Why is Thomas Piketty's new book Capital in the Twenty-First Century, a 700-page economics book on income inequality, number one on amazon.com's bestseller list just a few weeks after publication?
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The roller-coaster ride of housing sales is on the down cycle all of a sudden, even though interest rates are at a historically low level. What causes this up-then-down pattern?
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Does electronic " brain training" work? Researchers are trying to develop ways to sharpen perceptual, reasoning and memory skills, but do the methods actually help?
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Some credit cards are offering 0% interest for 18 months! Find out more here.
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Our veterans need more than just a handshake, they need a helping hand.
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Facebook is making lots of money from new ventures. What does this imply for the information security of its subscribers?
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Unique use of a 3-D printer is helping people with disabilities in Sudan.
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 In this month's video, I want to share with you some important life lessons I learned from a dear friend who is no longer with me. Upon Bill's passing, I began to understand more fully what a good friend he had been and that I had learned a lot from him.
We've got a lot of useful information and facts in our articles and shorter pieces. Don't miss what Commonwealth Financial Network has to say about cable TV costs.
We hope you'll let us know if our newsletters strike a note with you and hopefully help you out with any financial issues you face. You can always reach us by phone at 614-888-2121 (toll-free, 879-382-2121) or e-mail at chornyak@chornyak.com.
Sincerely,
Joe
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We learn from life as we live it. This month Joe shares with us some important life tactics that he learned from a friend who recently passed away. The lessons all have to do with keeping our minds alert and learning from our mistakes. We must free our lives of clutter by getting things done. The best way to achieving a freer lifestyle is the Nike motto, "Just Do It." Take a look at this thoughtful video and see if the advice fits your lifestyle.
Click here or on the image above to view the video.
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TV debate: should you cut the cable cord?
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Do you get sticker shock when you see your cable TV bill? Subscribing to a cable network has become a major item in the family budget. Commonwealth Financial Network gives us a sound analysis of the situation, with alternatives and cautions.
If you think your cable bill is getting out of hand, you're not alone. The cost of cable has skyrocketed over the last decade, with the average monthly bill climbing to nearly $90 for basic and premium channels, according to the NPD Group, a market research firm. To make matters worse, cable bills are on track to reach $200 per month in 2020, NPD says, as customers shell out about 6 percent more annually.
Does the rising cost of cable have you ready to pull the plug? Before you do, here are some factors to consider.
What could you save?
Many families could use an extra $90 per month, and the savings are even more dramatic if you calculate the cost of cable over a lifetime. What if, starting at age 23, you instead placed this money in an investment portfolio, leaving it there until you reached age 80? Using AARP's investment calculator, assuming a six percent rate of return and an inflation rate of 3 percent, you could potentially save nearly $512,000!*
Of course, the amount you're able to put away will vary depending on your current cable package. If you have a bundle deal that includes phone, TV, and Internet, the fee for stand-alone Internet may be more than you expect, as bundled services typically come at a discount.
Cable alternatives
Thanks to a growing array of web-based services, cancelling your cable subscription no longer means missing out on your favorite shows and movies. Here's a look at some of the more popular options:
- Subscription video-on-demand. At about $8 per month, a subscription to a streaming service such as Netflix, Hulu Plus, or Amazon Prime is a steal compared with the $1,080 average yearly cable bill. To stream the content directly to your TV, you'll also need to purchase a device like Apple TV ($99) or Roku ($49), or use a gaming system, like Nintendo Wii. An even less expensive option is to connect your computer or smart device directly to your TV with a cable or cord. And for mobile viewing, these subscriptions include an app that you can download to your tablet or smartphone.
- Free online programming. Major TV networks like NBC, ABC, and FOX make full episodes of many programs available on their own websites, for free. You can also view a variety of TV shows and movies on Hulu without a subscription.
- Setting up your TV the old-fashioned way. No longer limited to "rabbit ears," television antennas are making a comeback. Depending on where you live and the type of antenna you choose, you may be able to pick up a number of basic HD channels.
What you might miss
Of course, cable TV hasn't been around this long by accident. Before you cut the cord, be sure you're ready to part with the perks.
- A variety of channels. If you love channel surfing, cable may be worth the cost. Plus, programs from some premium channels, like HBO and Showtime, may not be available through Netflix and other streaming services.
