.id community monthly newsletter 

       October 2012  

In This Issue
Darwin's population
Our expanding households
Coastal growth?
Spotlight on NZ - Immigation patterns
Inside .id - forecast update
The man drought - is it real?
Tips and Tricks - latest online training
Here's my number - call me maybe
Quick Link
More about .id button
  
Join mailing list button
Greetings!

What makes an expert?

At a conference I recently attended, Phillip Adams wittily suggested that most 'experts' are in fact self-appointed.

You may have noticed, at .id, we recently appointed ourselves as 'Population Experts' - which is really an attempt to describe what we have to offer in as few words as possible.

We sincerely believe that viewing places - suburbs, towns, regions etc. through a 'demographic lens' provides decision makers with a profound evidence-based insight into those places.

Any organisation concerned with understanding to whom they are delivering a service, facility or product, needs the evidence before making an investment. Data or information as evidence is all well and good, but it is most powerful when the evidence is presented within the context of a narrative.

Telling stories about places based on evidence that represents the characteristics of people is the basis on which we have designed our decision making tools. We do that with considerable expertise - but who really cares if you're actually an 'expert' or not.

For my money there are the 'experts' who know lots of stuff but can't communicate it... and there are 'experts' who actually don't know lots of stuff but communicate in a way that makes you think they are 'experts' - which often seems to be their main objective!

Anyway, I think the trick is that if you know lots of relevant stuff, it is also very important to share that in the most effective way with the decision makers that count.

 

 

Sincerely,

 

 

ivan-motley-id

Ivan

 

Focus on Local Government    

Darwin's population in 2011 - at the top end of growth?  


Population wise, the Northern Territory is Australia's smallest State or Territory, but it is also one that has distinctive characteristics due to its demographic composition and settlement pattern. 

Compared to the rest of Australia, it has a younger population, and this is influenced by the high proportion of Indigenous people. 

Traditionally, Darwin has been viewed as a frontier town - remote from the rest of Australia, or if you were a Commonwealth public servant, it was a place you moved to so that you got an extra week's rec leave. 

But in the 21st century it is a small and thriving city.  In .id's first blog about Darwin, we'll look at some of the characteristics of the population.

read more..

 

 

Census 2011

Our expanding households     


Household size (that is, the average number of people counted in the Census in private dwellings in Australia) has been declining for the last 100 years.

In 1911, the average household size for Australia was 4.5. By 2006, it had fallen to 2.53.

But in 2011, something remarkable happened. Household size increased. Not in all areas and not by much, but it did increase, stablising or reversing some of these trends.
 

read more.. 

 

2011 Census - Has the tide turned on coastal growth? 

 

There is no doubt that Australians love the coast - we're either on holiday there, socialising there and increasing numbers of us are living there. 

There is a strong sense in the community that coastal regions are recording some of the strongest population growth rates in the country.  But are they? 

One of the more intriguing population trends in the last few years has been an apparent slow down in coastal population growth.

Let's have a closer look at the most recent trends.
 

read more.. 

 

 

Spotlight on NZ      

New Zealand census: Immigration patterns    

 

id office

inside .id  

Forecast update   

 

Last month we reported that we had begun to update all the population forecasts for our forecast.id clients.

Our desktop forecast.id updates use the latest 2011 ERP figures to establish  a new baseline for the forecasts, and we've made good progress so far.

To date, we have updated 19 forecasts, including the following sites:
  • Bayside
  • Hobsons Bay
  • Taree
  • Mandurah
  • Boroondara
  • Fairfield
  • Wyong
  • Joondalup
  • Latrobe
  • Blacktown
  • Eurobodalla
  • Bankstown
  • Wanneroo
  • Queanbeyan
  • The Hills
  • Corangamite
  • Rockingham
  • Auburn
  • Murray
 
 

A word from our researchers      

The man drought - is it real?   


Demographic commentator Bernard Salt is credited with coining the phrase "Man drought", to refer to the phenomenon of there being more females than males in particular age groups.

The main age he refers to as a man drought is among people in their 30s and 40s, and he makes a lot of assumptions about the singles market in those age groups.

I recently attended a presentation by Mr Salt, and he was using charts from the 2006 Census to discuss the man drought, among other issues.

I wondered if this had changed since 2006.

read more..
 

Tips and Tricks    

Roll camera - more online training videos

 

During October we have continued to build our online training library, with three new videos now available to view.

   

1. The first one is an overall summary of the profile .id tool, which is pitched at a level perfect for new council employees, new users or just those needing a quick refresher.  (5 minutes)

2. The second video is a geography tutorial - it explains how to use the geography in profile.id to help you find relevant information about the small areas/suburbs within your local government area, and make comparisons against selected benchmarks.  (4 minutes)

3. The third video describes the toolbar feature, which quickly enables you to select small area geography, benchmark comparison, type of population measure and comparison time frame, all on the same page as your selected data. (5 minutes)

We aim to produce 4 online training videos per month so please check back for more in the near future.

Click here to access the latest videos  

 

 
Final word 

Here's my number - call me maybe

 

Australia now has more mobile phones than population - at last count, we have more than 24 million mobile phone services registered, and 22.6 million people.

And that's not including the nearly 5 million mobile internet devices (dongles, USB devices etc). 

However, even with over 100% penetration rate, we fall far behind Russia, which boasts more than 1.5 mobile phones for every resident.

But who first predicted the mobile phone, and when?  You'll be surprised!

read more..    

 

 

 

 

+61 3 9417 2205                          info@id.com.au 
 NZ Freecall :
0800 955 481        www.id.com.au  

 

        10 Easey Street, PO Box 1689, Collingwood, Victoria 3066, Australia