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Capitol Notes
Wisconsin Political and Legislative Update
TO: Clients/Friends of Capitol Consultants, Inc./Wimmer & Company, S.C.

FROM: Tony Langenohl
              Capitol Consultants, Inc.
              & Wimmer Company, S.C.

DATE:  November 6, 2012

SUBJECT:  
Wisconsin Election Results (1st Edition)
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In This Issue
Election Preview-Presidential Race
Election Preview- US House of Representatives
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We will continue to update as the state of the State Legislative Races are finalized as well as the US Senate race.

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President Obama Wins Wisconsin & Re-Election

Four years ago President Barack Obama won Wisconsin by the largest margin of any presidential candidate in 40 years (Johnson received 62% of the voter in 1964), winning 60 of the state's 72 counties, and defeating US Sen. John McCain by over 400,000 votes and garnering 14% more of the vote. 

At around 8:30 pm tonight, FOX News and NBC projected that President Obama would win Wisconsin.  And at 10:45 with 63% of Wisconsin precincts reporting, President Obama has a 5% lead in WI, 52% to 47% over Governor Mitt Romney.

Nationally, with Florida, Virginia, Nevada and Alaska still not called yet, President Obama is projected to receive at least 284 electoral votes, more than the 270 necessary to win the presidency, to Governor Romney's 203. 

Exit polling released tonight, provided the following insight into Wisconsin voters:

Gender:
  • Male -51% Romney
  • Female- 57% Obama

Race:

  • White - 51% Romney
  • Black- 94% Obama
  • Hispanic - 67% Obama

Age:

  • 18-29: 60% Obama
  • 30-44: 51% Obama
  • 45-64: 51% Obama
  • 65+: 52% Romney

Ideology:

  • Liberal: 90% Obama
  • Moderate: 61% Obama
  • Conservative: 85% Romney 
Do you think the nation's economy is Excellent/Good or Not so good/poor?
  • Excellent/Good: Obama 93%
  • Not so good/Poor: Romney 65% 
Link to exit poll results

Publicly released polls capture the exact results of the race, again

Below for comparison are the last Pollster & Real Clear Politics estimates for comparison to the final results. 

Pollster Estimate:

The Pollster estimate has remained largely static over the last two weeks, with Pres. Obama hovering right around the 50% mark and Governor Romney three to four points behind.  Below is the current estimate on their chart.   

  • Obama 50.2% (+.2 %) 
  • Romney 45.8% (+.2%) 

Link to Pollster WI Presidential Chart  

 

Real Clear Politics Average:
Real Clear Politics has President Obama up 5% on their three poll average for the State of Wisconsin.
  • Obama 50%
  • Romney 45%
Link to RCP site

 

 
 
US House of Representatives

 

The current make up of the US House of Representatives is 241 Republicans and 194 Democrats.  A party needs 218 seats to control the House.  All of the news networks reported around 9:00 PM WI time that Republicans will maintain control of the House of Representatives.

Freshman Congressmen Sean Duffy (WI-7th) and Reid Ribble (WI-8th) Re-elected:
In the only two competitive congressional races in Wisconsin both Republican Congressmen Duffy and Ribble are projected to win re-election.

 

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