- "First viewer advantage." In the age of social media, it's hard to avoid spoilers for TV shows and movies. Although some programs may be available for streaming immediately after they run on television, there may be a long wait for other series. If you're impatient, cable TV might still be your best bet.
- News broadcasts and live sports. Though news is available from many online sources, you may prefer to tune into your local broadcast. But perhaps the main reason that many people keep cable is coverage of live sporting events. (Cable companies have figured this out and don't offer ESPN in basic packages.)
Still not sure?
With all the entertainment options out there, sorting through your choices can be time-consuming. MarketWatch's cord-cutting calculator can help you find a solution that fits your needs, as well as tell you how much you could save each month.
And if cutting cable seems like too big a step, here's another idea: Simply call your cable provider and try to negotiate a better deal on your current package.
*This is a hypothetical example and is for illustrative purposes only. No specific investments were used in this example. Actual results will vary. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
� 2014 Commonwealth Financial Network�
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"Best of the Best" financial advisors
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Robert Mauk, CFP� and Joseph Chornyak, Jr., CPF� of Chornyak & Associates were invited to participate in Commonwealth Financial Network�'s Winners Circle conference, March 31-April 4, 2014. Winners Circle recognizes successful advisors based on a ranking of annual production among Commonwealth's network of 1,487 financial advisors.
Participants were selected based upon their reputation for continuously seeking out knowledge, insights, and strategies to propel their practice forward and provide indispensable service to valued clients. By attending Winners Circle, Bob and Joe, Jr. demonstrate their commitment to running a successful practice and the drive to continually improve and evolve within their business environment.
The week-long conference consisted of informative sessions in which attendees gained new insights, best practices, and recommendations from industry leaders. Networking sessions and opportunities for interacting with peers allowed like-minded advisors to connect and share ideas. Overall, the conference emphasized providing the highest level of service, value, and commitment to the participants' client bases.
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The advantages of shopping for a car online
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Does facing a smiling salesperson with shiny late-model cars surrounding him or her in an auto showroom, ready to pounce, make you feel intimidated? Perhaps online automobile shopping is for you. This article from cooltobefrugal.com explains the ins and outs of shopping for cars online.
You may already shop for books, gifts, clothing, or even groceries online. However, have you thought about buying something as large as a car? You can save a great deal of time, money, and energy by starting your search for a new or used car online.
From researching your options to negotiating with dealers, you can go through a great deal of the process online before ever setting foot on the lot. The following are a few ways that shopping around online can give you an advantage.
Comparison Tools
The internet provides a treasure trove of information for car buyers. As you start your search, you can read reviews of different models on listings sites like Motoring.com.au or car magazines. This can help you narrow down what you're looking for. You can also use pricing guides like Edmunds.com to find out what the average used prices are for a particular vehicle, or even find out how much dealers are paying for new models. With these vehicle statistics and consumer ratings, you'll be armed with information that can help you choose the right car and negotiate with a dealer. You'll be far less likely to get talked into extras you don't need.
More Relaxed Experience
Many buyers get nervous in the high-pressure environment of an automotive showroom. Although viewing a car and taking it for a test drive is a good way to find out if it could be a good fit for your lifestyle, you'll also have the pressure of speaking to a professional salesman. You'll spend money driving back and forth to dealerships, and you may feel pressured into signing up for an extended warranty, a higher trim level, or other extras that you would not have bought on your own. Shopping online gives you the time and space to find a better deal and purchase only those extras that you truly want.
Online Broker Services
It's impossible to buy a new car directly from the factory as a consumer, thanks to franchise laws. Even if you purchase online, you will still need to go through a dealer. However, there are online brokers and referral services that can handle this negotiation for you, shopping around to get the best rates on your behalf. This can yield discounts that you wouldn't otherwise be privy to, for a price as close to factory-floor as possible.
Auction Sites
Another way to avoid the dealership is to purchase through auction or person-to-person sites, like Ebaymotors.com or Craigslist. These allow you to negotiate the sale on your own terms, after conducting research to find out what the best make, model, and price will be for your needs. Although you can get a great deal from a private seller, there is also a higher degree of risk inherent in this option so it's best to view the car and get it inspected by a third party if possible before making your purchase.
