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January 18,  2016
North Korean Aftershocks

North Korea has been a hot topic in the news due to its recent actions and claim to have a hydrogen bomb. This edition of the Nuclear Newswire is focused on the latest updates regarding North Korea and the resulting aftermath of its actions.

NORTH KOREA
The North Korea Sanctions Enforcement Act of 2016
Stephen Haggard, North Korea: Witness to Transformation
January 15, 2016

The fourth nuclear test has had its first substantive impact on US policy. On Tuesday, the U.S. House of Representatives passed HR 757, the North Korea Sanctions Enforcement Act, on a 418-2 vote; a useful chapter-by-chapter summary can be found here. 


North Korea's 2016 Nuclear Test
David Albright, Institute for Science and International Security
January 6, 2016

The technical nature of North Korea's January 6, 2016 nuclear test remains largely a mystery. Its announcement that the test involved an H-Bomb needs to be treated carefully. However, its claim should not be discounted completely, since it has been investigating thermonuclear materials and concepts for some time.
 

Regional Powers Expected to Team Up After H-Bomb Test
The China Post
January 7, 2016

A Taiwanese lawmaker and military expert predicted Wednesday that South Korea will seek closer cooperative ties with its neighboring countries, including mainland China, Japan and the United States after a reported successful hydrogen bomb test in North Korea. 
 

National Public Radio
January 7, 2016

North Korea's state television says a hydrogen bomb was detonated. Renee Montagne talks to Daniel Pinkston, a Korea expert recently with the International Crisis Group. 


North Korean Missile Test Less Successful Than It Appears
Kelsey Atherton, Popular Science
January 13, 2016

North Korea's official releases lie so often it's hard to notice when they publish a kernel of truth. Last week, the country claimed to have tested a hydrogen bomb, while analyses from around the world showed the impact to be instead that of a much weaker atomic bomb. 

Sanctions' Role in Dealing with the North Korean Problem
38 North - North Korea Nuclear Futures
January 13, 2016

For almost a decade, sanctions have been the principal coercive instrument available to the United States and the international community in trying to deal with North Korea's nuclear weapons and long-range ballistic missile programs. 
 

One Small Atomic War Could Trigger Cruel Nuclear Winters and Global Famine
Kevin Loria, Tech Insider
January 6, 2016

North Korea's fourth test of a nuclear weapon - whether it was a hydrogen bomb or not - calls attention to a well-known but sobering fact: There are a terrifying number of nuclear weapons in the arsenals of major powers around the world.


Hecker Assesses North Korean Hydrogen Bomb Claims
Steve Fyffe, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
January 7, 2016

In this interview, North Korean expert Siegfried Hecker is skeptical that the North Koreans tested an H-bomb, but nonetheless finds reason to worry: "We know so little about North Korea's nuclear weapons design and test results that we cannot completely rule it out." 


The Fourth Test: The China Dimension
Stephen Haggard, North Korea: Witness to Transformation
January 11, 2016

With the fourth nuclear test, North Korea has re-entered American politics with surprising rapidity. The result is an outbreak of mutual finger-pointing between the United States and China that is counterproductive, playing directly to Kim Jong Un's advantage.


National Public Radio
January 8, 2016
  
It's believed North Korea conducted a nuclear test on Tuesday. Renee Montagne talks to Victor Cha, senior adviser and Korea chair at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.
 

Why Experts Doubt That North Korea Tested a Hydrogen Bomb
Josh Keller, Ford Fessenden, and Tim Wallace, New York Times
January 6, 2016
  
North Korea claimed on Wednesday that it had tested a hydrogen bomb, the most powerful kind of nuclear weapon. But the yield, or total energy released by the weapon, was close to that of North Korea's previous three tests of atomic bombs, which are simpler.


Why Even a Failed Test Makes North Korea's Nuclear Arsenal Scarier
Sharon Squassoni, Reuters
January 8, 2016
  
With each test, the North Koreans learn how to improve their devices. Data from the tests help them design more reliable, efficient and ultimately more usable weapons. North Korea is especially aiming for smaller and more powerful warheads so that it can fit a nuclear payload on an intercontinental range missile. Each test helps North Korea advance toward that goal.


Responding to North Korea's Nuclear Test
Michael Krepon, Arms Control Wonk
January 7, 2016
  
Because the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty is not perfect, it needs to be strengthened. All it takes is a single state to carry out testing to send shock waves regionally, while weakening the nuclear taboo and the Non-proliferation Treaty. This test, North Korea's fourth, calls for actions that buttress the CTBT, the nuclear taboo, and the NPT.


Stopping North Korea's Nuclear Threat
Victor Cha and Robert Gallucci, New York Times
January 8, 2016
  
North Korea's leaders still believe that nuclear weapons will prevent others from attacking them no matter what they do. This is fanciful. What the world needs is reality. North Korea must recognize the limitations and risks of its nuclear program, and the United States must recognize that an American response is necessary.


North Korea's Fourth Nuclear Test: How to Respond? 
Scott Snyder, Council on Foreign Relations
January 6, 2016
  
the complex challenge facing the United States and the global community is how to impose costs on the reclusive state without opening a new front in a seeming contagion of global hot spots and instability. Escalation of a crisis with North Korea would likely open a Pandora's Box of difficult geopolitical, humanitarian, and potentially military challenges. Yet, efforts to defer these challenges will only guarantee that the problems on the Korean peninsula will grow more complex and costly in the future.


North Korea's Latest Nuclear Test: A Belfer Center Expert Round-Up
Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs
January 7, 2016
  
Though analysts are casting doubt on the nature of the detonation, Pyongyang's fourth nuclear test is a reminder of the regime's unpredictability. How serious is this action and how should foreign powers respond? Belfer Center experts Graham Allison, Jieun Baek, Matthew Bunn, Nicholas Burns, Olli Heinonen, John Park, Gary Samore, and William Tobey weigh in on the significance and implications of North Korea's latest nuclear test.


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