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No. 77 of 2013 

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 9, 2013    

 

   

Filed from Portland, Oregon  

     

Click here for last Friday's quote from Michael Froman
AUSTRALIA'S PM TALKS ABOUT TRADE AND CHINA

"I've always taken the view that you should take what you can get today and pitch for the rest tomorrow when you've got a strong foundation to build upon."

Tony Abbott
October 7, 2013
CONTEXT
It is easy enough to find lamentations from this week's APEC Leaders' meeting in Bali, Indonesia.  President Obama felt he could not attend, and the progress in the TPP negotiations was, to many, disappointingly small.  Yet it is not as though the gathering was a non-event.  Conversations took place.  Things happened.  President Xi Jinping of China invited Australia's new prime minister, Tony Abbott, to visit China next year, and Mr. Abbott accepted.  That was on Sunday evening, October 6.  In addition to setting in motion what is bound be a significant trade mission - as well as a high-profile political visit - the Abbott-Xi conversation put new life into Australia's FTA negotiations with China, which have been going on since 2005. 

Prime Minister Abbott talked about both of those issues at a Bali press conference on October 7.  That press conference was the source of today's quote.  Here is some more of the Prime Minister's response to a question about Australia's FTA talks with China, including today's quote:

"I want the agreement to be as comprehensive as possible, but I've always taken the view that you should take what you can get today and pitch for the rest tomorrow when you've got a strong foundation to build upon. One of the good things about the various free trade agreements, the various bilateral free trade agreements that have been negotiated between the countries of our region, is that it is helping to build preparedness to engage in a bigger and better the multi-lateral agreement such as the Trans-Pacific Partnership. So, we will get the best deal we can. I can't at this stage say it is going to include everything. If it doesn't include everything, that will be a disappointment but, still, whatever we can get, which is a substantial advance on where we are, is worth having."

China is Australia's number one trading partner.  That is one driver of Mr. Abbott's push for more trade and sooner.  Another is the fact that others in the region - New Zealand, for example -- have already nailed down their FTAs with China and have some solid commercial results to show for it.
COMMENTS
We have two of our own and a third from an Australian writer.

First, Mr. Abbott suggested it would be nice to wrap up Australia's FTA with China during his visit there next year.  He went on to suggest, however, the somewhat longer time frame of 12 months.  Our guess is that Australia and China will complete their deal within the next 12 months and possibly even in time for that spring visit.

Second, while the quotation above doesn't mention RCEP - the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership - that is a ball to keep your eye on as well.  The countries working on an RCEP agreement are the ASEAN ten plus Australia, China, India, Japan, Korea, and New Zealand.  It is an enormous undertaking, and it is moving forward.  Australia hosted the second round of RCEP negotiations in Brisbane at the end of September (23rd - 27th).

Third, everyone who thinks about these things will assess them slightly differently.  Paul Kelly, editor-at-large for The Australian concluded his recent article on the Bali developments this way:

"Abbott and Trade Minister Andrew Robb seem to be on the right track.  We [Australia] have to be playing in every regional trade game and trying to shape them - that includes Obama's flawed Trans Pacific Partnership (that currently excludes China, India, and Indonesia) and it includes the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership.  At each step, the aim is integrated free trade, not divisions down the Pacific."
RELATED EVENT
The Dragon Goes Shopping, 2013.  This program at the National Press Club on October 24 will look at the China's imports and their implications both for the Chinese economy and for China's role in the world.  Click the title link for registration information and other details. 
SOURCES & LINKS
A Bali Press Conference is a link to the transcript of Prime Minister Abbott's October 7 press conference in Bali, which was the source for today's quote.

ASEAN is a link to the website of the ASEAN secretariat.  The member states of ASEAN - The Association of Southeast Asian Nations - are: Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam.

On the Right Track takes you to The Australian editorial by Paul Kelly, quoted in the comment section above.
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