Whether you plan to use online price comparison websites to find the best price on a new car or purchase a used model entirely over the internet, there are a number of ways to take advantage of the wealth of tools available. These can also be used to purchase cheaper car insurance and parts, saving you on long-term running costs.
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Trent Hamm of The Simple Dollar advances the proposition that practicing a frugal lifestyle enables us to live life to the fullest, rather than the opposite. He believes that frugality simply means moving your spending from things that are less important to you to things that are more important to you wherever possible. See if you agree.
One of the biggest arguments against being "frugal" is that it restricts you from "living life." Whenever I hear that argument, I usually think that the person involved isn't actually being frugal at all.
In fact, I would go so far as to argue that making frugal choices actually does the opposite - it enables you to live life more fully than before.
The grocery store exampleI think I can explain this idea simply in terms of a grocery store trip. Let's say you go into the grocery store and have $100 to spend to buy a week's worth of groceries for you and your partner (we won't talk about kids here - we'll keep it nice and simple). When you walk down the bread aisle, some of the breads cost $1 a loaf and others cost as much as $5 a loaf. When you examine the cuts of meat, some of the meats cost $2 per pound and others cost $8 per pound. When you look at the milk options, some of the milk costs $2.50 per gallon and others cost $7 per gallon. You could use virtually any product in this example - cheese instead of milk, trash bags instead of meat, beans instead of bread. Almost everything you see in a grocery store has a range of prices like that. When you're making your choices, it's often tempting to just get the "good" version of everything. You might grab the $5 bread and the $8 meat and the $7 milk. At the end of the trip, though, you'll find yourself with much more than $100 worth of stuff in your cart. This is the situation that people find themselves in when they get into credit card debt. So, how do you go about getting back under that $100 limit? Do you simply put back some of the items and do without? That's a pretty miserable response. It doesn't feel particularly good to swap some of the items for cheaper versions, either. Those approaches are why frugality feels like you're not "living life" - you have this sense of giving up things that you care about. A truly frugal person's approach to shoppingWhen a frugal person looks at the breads, that person decides whether or not expensive bread is actually important to them. Does it really matter much at all if I get the expensive bread or the cheap one? Does $5 bread signify a major life improvement over the $1 bread? Even more important than that, the frugal person asks themselves whether they'd rather take that $4 and use it to get better milk, coffee, or something else they care more about. When I go to the grocery store, I'm extremely picky about the eggs that I buy. I prefer the free range eggs because they taste much better to me and are less likely to have lots of sulphur in the yolk. I'm willing to pay more for those eggs. At the same time, I'm not particularly picky about the bread that I buy, as long as it's whole wheat. Getting the great expensive bread doesn't add to the quality of my life in any significant way. So, I buy the cheap bread and the money I save helps to buy the expensive eggs while still keeping me under budget. Spend more on what you really care aboutI choose to spend as little as I possibly can on the stuff I don't really care about so that I can spend more on the stuff that I do care about. That principle expands into the rest of my life. For example, I personally don't care about driving a nice, shiny car. I just want something that gets me from place to place, so I choose not to spend much on my automobiles. I haven't had a car payment in several years. I don't care what kind of laundry soap I use as long as the clothes get clean, so I buy extremely cheap soap or make my own. I don't care what kind of ketchup I buy, as I rarely use it. I don't really value having gum or soft drinks from the gas station because I usually have a water bottle in the car already. As long as I can do the things I want to do, I prefer to spend as little on home energy use as possible. I could go on and on like this. These are all things I personally don't care much about. In fact, my actual list is quite a bit longer, including lots of typical pantry and household items, as well as entertainment bills and eating out. Your list of unimportant things might look much different than mine. The money I "save" by not spending it on things I don't care about lets me buy things I do care about without worry. Because I have this long list of unimportant things that I make sure to spend as little on as possible, I have plenty of money left over for the other things in life that I really do care about. That's all frugality is. Whenever you see a long list of frugality tips, it's just a list of ideas on how to cut back on the things you don't care about. Since the writer doesn't necessarily know what you find important and what you don't, you're expected to choose from the items on the list so you're cutting back on the unimportant things. It becomes miserable when you decide you need to use every frugality tip and end up cutting back on the things that are important to you. Another big part of frugality is deeply understanding what's actually important to you. I use a few simple tests to figure this out. One, will I care about this purchase a week from now? If I won't, then it's probably not important and I should go cheap (or not buy it at all). Two, does this product actually do something I couldn't already do? Usually, the answer is no, which means it's not worth buying. Three, will this make my future life better in some fashion? This points me toward the value of repaying debt and saving for the future, as both of those moves reduces stress and increases options down the road. It's actually worth spending some time thinking about how you spend money in that way. Is this really important to me? Is $10 per month spent on Netflix providing more for my life than a $10 extra payment on my mortgage each month? Will $7 spent at the coffee shop add more to my life than $7 put toward replacing a broken blender? Thoughts like that go through my head all the time when I'm driving or doing other things. Frugality simply means moving your spending from things that are less important to you to things that are more important to you wherever possible. It means spending less when possible on the things you must have, choosing the cheapest possible option (or going without) on the things you don't care much about, and thus leaving yourself with plenty of money for the things you do care about. Making a frugal decision should never, ever increase your misery. That goes against the whole idea. If you're feeling miserable about how you're spending your money, then the real culprit is insufficient income. Frugality just means you're figuring out how to take what you have and make optimal choices with it.
