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The Markets
It was a wild, wild week.
Last Monday, bombs exploded near the finish of the Boston Marathon. Not long after, media outlets let the public know letters to President Obama and a senator from Mississippi contained the poison ricin. On Wednesday, the town of West, Texas was flattened by an explosion at a fertilizer plant. By the end of the week, a man had been arrested for sending the ricin letters, the city of Boston had been locked down, the bombing suspects had been captured, and folks were returning to their homes in West, Texas.
The week's economic news wasn't all that encouraging. The pace of economic growth in China slowed unexpectedly, the International Monetary Fund reduced its 2013 growth forecast for the United States for the fourth time, earnings results were mixed, and an index of leading economic indicators in the Unites States unexpectedly moved lower. On the plus side, new home construction hit a five-year high. All three major indices - the Dow Jones Industrials Index, The Standard & Poor's 500, and the NASDAQ - finished the week down more than 2 percent.
The most significant move of the week took place in the gold market which lost about 9 percent on Monday. That was the biggest one day fall in 30 years. The market recovered some value later in the week, finishing down about 8.5 percent. According to The Economist, "The usual explanation for sharp price movements, when an economic rationale seems lacking, is that someone is selling off their holdings at any price. Some have pointed at Cyprus which may have to sell gold in response to its debt crisis. Although Cyprus' gold holdings are small, the fear is that other troubled eurozone nations may follow suit."
Will this week be calmer? It's possible, but economic news will include the first estimate of U.S. GDP growth for first quarter. According to Reuters, GDP growth is forecast at 3 percent annualized even though fourth quarter's GDP growth was 0.4 percent annualized.
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Data as of 4/19/13
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1-Week
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Y-T-D
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1-Year
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3-Year
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5-Year
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10-Year
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Standard & Poor's 500 (Domestic Stocks)
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-2.1%
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9.1%
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13.0%
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9.1%
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2.3%
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5.7%
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10-year Treasury Note (Yield Only)
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1.7
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N/A
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2.0
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3.8
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3.7
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4.0
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Gold (per ounce)
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-8.5
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-17.0
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-14.8
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7.4
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8.9
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15.4
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DJ-UBS Commodity Index
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-1.8
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-5.4
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-4.4
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-0.4
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-9.1
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1.3
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DJ Equity All REIT TR Index
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-0.3
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12.5
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22.6
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18.3
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6.7
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12.4
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Notes: S&P 500, Gold, DJ-UBS Commodity Index returns exclude reinvested dividends (gold does not pay a dividend) and the three-, five-, and 10-year returns are annualized; the DJ Equity All REIT TR Index does include reinvested dividends and the three-, five-, and 10-year returns are annualized; and the 10-year Treasury Note is simply the yield at the close of the day on each of the historical time periods.
Sources: Yahoo! Finance, Barron's, djindexes.com, London Bullion Market Association.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Indices are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly. N/A means not applicable.
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