Appraisal Today 
 
NEWZ:///Not Customary or reasonable/The Rise of AMCs/Glass housesSeptember 24, 2015
E&O insurance
 
Thanks to our sponsor!! 
Glass houses for sale

Check out the fotos plus links to the listings with lots of fotos. CA, AZ, MI, TN, SC and TX plus links to MT and NY at bottom of article.

My comment: for most of the past 30 years I lived on an estuary of San Francisco Bay and never closed the window coverings in the rear of the house. Nobody there but birds and a few boats passing by. I moved off the water 5 years ago and really miss it!! I want an glass house!!
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The good news: Negative Equity Rate Now in Single Digits

Excerpt:
Owners of more than three-quarters of a million U.S. homes regained equity in those homes during the second quarter of 2015.  CoreLogic said on Tuesday that there are now approximately 45.9 million homes with positive equity, 91 percent of all mortgaged properties in the country.

The 759,000 properties that rose out of negative equity during the second quarter leaves approximately 4.4 million properties, 8.7 percent of all mortgage properties underwater, that is the outstanding mortgage balance exceeds the value of the home.  There were 5.1 million homes or 10.2 percent or mortgaged properties underwater at the end of the second quarter of 2014.

My comment: more people can refi or sell their homes. More appraisals needed.
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More good news: Mortgage Credit Standards Are Easing, According to Lenders

Excerpt:
WASHINGTON, DC - Fannie Mae's third quarter 2015 Mortgage Lender Sentiment Survey™ reveals that more lenders report easing of mortgage lending standards across all loan types. Conducted in August 2015, the survey asked senior mortgage executives whether their lending organization's credit standards have eased, tightened, or remained essentially unchanged for GSE eligible, non-GSE eligible, and government loans during the prior three months. Notably, the gap between lenders reporting easing as opposed to tightening over the prior three months jumped to 20 percentage points and 18 percentage points for GSE eligible and non-GSE eligible loans, respectively-reaching new survey highs of "net easing." In addition, the share of lenders who expect their organizations to ease credit standards over the next three months ticked up this quarter for both GSE eligible and non-GSE eligible loans.

"For the first time in seven quarters, we see a pronounced increase in the share of lenders, particularly medium- and larger-sized lenders, reporting on net an easing of credit standards in both the GSE eligible and non-GSE eligible loan categories.

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Now, the bad news: Almost 30% of all homes nationwide lost value in past year -  location, location, location

Excerpt:
In Baltimore, 48.1 percent of homes decreased in value over the past year.
Hot markets in the West had fewer homes losing value in August than they did a year ago.
The U.S. Zillow Home Value Index grew 3.3 percent year-over-year in August, to $180,800.
It's said that a rising tide lifts all boats. But the hyper-local reality of the real estate market means that in many communities nationwide, some boats are getting swamped, even as the tide rises around them.

Almost 30 percent of all homes nationwide (27.9 percent) lost value in August from a year earlier, all while median U.S. home values overall continued to rise steadily, up 3.3 percent year-over-year to a U.S. Zillow Home Value Index of $180,800.
Not all markets are experiencing the recovery evenly. As a result, some big metro markets had a relatively large share of homes lose value over the past year, while others had precious few.

Of the largest 35 metro markets covered by Zillow, Baltimore, Washington, D.C., and Philadelphia all had more than 40 percent of homes lose value year-over-year in August. On the other hand, Denver, Dallas-Fort Worth, San Francisco, San Jose, Seattle and Portland all had less than 10 percent of homes lose value over the past year. Denver, which continues to be the hottest large real estate market in the county, had a scant 1.5 percent of homes lose value over the past year.


My comment: another reason why lenders need appraisers. National stats are great, but appraisers know which local markets, and market segments, have decreasing prices.
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2015 Mobile App Business List
Source: Appraisalbuzz.com

Excerpt:
Here are a two:
Road Warrior Route Planner: (RoadWarrior, LLC)
Free to download for all devices. Monthly subscription plans may apply
Average Rating 4.3 / 5 stars
As appraisers you have most likely had to run all over town doing appraisals in different areas, taking pictures in others, and running the occasional mid day errand. This app allows you to plot all of your stops first thing in the morning then plots a route to help you waste the least amount of time backtracking. Save gas, time, and patience by preplanning a route for yourself.

