THE TTALK QUOTES 

On Global Trade & Investment

 

Published Three Times a Week By

The Global Business Dialogue, Inc.

Washington, DC   Tel: 202-463-5074

Email: Comments@gbdinc.org

 

No. 32 of  2016

TUESDAY, MAY 31, 2016

Filed from Portland, Oregon

Click here for last Thursday's quote from Singapore's Jolene Tan.

JAPAN AND THE MEGA-FTAs

"Our approach is not either TPP or RCEP, but both TPP and RCEP."

Kunihiko Kawazu
May 20, 2016
CONTEXT
There were four speakers on the country-panel at GBD's spring conference, "Pacific Arrangements," namely, three diplomats and an American China expert.  Kunihiko Kawazu, Minister at the Embassy of Japan, was one of the diplomats.  
At the outset, Minister Kawazu identified Japan's pursuit of free trade agreements, especially what he called the mega-regionals, as the essence of the third arrow of Prime Minister Abe's policy, its growth strategy.  In that context, he cited specifically:

TPP, the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement, which accounts for roughly 40 percent of world GDP.  This agreement has been concluded, and the goal now, Mr. Kawazu said, is to have it ratified and implemented as quickly as possible.

RCEP, the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, is being negotiated between ten members of ASEAN and six other countries, including Japan, Australia, and New Zealand.  Collectively, the countries in RCEP account for just under 30 percent of global GDP.  There have been 12 rounds of negotiations to date, and the goal is to finish the negotiations this year.

The Japan-EU Economic Partnership Agreement would also account for around 30 percent of world GDP.  The goal for this agreement, Mr. Kawazu said, is "substantial agreement in this year."   

CJK - The FTA being negotiated by China, Japan, and Korea would account for about 20 percent of global GDP.  Mr. Kawazu did not give a timeline in connection with these negotiations but talked instead about "best efforts" for an "early conclusion."

As for TPP and RCEP, Mr. Kawazu's conclusion - that Japan wants both - was anticipated by his opening assertion that "TPP and RCEP, they are not mutually exclusive."

TPP, The Special FTA.  While TPP may be only one of several trade agreements being pursued by the Government of Japan, it is nevertheless special.  Mr. Kawazu explained, for example, that Japan set up a special negotiating team for TPP under the direct leadership of the Prime Minister.  This group, which is part of the Prime Minister's office, is unique.  The other FTAs are handled in a more routine manner.

But what makes TPP so special for Japan?  Two answers to that questions were prominent elements of Mr. Kawazu's presentation: 1) the progressive nature of the rules agreed to by the TPP participants, and 2) the security implications of having TPP in place.  Prime Minister Abe of Japan spoke to both elements when he addressed a Joint Session of Congress last year.  Mr. Kawazu quoted the passage from that speech where the Prime Minister said:

"We can spread our shared values around the world and have them take root: the rule of law, democracy, and freedom.

"That is exactly what TPP is all about.

"Furthermore, the TPP goes beyond just economic benefits.  It is also about our security. Long term, its strategic value is awesome.  We should never forget that."

As for TPP's high standards, its rules, Mr. Kawazu mentioned TPP's chapters on the environment, intellectual property, and competition.  He highlighted especially the agreement's provisions on e-commerce and digital trade.  The U.S. International Trade Commission's report on TPP had been published just days before the GBD program, and Mr. Kawazu cited this comment in that report:

"Many observers have called TPP's digital trade-related provisions the most transformative measures in the agreement."

"I can agree with this assessment," Mr. Kawazu said, adding: "TPP can supply a very good, high-level precedent for other FTAs in terms of the rules."

COMMENT
Mr. Kawazu made a significant contribution to a very rich program, and there are several more TTALK quotes in the pipeline from GBD's event on May 20.  So, we'll hold most of our comments for later. Most, but not all.  Taken together, Japan's belief in the strategic importance of TPP, on the one hand, and Japan's goal of concluding and implementing both TPP and RCEP, on the other, gives rise to this question: what is the strategic significance of RCEP?  Is it positive or negative?  To the extent that a successful RCEP agreement would encourage China to channel its enormous potential and equally enormous ambition into peaceful pursuits - trade, growth, and prosperity for itself and for the region - we would put it in the column for geopolitical positives.  That is assuming, of course, that RCEP takes its place in a world that is already being guided by the realities of TPP. 

But what about RCEP without TPP?  That could be a different story.
SOURCES & LINKS
From the Diplomatic Panel is a reference to the audio recording of the GBD panel discussion on May 20 that included the remarks by Kunihiko Kawazu.  This recording was the source for today's quote.  This file has not yet been made publicly available.

Prime Minister Abe's Address to Congress is a link to the text of the speech Prime Minister Abe gave before a joint session of the U.S. Congress on April 29, 2015.

The ITC's TPP Report takes you to the text of this now critical document in America's TPP debate.

 

 

TO GET THE TTALK DAILY QUOTE IN YOUR INBOX

 

Or Other GBD Notices, Click below. 

Join Our Mailing List

 

� 2016 The Global Business Dialogue, Inc.

1140 Connecticut Ave., NW, Suite 950

Washington, DC   20036

Tel: (202) 463-5074

R. K. Morris, Editor

www.gbdinc.org