NHC meteorologists
Summer 2013

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Left: Meteorologists at the National Hurricane Center (Miami, 1970). Credit: State Archives of Florida, Florida Memory.
2012 Hurricane track map
2012 Atlantic hurricane season tracks 
2013 FSU-COAPS Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Predicts Above Average Activity 
The 5th annual forecast, led by Dr. Tim LaRow calls for a 70 percent probability of 12 to 17 named storms, including 5 to 10 hurricanes. The mean forecast is 15 named storms, 8 hurricanes, and an average accumulated cyclone energy (a measure of the strength and duration of storms accumulated during the season) of 135. The forecast mean numbers are identical to the observed 1995-2010 average named storms and hurricanes and reflect the ongoing period of heightened tropical activity in the North Atlantic. More...

GCOOS logo
New Gulf Coast Observing System Website
COAPS launched a new website for the atmospheric and oceanic instrumentation at the N7 Air Force tower in the northern Gulf of Mexico. On the site, you'll find weather and ocean data dials that update every 10-15 minutes (depending on parameter); under the "Data" tab are dynamic time series plots of all observations from the past 24 hours. Visit website...
Dr. O'Brien: A Legacy in the Numbers
COAPS founder and Professor Emeritus Dr. Jim O'Brien marks a career in mathematical ocean modeling and prolific mentorship in a recent profile article in Across the Spectrum, the magazine of the FSU College of Arts and Sciences. In the above photo, Dr. O'Brien shares a handshake with Vice President Al Gore during a 1997 meeting of the United States National Climate Assessment for the Southeast in Nashville, Tenn. Dr. O'Brien was chair of the southeast regional climate assessment group. More...

temperature outlook
Warmer Than Normal Summer Likely for Florida
The current 3-month seasonal forecast (June-July-August) from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center indicates enhanced chances for above normal temperatures in Florida. Neutral El Niņo-Southern Oscillation conditions are expected to continue through the summer. More...
Nathan Crock and Olmo Zavala-Romero Receive Honorable Mention in International Space Apps Challenge
The OpenTiles GIS project these COAPS students worked on was recognized in the "best use of data" category.
Lauren Zuromski Selected for NOAA Hollings Scholarship and Research Experiences for Undergraduates (REU) Program
Lauren is spending this summer at Washington State University for her REU and will spend next summer as an intern at a NOAA facility as part of her scholarship.
Melissa Griffin Receives 10-Year Service Award
The assistant state climatologist was recognized at the FSU employee awards ceremony in April.
Aaron Paget Completes PhD in Geophysical Fluid Dynamics
The title of his dissertation is "Important contributing factors for estimating the active and total whitecap coverage globally using satellite-derived parameters." At COAPS, Aaron worked under the guidance of Dr. Mark Bourassa. 
This scientific expert advisory group is charged with making recommendations for a sustained global ocean observing system for climate.
Arsalan Ahmed Completes MS in Computer Science
The title of his masters project is "Visualization of geo spatial data in real time." At COAPS, Arsalan worked under the direction of Dr. Eric Chassignet.
Oceans Day at the Capitol
Dr. Hannah Hiester talks about the Deep-C Consortium at Oceans Day at the Florida Capitol (4/4/13).
classroom presentation
Melissa Griffin and Rachel Weihs put on a meteorology magic show.
Web developer Kris Suchdeve put together this video of the launch of the Deep-C Consortium's SailBuoy in the Gulf of Mexico. 
Asst. state climatologist Melissa Griffin shares information about agriculture and climate at FSU Day at the Florida Capitol (4/2/13).
Name That Buoy Award
Deep-C coordinator Tracy Ippolito co-presents an award to a high school science class for a "Name That Buoy" contest.
O'Brien CPALMS video
Dr. Jim O'Brien relates physical factors to regional climates in this video for teachers by CPALMS.
Students Olmo Zavala-Romero and Arsalan Ahmed with their Gulf of Mexico visualization project at FSU's DIGITECH showcase.
science night
Outreach educator Amelia Vaughan showing deep sea specimens at a school science night.
Griffin CPALMS video
Melissa Griffin demystifies severe weather in another video for teachers by CPALMS.
IOVWST meeting, Hawaii
COAPS personnel at an International Ocean Vector Wind Science Team meeting in Hawaii.
Director Eric Chassignet giving staff a ride in his Amphicar at the annual COAPS picnic.
Zierden cloud in a bottle
State climatologist David Zierden makes a cloud in a bottle at the Railroad Square Science Saturday festival.
COAPS authors are in bold.

Ali, M. M., G. S. Bhat, D. G. Long, S. Bharadwaj, M. A. Bourassa (2013), Estimating wind stress at the ocean surface from scatterometer observations, IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Letters, doi:10.1109/LGRS.2012.2231937.

Arruda, W. Z, E. J. D. Campos, V. Zharkov, R. G. Soutelino, and I. A. Da Silveira (2013), Events of equatorward translation of the Vitoria Eddy,
Cont. Shelf Res.
, doi:10.1016/j.csr.2013.05.004.

Bastola, S. (2013), Hydrologic impacts of future climate change on Southeast US watersheds, Regional Environmental Change, doi:10.1007/s10113-013-0454-2.

Bourassa, M., S. Gille, C. Bitz, D. Carlson, I. Cerovecki, C. A. Clayson, M. Cronin, W. Drennan, C. Fairall, R. Hoffman, G. Magnusdottir, R. Pinker, I. Renfrew, M. Serreze, K. Speer, L. Talley, G. Wick (2013), High-latitude ocean and sea ice surface fluxes: requirements and challenges for climate research, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00244.1. 

Cammarano, D., L. Stefanova, B. V. Ortiz, M. Ramirez-Rodrigues, S. Asseng, V. Misra, G. Wilkerson, B. Basso, J. W. Jones, K. J. Boote, S. DiNapoli (2013), Evaluating the fidelity of downscaled climate data on simulated wheat and maize production in the southeastern US, Regional Environmental Change, doi:10.1007/s10113-013-0410-1.

Frumkin, A., and V. Misra (2013), Predictability of dry season reforecasts over the tropical and the sub-tropical South American region, International Journal of Climatology, 33(5), 1237-1247, doi:10.1002/joc.3508.

LaRow, T. E.
(2013), The impact of SST bias correction on North Atlantic hurricane retrospective forecastsMonthly Weather Review141(2), 490-498, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-12-00152.1.

Michael, J.-P., V. Misra, and E. P. