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SPECIAL ISSUE:
Nuclear Posture, Nonproliferation Policy,
and the Spread of Nuclear Weapons
Guest Editors: Erik Gartzke and Matthew Kroenig
The Journal of Conflict Resolution
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A Rational Approach to Nuclear Weapons Policy
Al Mauroni, War on the Rocks
Apri 28, 2014
Over the past several years, the U.S. nuclear enterprise has taken an increasing number of shots from public advocates proposing further defense budget cuts and continued reductions in force. These critics suggest that further nuclear arms reductions beyond the New START levels are possible and should be instituted prior to the 2018 deadline for meeting those limits. There are two popular assumptions for this: either because the United States doesn't "use" nuclear weapons in what some have called the "Second Nuclear Age" or because there is a perception that the cost of sustaining and modernizing nuclear weapons is no longer affordable in a climate of reduced defense budgets.
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Han M. Kristensen and Robert S. Norris, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
January 6, 2014
The United States has an estimated 4,650 nuclear warheads available for delivery by more than 800 ballistic missiles and aircraft. Approximately 2,700 retired but still intact warheads await dismantlement, for a total inventory of roughly 7,400 warheads. The stockpile includes an estimated 2,130 operational warheads, about 1,150 on submarine-launched ballistic missiles and 470 on intercontinental ballistic missiles. Roughly 300 strategic warheads are located at bomber bases in the United States, and nearly 200 nonstrategic warheads are deployed in Europe. Another 2,530 warheads are in storage. To comply with New START, the United States is expected to eliminate land-based missile silos, reduce the number of launch tubes on its missile submarines,
and limit its inventory of nuclear-capable bombers in coming years. Coinciding with a revised nuclear weapons strategy, the Obama administration is also planning an upgrade of all nuclear weapons systems. The three-decade-long plan would cost more than $200 billion in the first decade alone.
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Nuclear Freeze: Wrong Again!
Peter Huessy, Frontiers of Freedom
April 28, 2014
In their preview of their April 27, 2014 show CBS 60 Minutes worried that our ICBMs could not be recalled if launched and since they were deployed in known locations might better be eliminated. In so doing, they joined a long parade of efforts to diminish our nuclear deterrent, but they did so ironically just at a time when world geostrategic events, if anything, require a stronger and more effective American deterrent.
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Five Powers Agree to Respect Central
Asian Nuclear-Free Zone
Rachel Oswald, Global Security Newswire
April 30, 2014
The world's five nuclear powers announced on Tuesday they had agreed to never use their atomic arms against five Central Asian countries.
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Iran's Rouhani Defends Nuclear Deal Talks
April 30, 2014
President Hassan Rouhani of Iran has accused his critics of using lies to oppose his policies, including nuclear talks with world powers, and says a deal restricting Iran's nuclear programme would benefit the country.
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U.N. Nuclear Watchdog to Visit Two Iranian Sites: Media
Rueters
April 29, 2014
The United Nations atomic agency will visit two uranium sites in Iran next week, Iranian media reported on Tuesday, part of the body's efforts to gain greater insight into Tehran's disputed nuclear program.
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Approaching a Tipping Point in Nuclear
Julian Borger, The Guardian
May 1, 2014
"The early hours of July 21!" That was the recent prediction of a European diplomat involved in the multilateral, multi-stage talks with Iran over the country's nuclear programme. The target date for a deal is July 20. The little joke embedded in the diplomat's forecast was that past experience suggests that the talks will go right down to the wire and then a few hours beyond, as the sides jostle for last-gasp advantage, before concluding in the middle of the night.
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Feds: Plan to Mothball MOX Plant On Hold
Meg Kinnard, The Associated Press
April 29, 2014
Construction will continue this year at a nuclear reactor fuel project at the Savannah River Site, but plans to mothball the multibillion dollar program eventually are still in the works, federal authorities said Tuesday.
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Final Report of the Committee to Recommend
Alternatives to the Uranium Processing Facility
Plan in Meeting the Nation's Enriched Uranium Strategy
Prepared by Thom Mason, Chair
The Oak Ridge National Laboratory
On 15 January, 2014, Acting Administrator of the National Nuclear Security Administration, Bruce Held, requested Thom Mason, director of Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), to lead a "project peer review" of the Uranium Processing Facility. Twenty-five reviewers were recruited from across the US Department of Energy and National Nuclear Security Administration enterprise to conduct the study and this team was supported by subject matter experts from ORNL and informed by contractor and federal staff from the Y-12 National Security Complex. The linked report is the result of this endeavor.
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UPF Update: Red Team Report is a Recipe for Disaster
Ralph Hutchison, Oak Ridge Environmental Peace Alliance
When the National Nuclear Security Administration's Uranium Processing Facility pricetag threatened to break the $20 billion barrier, NNSA Administrator Bruce Held set up a Hail Mary play-he appointed a "Red Team" to review the project and propose alternatives that would address the need to relocate weapon production activities from the deteriorating 9212 Complex at the Y12 Nuclear Weapons Complex sooner rather than later and rein in the runaway cost estimates.
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A Nuclear North Korea vs. a Strategically Patient U.S.:
Who Wins?
Leon V. Sigal, The National Interest
As President Obama heads to Asia, strategic patience in Washington is stirring strategic impatience in Pyongyang. For over a year North Korea has waited for the United States to resume negotiations-but it will wait no longer. It has restarted its reactor to generate more plutonium, is close to completing a new reactor, and is expanding its uranium enrichment. It has test launched two medium-range missiles and has displayed new, untested longer-range missiles starting in 2010. Worst of all, indications are that it will very soon conduct a nuclear test that breaks with the past, both militarily and politically.
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Iran-North Korea-Syria Ballistic
Missile and Nucelar Cooperation
Paul K. Kerr, Mary Beth D. Nikitin, and Steven A. Hildreth, Congressional Research Service
CRS report prepared for members and committees of the US Congress.
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GOP Defense Bill Pushes Back Against Proposed
Nuclear-Modernization Delays
Douglas P. Guarino, Global Security Newswire
House Armed Services Committee Republicans are pushing back against the Obama administration's plans to delay selected efforts to modernize the U.S. nuclear arsenal.
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