionaire mogul Sheldon Adelson looks for mainstream Republican who can win in 2016
Midwest Roundup

Nebraska Legislature votes to end mountain lion hunts

BYU upsets Nebraska to continue women's NCAA tourney run

Iowa Senate Democrats vote to audit state agencies, to find source of money for secret pay-outs

Iowa Senate votes 36-9 to give NASCAR a state tax break
Daily Commentary HeaderHitting 'Em With The Truth
In political media, there's been a huge amount of carping and sniping since Nate Silver's announcement this past weekend that Republicans have a slightly better than fifty percent chance to take over the U.S. Senate this fall. The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee even blasted Nate's forecast yesterday - though how they did it seemed more than a little ridiculous to both our staff and Alex Roarty over at National Journal.

Elections this year - if run fairly and legally -  aren't going to be like the arcane, closeted decision-making process the Supreme Court will be going through starting today. There, nine people will decide, behind closed doors, if for-profit corporations can enforce a religious belief on their employees, and effectively be exempt from any U.S. law the corporation's controllers don't like.

In looking at the potential outcomes of the elections this year - which are still more than 220 days away - Nate's forecast isn't out of line with what anyone else is saying, as Jonathan Bernstein clearly noted over at Bloomberg on Monday. While it is true that Republicans could win control of the Senate, Democrats could also keep control - or maybe even gain a seat.

The key to clarifying the political forecasts of any of these number crunchers and experts is the same key that voters should be using to tell if politicians who are promising everything under the sun will actually deliver on those promises if elected: Ask one simple question - "How?"..
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Jobs & The Economy

Consumer confidence hits highest level in U.S. since Jan. 2008

Harold Meyerson: How to Raise Americans' Wages - Eight proposals to jump-start the incomes of workers
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Catherine Rampell: When long-term unemployment becomes self-perpetuating

Economists: Rising interest rates the biggest threat to further recovery
Wall Street Watch

S&P/Case-Shiller Index: U.S. home prices rise in January

Cooper: Why is Wall St. so divorced from reality? An explanation.
Economic Inequality

Mike Konczal: The Conservative Myth of a Social Safety Net Built on Charity

Joel Kotkin: Where Inequality Is The Worst In The United States
Health Care Checkup

Katrina vanden Heuvel: Voters should know which party is holding up their health care

Brian Beutler: Republicans losing it over positive new Obamacare data: Why their position is collapsing

Kevin Drum: Uninsured Aren't Very Happy With Obamacare
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Survey: Half of Americans still don't understand health care insurance law

Obamacare's help for the underinsured is big, gets little media attention

Paul Waldman: What we should demand from media coverage of the Affordable Care Act
The Spying Game

President Obama to Call for End to N.S.A.'s Bulk Data Collection Later This Week

Flashback, Jan 2014: Pres. Obama presents NSA reforms with plan to end government storage of call data

White House plan would end NSA's bulk collection of phone data

House Repub's proposed NSA reform bill could allow more spying than ever
Education In America

Indiana Drops Common Core Standards

Ed Kilgore: The Crumbling of Common Core Begins

Common Core Academic Standards Spawn Widespread Political Fights On Both Sides Of The Aisle

Stephanie Simon: Taxpayers are now funding creationism in the
classroom

Ethics & The Media

Jim Romanesko: Editor Ben Richardson quits Bloomberg News over handling of investigative piece
Media Matters

Meet Business Insider's Newest Political Columnist: Former Congressman Anthony Weiner
Energy, Climate & Environment

Solar Power Is Now Just As Cheap As Conventional Electricity In Italy And Germany
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14 People Dead, 176 Reports of Missing After Washington Mudslide; Death Toll Expected To Climb
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White House Update

President Obama Signs Flood Insurance Relief Bill

Obama Administration Takes First Major Actions Against Uganda's Anti-Gay Law
News From Capitol Hill

House Democrats continue pressing for immigration vote

House Democrats Aim To Push Past Obstructist Republicans On Immigration
On The Left

Paul Waldman: What the Koch Brothers Can Do For Liberals

Markos Moulitsas: We Don't Need Two Wall Street Parties

John Nichols: Will New Hampshire Be the Next State to Declare Democracy Is for People, Not Corporations?
On The Right

GOP Senate Candidate Disavows His Support for Fetal Personhood - After Sponsoring a Bill Last Year

Libertarian Group Comes Out Against Ron Paul On Russia

Paul Waldman: The GOP's Racial Dog Whistling and the Social Safety Net
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