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This communication is strictly intended for individuals residing in the States of: AL, AR, AZ, CA, CO, CT, DC, DE, FL, GA, IA, IL, IN, KY, LA, MA, MD, ME, MI, MN, MS, MT, NC, NH, NJ, NV, NY, OH, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VA, VT, WI, WV. No offers may be made or accepted from any resident outside these States due to various state requirements and registration requirements regarding investment products and services.
Securities and Advisory Services Offered Through Commonwealth Financial Network, Member FINRA/SIPC, a Registered Investment Adviser. Fixed-insurance products and services offered by Chornyak & Associates, LTD are separate and unrelated to Commonwealth.
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Disclosures: Certain sections of this commentary contain forward-looking statements that are based on our reasonable expectations, estimates, projections, and assumptions. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks and uncertainties, which are difficult to predict. All indices are unmanaged and are not available for direct investment by the public. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The S&P 500 is based on the average performance of the 500 industrial stocks monitored by Standard & Poor's. The Nasdaq Composite Index measures the performance of all issues listed in the Nasdaq Stock Market, except for rights, warrants, units, and convertible debentures. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is computed by summing the prices of the stocks of 30 large companies and then dividing that total by an adjusted value, one which has been adjusted over the years to account for the effects of stock splits on the prices of the 30 companies. Dividends are reinvested to reflect the actual performance of the underlying securities. The MSCI EAFE Index is a float-adjusted market capitalization index designed to measure developed market equity performance, excluding the U.S. and Canada. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index is a market capitalization-weighted index composed of companies representative of the market structure of 26 emerging market countries in Europe, Latin America, and the Pacific Basin. The Russell 2000� Index measures the performance of the 2,000 smallest companies in the Russell 3000 Index. The Barclays Capital Aggregate Bond Index is an unmanaged market value-weighted performance benchmark for investment-grade fixed-rate debt issues, including government, corporate, asset-backed, and mortgage-backed securities with maturities of at least one year. The U.S. Treasury Index is based on the auctions of U.S. Treasury bills, or on the U.S. Treasury's daily yield curve. The Barclays Capital Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) Index is an unmanaged market value-weighted index of 15- and 30-year fixed-rate securities backed by mortgage pools of the Government National Mortgage Association (GNMA), Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae), and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (FHLMC), and balloon mortgages with fixed-rate coupons. The Barclays Capital Municipal Bond Index includes investment-grade, tax-exempt, and fixed-rate bonds with long-term maturities (greater than 2 years) selected from issues larger than $50 million. The Barclays Capital U.S. Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) Index measures the performance of intermediate (1- to 10-year) U.S. TIPS.
