Personal Money Planning Web Site
Like us on FacebookView our profile on LinkedIn

IN THIS ISSUE: 

Personal Money Planning's Newsletter
May 3, 2014
Gary Silverman, CFP 

Welcome to May. May is one of the more boring months. When you line up months from the one with the best average historical gain through the worst, May comes in a middling #6 with an average gain of +1.12%.

And if you care to know (not that it matters as I'm going to tell you anyway), over the last 80 years the S&P 500 is as likely to gain more than 26.5% as it is to have a negative return. Each event has occurred 20 times each in that 80-year period.

Will 2014 be one of those really good years, a really bad one, or a tedious (read: "normal" ) one? I'll tell you this time next year. 

Gary Silverman, CFP®

Soapbox
Gary's Soapbox
Buffet's annual letter

  

Each year, Warren Buffett's letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders is considered a must-read in the investment world. If you'd like to read the latest one (2013) you can find it here.


I think it is a great read. Though most of it has to do with what's going on in the company he heads, if you turn to pages 17-19, you'll get his "...Thoughts About Investing." This year's thought centers around the lessons we can all learn from some non-stock real estate investments he made years ago. It is a lesson about cautions when buying an investment, how being an "expert" is not a requisite to investing wisely, and the importance of taking the long forward-looking view to the point of virtually ignoring what's going on in the markets at the moment.


While I highly recommend reading "Thoughts,"  I also don't shy away from suggesting you read through to page 20; because at the end of the subsection he gives specific investment advice that most would do well to heed: Put 10% of your money in cash and the other 90% in an S&P 500 Index Fund.


Whoa! Are you talking yourself out of a job, Gary? Nope. First, let's realize that Warren isn't exactly selling all his holdings and putting 10% in cash and 90% in an index fund. He knows that with cautious wisdom one can generate returns that do better than that. After all, that's what he gets paid to do. Rather, he is trying to guard against generations beyond him and his abilities from being sold a bill of goods from my industry--promising the world but only delivering high-fee investment vehicles. My industry is very good at doing that.


The other part of the equation you might be missing is that such a portfolio would have plummeted to about half its value in the period from October 2007 though March of 2009 (which really echoed a similar drop from 2000 - 2002 and other times in history). He knows that this is not a big deal if you stick to your guns, do not panic, and eventually ride the market back up again. He can stomach that sort of volatility. I can stomach that sort of volatility. Most people panic and sell. 


That's where I come in, both in designing a portfolio that doesn't drop in half in the bad years while doing reasonably well in good ones, and holding the hands of clients to get them through the ordeal.


So while we can learn a lot from the wisdom and truth extolled by Mr. Buffett, I do not fear for my livelihood.

  

--Gary
Articles
Gary's Latest Articles
From the Times Record News
Remember that tax money?
Now that it's been a few weeks since many of us sent off that check to Uncle Sam, you may be wondering--where does that money go? Read More...

Local school bond election
Wichita Falls is considering a $125 million bond to fund construction and renovation of local schools. Gary doesn't like the proposal, but he's voting for it. Why? Click Here...
Money101
Money 101:
Money lessons for kids
boy-reading-magic.jpg
For the most part, kids think that grown-ups make lots of money and that "stuff" doesn't cost all that much. Teaching them where they are wrong is one step in their personal financial education. Read More...
Final Thoughts
If you don't follow me on Facebook (you can, here and here), you may have missed the news about the first asteroid that was found with a ring system. What's that all about? Read more here...

Have a great week!

Join Our Mailing List
QUICK LINKS

Like us on FacebookView our profile on LinkedIn
Copyright © 2014. All Rights Reserved. 
©2014 Personal Money Planning . All rights reserved by Personal Money Planning and content may not be reproduced, disseminated, or transferred in any form or by any means, except with the prior written permission of Personal Money Planning unless specifically noted. (Permission is not difficult to obtain.) The one exception is for downloading and printing information from this newsletter for general education by the original recipient.

DISCLOSURE

This newsletter is produced by Gary Silverman, dba Personal Money Planning, a registered investment advisor located in Wichita Falls, Texas.
Information in this newsletter is believed to provide accurate and authoritative information in regards to the subject matter covered. However, the accuracy, timeliness, or applicability of the information is not guaranteed and is provided with the understanding that we are not rendering legal, accounting, tax, or other professional advice or services.
This publication should not be construed by any consumer and/or prospective client as Personal Money Planning's solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet. Nor should links provided to other sites be construed as the recommendation of the services or products mentioned on those sites. If such services are required, the help of a competent professional should be sought.Remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results. Therefore, you should not assume that the future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy, or product made reference to (directly or indirectly) on this Website will be profitable or equal to indicated performance levels. Different types of investment involve varying degrees of risk, and there can be no assurance that any specific investment will either be suitable or profitable for your investment portfolio.
Historical performance results for investment indexes and categories generally do not reflect the deduction of transaction or custodial charges or the deduction of an investment management fee, the incurrence of which would have the effect of decreasing historical performance results.
A copy of Personal Money Planning's current written disclosure statement discussing Personal Money Planning's business operations, services, and fees (known as an ADV Part II) is available from Personal Money Planning upon written request (and can be downloaded from our web site).
Personal Money Planning does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy, timeliness, suitability, completeness, or relevance of any information prepared by any unaffiliated third party, whether linked to Personal Money Planning's web site or incorporated herein, and takes no responsibility therefore. All such information is provided solely for convenience purposes only and all users thereof should be guided accordingly.