Google Drive: (Google, Inc.)
Free to download for all devices
Average rating 4.4 / 5 stars
While we included this in last year's article on apps to download we thought we should include it again because of the additions they have made for the smartphone app. Now you can scan documents, edit or sign PDFs and store or email it all from your phone. The desktop app allows you to collaborate on spreadsheets, PowerPoint's, and Word documents all at the same time.

Click here for more!!
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- Regression software programs - what's the best one for you? 16 pages of info on 7 products - Redstone, Statwing, Regression Plus (David Braun), Appraisertool, PAIRS, Appraiser Genie and Savvi.
Redstone regression software - will it work for your appraisals?
- Statwing - easy to use multiple regression software for appraisers 
Sources of printed information on making and supporting adjustments
Who's on your approved AMC list? Dump your bad AMCs! Looking for new AMCs/clients? How to evaluate them. 
AMC/client Rating Grid


Plus, FREE, a 20+ page report - "How to support adjustments - compilation of non-regression articles" No one method can support all your adjustments. 

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NOT customary and NOT reasonable fees?
 
What is reasonable? Let me see... For example, the amount of work to produce the appraisal plus respond to request for more information, updates, etc. increases the time from 5 hours ($70 per hour) to 8 hours ($47.50 per hour),  a 33% decline. Of course that is gross, not considering your expenses. You are able to get the same fee - $350. But, the fee is not reasonable. Calculate this for your typical appraisal fees.
 
What is customary? Somehow AMCs seem to think that "one price fits all". Before AMCs took over, appraiser fees varied widely around the country. The Midwest was typically the lowest, around $250. The West Coast (Washington and Oregon) and some East Coast states were higher, around $450. Alaska and Hawaii were much higher. We accepted "standard" fees from our clients as we took the easy appraisals and the hard appraisals, which balanced out. I didn't ask for a fee increase when a property took more time. If was a high end home or a rural acreage property, the lenders paid higher fees. Or, we scheduled appraisals to reduce driving time. Clients understood that they could not give us all the hard appraisals and appraisals scattered over a wide geographic area.
 
Now, AMCs have standard fees, but they don't consider the factors above. Many appraisers have responded by asking for fee increases or just turning down the assignment.
 
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TRID vs. the current system of AMC ordering appraisals and setting fees
 
TRID will make the method above ("one fee for all appraisals") very difficult for AMCs. Lenders have to provide an appraisal fee within 3 days. AMCs won't be able to spends days "shopping" for the lowest fee for a tough appraisal. AMCs won't have time to negotiate with appraisers. Yes, there are options but they delay the loan.
 
Now, appraisers can quickly accept broadcast orders with the expectation of getting a fee increase. After Oct. 3, that will create problems for lenders and AMCs.
 
What will happen? How can AMCs tell their lenders what to charge for a specific appraisal (the full cost, including AMC fees) within a few days? Their systems assume all appraisals are the same. I doubt if they have anything set up to distinguish complex rural from a tract home. Can AMCs even quote different fees within a state? I see AMCs making less money because the appraisal fees they pay will increase. Now, they are waiting for appraisers to tell them that the fee has to be higher.
 
What does this mean for appraisers who work for AMCs? Higher "standard" fees to cut down on appraisers refusing fees? This cuts into AMC profits unless they can get higher fees from their lender clients. But, AMCs compete with other AMCs. Fees are a big factor when a lender selects an AMC.
 
I have no idea what will happen. I am glad I don't own an AMC with lots of lender clients. Maybe they will never raise appraisal fees for difficult properties. But, who will do them?
 
Volume is high now and AMCs have difficulty finding appraisers to do the tough appraisals and FHA appraisals. When volume is low and appraisers need the money, the "one fee for all" is easier for AMCs to use.

WHAT DO YOU THINK ABOUT FEES? POST YOUR COMMENTS AT WWW.APPRAISALTODAYBLOG.COM !!

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Infographic: 25 Year Demise of the Bank Appraisal Industry and the Rise of AMCs
 
From Jonathon Miller, of course!!
 