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Market Update
Markets bounce around as economy improvesFinancial markets were volatile during April, even as most recovered to show little change. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.87 percent, and the S&P 500 Index gained 0.74 percent, while the Nasdaq dropped 2.01 percent. The small changes in the Dow and S&P 500 masked two intramonth declines of about 2 percent and 3 percent, respectively, driven by growth fears, which hit technology and momentum-oriented equities. This differential drove the Nasdaq, which has a higher population of these stocks, to a worse performance for the month and into negative territory for the year. Earnings were also a concern. Early reports actually showed a decline in corporate earnings over the previous quarter. Although data from the end of April moved earnings back into growth territory, the numbers were below what had been initially expected. The uncertainty about earnings growth, combined with bad news about the Chinese economy and the Ukraine situation, made investors nervous. These mid-month losses were recovered, but they prevented further gains. Technical factors also showed weakness during the month. Several technical support levels were violated, although only for a limited time. The averages remain well above the most worrisome levels, but some damage has been done, and this merits watching. Developed international markets performed more strongly than U.S. markets, with the MSCI EAFE Index up 1.45 percent, although they continued to trail year-to-date. About half of this came from currency appreciation relative to the dollar. The strong month was in part a bounce back from previous underperformance and also reflected less exposure to technology and momentum stocks. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index was up less-0.06 percent-which reflected the uncertainty surrounding China's economy. Once again, longer-duration fixed income securities performed best. High-quality, longer-dated bonds and TIPS posted the strongest returns in April, because of investor demand for certainty and yield. The worst-performing area within bond markets was the floating-rate bank loan space, which was essentially flat for the month. Short-duration bonds also experienced lackluster performance. Overall, the Barclays Capital Aggregate Bond Index returned 0.84 percent. Spring continues for U.S. economyAfter the economic weakness of January and February, statistics for March showed the slowdown to be largely due to weather. The employment numbers for March highlighted much stronger job growth, which was confirmed by even better April employment data. Private jobs touched a new high, breaking the level from before the financial crisis, even as unemployment claims averaged at low levels, despite bouncing around. Overall demand for labor was strong, with the average hours per week at historically high levels. Better employment led to increased consumer confidence and also to higher spending, a primary driver of the economy. Retail sales were up an unusually robust 1.1 percent, which probably partially reflected pent-up demand from the poor weather months but still was well above expectations. Personal consumption, a wider measure of economic activity, rose at a brisk pace. The news was not all good. Economic growth was reported as 0.1 percent for the first quarter of 2014, but because this largely reflected bad weather in January and February, it was not a significant concern. More worrisome was an apparent slowdown in the housing recovery. Even as prices continued to increase, activity levels slowed, apparently due partially to the weather, but more due to a lack of supply. Although the slowdown is arguably good news, reflecting a more normal market, it remains an issue worth watching. The Federal Reserve continues to taperAs expected, the Federal Reserve (Fed) continued to reduce its bond-buying program by an additional $10 billion, to $45 billion per month. There was speculation that the weak first quarter might have led to a pause, but the Fed concluded that the economic recovery was strong enough to continue the pace of purchase reductions. Despite the continued taper, rates actually fell during April, which should help the housing market continue its growth, and illustrates that, despite the Fed's reduction in stimulus, an increase in rates is by no means assured. International uncertainty remainsThere were two major worries from around the world for U.S. investors in April. The situation in Ukraine continued to simmer. Although the expectation was for an eventual resolution, investors still worried that tensions seemed to be escalating. There is a growing conflict between the U.S. and our European allies about how to address the situation; Germany in particular is strongly lobbying against increased sanctions. The second area of concern is China, where signs of a significant slowdown continue to appear. Chinese manufacturing and exports are showing lower-than-expected growth, and there are hints that China's leaders realize that slower growth may be necessary to unwind some of the country's financial imbalances. Keep in mind that in this case, slow growth might mean a still healthy 6 percent or so, but this represents a significant change from recent history. Additionally, the potential for policy errors could damage the world economy, as well as China's. Spring is hereAs we move into the second quarter, it seems clear that spring is here for the U.S. economy after the weather slowdown of the first quarter. Steady improvements in employment and consumer spending are clearly optimistic signs. Even though worries remain, especially about the pace of wage growth, the trends appear not only favorable but improving for the real economy. Financial markets are less certain. U.S. market results for the month, while not a concern, showed signs of potential weakness. Company earnings, though beating current expectations, are not particularly impressive. Technical damage was also done to the major indices in April, and therefore markets bear watching. Overall, our stance remains optimistic, but with elements of concern about the financial markets, which remain vulnerable to uncertainty. As always, a diversified portfolio constructed around an investor's own risk tolerance and time frame should help achieve goals, regardless of what happens in the interim. Authored by Brad McMillan, vice president, chief investment officer, and Sean Fullerton, investment research analyst, at Commonwealth Financial Network.
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