THE TTALK QUOTES
On Global Trade & Investment
Published Three Times a Week By:
The Global Business Dialogue, Inc.
Washington, DC   Tel: 202-463-5074
Email: Comments@gbdinc.org
No. 42 of 2016
FRIDAY, JULY 1, 2016
Filed from Portland, Oregon

Click here for Wednesday's post-Referendum quote from Alan Wolff. 

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BREXIT: A LEGISLATIVE RESPONSE

"It is the sense of the Congress that ... the President should initiate negotiations with the United Kingdom with the goal of reaching a final, comprehensive bilateral trade agreement."

Sen. Mike Lee
June 29, 2016
CONTEXT
This past Wednesday, Senator Mike Lee, a Republican from Utah, introduced legislation to ensure the continuation of the current, strong commercial relationship between the United States and the United Kingdom.  Indeed, the title of the bill, S3123, is the "United Kingdom Trade Continuity Act."  Today's quote is from Section 4 of the legislation, which deals with the proposal for a new U.S.-UK trade agreement.  Sen. Tom Cotton (R-AR) is a co-sponsor of this bill, which has been referred to the Senate Committee on Finance. 

The obvious impetus for the legislation is the bill's first finding, namely that:

"On June 23, the people of the United Kingdom voted in support of a referendum to leave the European Union."

As for the operational elements of the bill, the press release Senator Lee's office issued yesterday includes this summary:

"First, the bill obligates the United States to continue all existing commercial agreements with the United Kingdom as if the United Kingdom were still part of the European Union. [And]

"Second, the bill calls on the President to initiate negotiations for new bilateral agreements 30 days after the bill is enacted."
COMMENT
To our knowledge, this is the first formal, legislative proposal for new trade arrangements in the wake of the UK's vote to leave the EU.  We think it's the first, but it may not be.  It almost certainly will not be the last, though how Congress deals with this major new development will, of course, depend on how things play out on the other side of the pond. 

The Global Business Dialogue will hold its first post-Referendum event next Thursday, July 7, (details below), and future trade arrangements will be the central focus of that discussion.

In the interim we would note that, yes, how Americans look at the referendum - whatever its meaning over there - is yet another division point in American politics.  One of the findings of the Lee-Cotton legislation, for example, is that:
 
"the United States supports the decision by the people of the United Kingdom to leave the European Union."

That is, obviously, not a view with which the Administration could agree.  President Obama had, after all, urged the British public to vote the other way. 

Differences in how one views the origins of something, however, need not preclude cooperation in fashioning responses to it.  And in this case, there seems to very little difference between, say, Senator Lee on the one hand and President Obama on the other when it comes to the special relationship between the United States and the United Kingdom. 

President Obama observed in his June 24 statement on the referendum that:

"The special relationship between the United States and the United Kingdom is enduring, and the United Kingdom's membership in NATO remains a vital cornerstone of U.S. foreign policy, security, and economic policy."

Senator Lee said yesterday that:

"Our nation's special relationship with the United Kingdom has promoted economic prosperity and security in both countries for over a hundred years.  This relationship can and should be preserved."

Those sentiments are hardly a prescription for whatever comes next, but they may be a useful building block.
RELATED EVENT
July 7, 2016 - Trans-Atlantic Trade - A Post-Referendum Proposal, 2:30 - 4 p.m. at the National Press Club.   Alan Wolff, Senior Counsel at Dentons, and Bruce Stokes of the Pew Research Center are both slated to participate in this session, with Kathryn Hauser as moderator.  After the Referendum is a link to the flyer for this program, including registration options.
SOURCES & LINKS
Continuity Bill takes you to the page on Senator Lee's website with the press release about S. 3123. 
 
Gongress.Gov is the page for this same legislation on the Congressional, bill tracking site.  As of this morning, the text of the bill was not yet available on this site, but we expect it will be by next week.

President Obama's Referendum Statement takes you to the statement issued by the President on June 24 on the results of the UK referendum on membership in the European Union.

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