A few tidbits:
 
Pre-1989 Appraisal fee paid by consumer. Appraiser gets 100%
Appraiser engaged directly by lender's appraisal department, interacting with experienced valuation experts.
 
2000. Appraisal fee paid by consumer. Appraiser pays portal fee. Appraiser gets 93%
Credit aka Housing Boom, systemic breakdown, risk perception evaporates. Lenders and mortgage brokers view appraiser
as "deal enabler." The nexus between fear and greed goes all full-on greed.
 
2010. Appraisal fee paid by consumer. Appraiser gets 44%.
Federal regulators send a reminder that mortgage lenders were to use appraisers with "local market knowledge." AMC trade group claims no deterioration in appraisal quality after taking half of appraisal fee from appraiser. New AMCs flood into market.
......
 
2013. As appraisal quality erodes, AMCs begin to heavily tout use
of sophisticated analytics to control for quality. The reality is
that quality is so poor that analytics are needed to help manage a poor product
 
2015. AMCs and federal regulators view higher licensing standards as replacement for experience and continue to use '03-'08 housing bubble as reason to maintain status quo even though appraisal quality was far better before 1991 licensing.
 
Click here to download the infographic. Worth checking out.

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HOW TO USE THE NUMBERS BELOW. Appraisals are ordered after the loan application. These numbers tell you the future for the next few weeks. For more information on how they are compiled, go 
 
Note: I publish a graph of this data every month in my printed newsletter, Appraisal Today. For more information or get a FREE sample issue go to http://www.appraisaltoday.com/products.htm or send an email to info@appraisaltoday.com  . Or call 800-839-0227, MTW 8AM to noon, Pacific time.

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Mortgage applications increased 13.9 percent from one week earlier
 according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending September 18, 2015. The previous week's results included an adjustment for the Labor Day holiday. 
WASHINGTON, D.C. (September 23, 2015) 
The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 13.9 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 26 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index increased 18 percent from the previous week. The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index increased 9 percent from one week earlier to its highest level since June 2015. The unadjusted Purchase Index increased 20 percent compared with the previous week and was 27 percent higher than the same week one year ago.
"We saw significant rate volatility last week surrounding the FOMC meeting, and rate declines toward the end of the week likely drove applications from both prospective home buyers and borrowers looking to refinance. The 30-year fixed rate remained unchanged over the week even though there was substantial intra-week fluctuation, but we saw rate decreases in other loan products like the 15-year fixed, 5/1 ARM, and 30-year jumbo," said Mike Fratantoni, MBA's Chief Economist.
The refinance share of mortgage activity increased to 58.4 percent of total applications from 56.2 percent the previous week. The adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) share of activity increased to 6.9 percent of total applications.
The FHA share of total applications decreased to 12.9 percent from 14.2 percent the week prior. The VA share of total applications decreased to 10.0 percent from 10.7 percent the week prior. The USDA share of total applications decreased to 0.7 percent from 0.8 percent the week prior.
The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($417,000 or less) remained unchanged at 4.09 percent, with points increasing to 0.45 from 0.42 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent loan-to-value ratio (LTV) loans. The effective rate remained unchanged from last week.
The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with jumbo loan balances (greater than $417,000) decreased to 3.99 percent, its lowest level since May 2015, from 4.04 percent, with points increasing to 0.36 from 0.26 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate decreased from last week.
The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages backed by the FHA remained unchanged at 3.88 percent, with points decreasing to 0.33 from 0.35 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate decreased from last week.
The average contract interest rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages decreased to 3.31 percent from 3.33 percent, with points increasing to 0.42 from 0.26 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate increased from last week.
The average contract interest rate for 5/1 ARMs decreased to 2.95 percent, its lowest level since May 2015, from 3.04 percent, with points increasing to 0.58 from 0.36 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate decreased from last week.
The survey covers over 75 percent of all U.S. retail residential mortgage applications, and has been conducted weekly since 1990.  Respondents include mortgage bankers, commercial banks and thrifts.  Base period and value for all indexes is March 16, 1990=100
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Ann O'Rourke, MAI, SRA, MBA

Appraiser and Publisher Appraisal Today
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