THE TTALK QUOTES 

On Global Trade & Investment

 

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No. 63 of 2015

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 17, 2015

Filed from Portland, Oregon

Click here for Monday's Cuba quote from Sen. Jeff Flake (R AZ)

AGRICULTURE: THE FRUSTRATED EXEMPTION 

"We [U.S. producers] are right here. You know, it's something like an 18-hour sail from New Orleans to Havana [and] the other ports in Cuba. I mean, we're ... by far the largest country that could supply all their [agricultural] needs in the shortest possible time."

David Salmonsen
September 10, 2015
CONTEXT
Dave Salmonsen is the Senior Director of Congressional Relations at the American Farm Bureau Federation, and he was one of four speakers at GBD's September 10 colloquium on Cuba. Indeed, his position was somewhat special in that he represents one of the few groups of Americans are who are allowed to sell things to Cuba today, namely, U.S. farmers, ranchers, and other agricultural producers. Poultry producers are in that group, and so far they are its biggest winners. Poultry products account for roughly half of U.S. agricultural exports to Cuba, Mr. Salmonsen said. 
 
Such as it is, the current trade is a 21st Century phenomenon. The embargo that was codified in the Helms-Burton Act of 1996 shut down just about all trade. At the end of the Clinton Administration, those restrictions were eased up a bit with the passage of the Trade Sanctions Reform and Export Enhancement Act of 2000, which allowed the sale of food and medicines to Cuba, but only on a cash basis. 

Since that act went into effect, U.S. farmers have been making sales to Cuba, but, as Mr. Salmonsen pointed out, their products account for a relatively small portion of the nearly $2 billion that Cuba spends each year on imported food. This chart from the U.S. Department of Agriculture makes the point: 



As Mr. Salmonsen explained it: 

"Trade [with Cuba] has waxed and waned. It grew up to a high point of a little over $700 billion dollars a year in 2008. In the wake of some severe hurricanes, there was a lot of need for some quick food shipments. And since then it's stayed around ... mostly over $300 to $350 million. This past year it was some $280 million dollars."

As for those 2008 hurricanes, there were three of them in a row: Gustav in August, Ike in September, and Paloma in November. 
 
But what of the other years? Why have U.S. sales been so much less than they might have been under more normal conditions. Here is some of what Dave Salmonsen said on that score: 

"You know, in my job with the American Farm Bureau, a lot of what I do is talk to our state organizations when they come to town to lobby. ... [And] it is so interesting what people are concerned about in different parts of the country. 

"When you're talking to people from the Dakotas, Kansas, you know, the fact that ... Cuba hasn't bought any wheat since 2011 from the U.S. That comes up. Why can't we get more wheat into Cuba? Why aren't they buying our wheat? Well, they're buying from Canada; they're buying from Europe. ... 

"They haven't bought rice from the U.S., Cuba hasn't since 2008. Why aren't they buying [our] rice? Well, they're buying rice from Brazil or China or Vietnam or somebody else. Obviously, we're just not as competitive in those regions, and they [the U.S. growers] point to ... these trade financing issues, other things that ... just don't allow us to get the product there and to be as competitive as we want to be to open those markets. So that's ... the push you get from those states: ... Why? Why? Why?

"Okay, what does ag need to do to do better in the Cuban market? Well, we can try and get better regulations with this limited exemption to the embargo and what the Office of Foreign Assets Control is doing or trying to do I think helps. But at some point there's only so far you can go with that. ...

"Normal trade [means] having normal banking relationships, having, you know, respected letters of credit, to allow trade to normally flow, without barriers to that. Normal shipping and all of those things that really will come someday with trying to change our embargo rules for lack of a better term. And that's ultimately where we think we need to go. And what we're advocating for is to have a normal trading relationship. Then we can be competitive. And then, I think, we can get a greater share of what can be a growing market.

COMMENT
President Obama spoke at the Business Roundtable yesterday, and, not surprisingly, he got a question on Cuba. Here is some of what he said in response: 

"My suggestion would be for the BRT just to start having a conversation on a bipartisan basis about lifting the embargo. It doesn't necessarily have to happen - or even should happen all in one fell swoop. But I think if you look at the economic opportunities that are presented, they are significant."

From his White House statement on a policy of normal relations last December to the reopening of the U.S. Embassy in Cuba in July, the President has taken a number of actions recently to change the U.S. relationship with Cuba. Notwithstanding the one-step-at-a-time character of his advice to the BRT, it served to reinforce the Administration's commitment to a more normal relationship with Cuba, including a normal trade relationship.

As for the President's suggestion that the CEOs of the Business Roundtable talk to members of Congress about lifting the embargo, we suspect many of them had acted on it even before it was made.
SOURCES & LINKS
From the Farm Bureau is a link to the audio recording of Dave Salmonsen's presentation at last week's GBD Cuba event. It was this that was the source for today's featured quote.
 
GBD takes you to the welcome page of the GBD website. Here you will find links to all of the audio segments of GBD's September 10 event on Cuba as well as other materials. 

At the BRT is a link to the remarks of President Obama at the Business Roundtable yesterday, September 16, 2015. 

Room for Growth is a report by the Foreign Agricultural Service of USDA on agricultural exports to Cuba from the United States and other countries. This report includes the chart reproduced in the Context section above. 
 
Helms-Burton is a link to the Wikipedia entry for this 1996 legislation, more formally, the Cuban Liberty and Democratic Solidarity (LIBERTAD) Act of 1995. 

Sanctions Reform takes you to a discussion of the Trade Sanctions Reform and Export Enhancement Act of 2000. 
 
Hurricanes is a site devoted to a listing and discussion of tropical storms and hurricanes in Cuba.

 

 

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