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No. 79 of 2013 

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 16, 2013     

 

   

Filed from Portland, Oregon  

     

Click here for last Thursday's ITA quote from John Neuffer.
REGARDING THE CUSTOMER: CHINA

"China's leaders ... are not content to leave their procurement efforts to the vagaries of global markets."

Eric Farnsworth
February 2011 (Publication date)
CONTEXT
Eric Farnsworth is Vice President of the Council of the Americas, and today's quote is from an article he wrote for Current History in February 2011.  In some important respects things were different then.  Hugo Chavez was still alive and running Venezuela, and the U.S. FTA with Colombia was still languishing in the political backwater of indecision, as were the ones with Panama and South Korea.  All that said, for the most part, it is an article that could have been written yesterday, with just a few figures updated.

The title of Mr. Farnsworth article was "The New Mercantilism: China's Emerging Role in the Americas."  Here is the full paragraph with the above quotation, plus a tad more:

"China's leaders, moreover, are not content to leave their procurement efforts to the vagaries of global markets.  Rather, they seek long-term guaranteed access to raw materials, in some cases even looking to control the means of production and in-country infrastructure such as ports and rail.  Raw materials are then turned into value-added products and re-exported from China around the world.

"This is a transparently mercantilist strategy, with domestic political requirements at its core....

"It is a strategy, however, that is changing the world."

Mr. Farnsworth is careful to note that the United States is still the dominant outside economic power for Latin America and the Caribbean and likely to remain so for some time.  But there are changes.  China is now Brazil's largest trading partner and Chile's, and the Asian colossus has free trade agreements with Chile, Costa Rica, and Peru.

If anything, the fact that most of Latin America now has significant economic options outside the Americas is truer today than it was in 2011. 

Mr. Farnsworth is not opposed to China's investment in the region.  "[It] is not illegitimate, illegal, or even necessarily threatening," he writes.  But he does have his frustrations.  One is that, although Chinese investments are in some important respects - namely the use of local labor - much less advantageous to the region than U.S. investments have been, the ire of Latin American elites seems still to be directed toward the United States, with very little criticism aimed at Beijing. 

But at least in one case, specifically the development of Bolivia's lithium deposits, Mr. Farnsworth may have had readers in very influential quarters.  In his 2011 article, Mr. Farnsworth wrote:

"Bolivia, South America's poorest nation, should refuse to give access to its massive deposits of lithium unless the Chinese first agree to joint research and development of the technology needed to build the car batteries for which the lithium is intended."

Remember that was two, almost three, years ago.  Last month the Shanghai news portal ENGLISH.EASTDAY.COM published a Xinhua net story from La Paz with this lead: "A group of Chinese technicians are expected in Bolivia to help install the country's first lithium battery plant."

That may not be precisely what Eric Farnsworth had in mind - there is some $2.9 million of U.S. investment in this plant, and the construction will be carried out by a Chinese company, but the facility will, ultimately, be operated by Bolivian workers.
COMMENT
Is there a political component to China's growing trade and investment relationships in Latin America and elsewhere?  That's one obvious question.  The intuitive answer is, of course, there has to be.  And, indeed, according to at least two academics there is.   Gustavo Flores-Marcia and Sarah Kreps, both assistant professors at Cornell, recently published a paper in the Journal of Politics on the warp and weft of China's economic and foreign policies.  As they explained in a Washington Post blog:
 
"Examining bilateral trade data for China and developing countries in Africa and Latin America between 1992-2006 (the last year for which data were available), we find that trade with China generates important foreign policy consequences.  The more robust the trade relationship, the more likely those states were to converge with China on foreign policy issues."

The fact that this conclusion of the Flores-Marcia and Kreps paper is not surprising does not make it any less interesting, and we are almost certain to revisit it in later entries.
Eric Farnsworth will be one of four speakers at the next GBD colloquium, The Dragon Goes Shopping, 2013.  Click the link for registration details and other information on this session, which will run from 9 to 10:30 a.m. at the National Press Club on Thursday, October 24.
SOURCES & LINKS
China's New Mercantilism is a link to Eric Farnsworth's 2011 article in Current History, which was the source for today's quote.

Bolivia's Lithium Battery Factory takes you to the Xinhua net story about this facility in the making.

The Rise of China Makes the U.S. Lonelier is the Washington Post blog quoted in the Comment section above.


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