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Strategic & Financial Arguments(TM)
for the pulp and paper industry worldwide

June 2015

Participating as industry experts in pulp and paper financing and M & A deals around the world  for over two decades, we continue to see the same mistakes made over and over.  This newsletter is designed to help you avoid costly mistakes we have seen others make.  We will be giving you one or two points each month to help improve your performance.
 
Kill 'em, Kill 'em dead (or Kill Mill if you prefer)
 
Obsolete mills need to be obsolesced.

 

It has been interesting to watch the machinations in Bucksport, Maine, as Verso first sold this mill to AIM for dismantling, and now, as lawyers are going after the US Justice Department for doing an allegedly bad job of anti-trust analysis.

 

There are still many old mills that need to be taken out of their misery.  Some of them are operated by companies you follow.

 

It is so hard to kill a mill. There is too much nostalgia wrapped up in some of these old sites.

 

It doesn't help matters when an owner sells a mill intact.  It just leaves it vulnerable to re-opening.  And there are plenty of "carpetbaggers" who come along and promise to restore former glory.  Yet, this seldom works out.  Look a short distance up the Penobscot River to Millinocket, Maine, for an example of this.

 

These old mills are a drag on the whole industry. They are restarted by selling product at bargain basement prices in an effort to build cash flow.  Due to their own shaky finances, they overpay for raw materials and operating supplies.  They are a detriment to sound financial health for the whole industry, in the ways they swing markets for raw materials as well as sales prices.

 

If you are an analyst, you could do the industry a favor by graciously praising any company that shuts down one of these dinosaurs and puts a stake in its heart as they lock the gates.


If you have any private comments you want to share with me, send me an email in confidence at jthompson@taii.com. 
If you have a casual question or a major deal, call me on my personal cell phone - 404-822-3412 or email me at jthompson@taii.com. We are here to help.

 

Sincerely,

 


Jim Thompson, CEO
Talo Analytic International, Inc.
P & PRI

 
JRT Banker's Engineer

 

 
P & P Industry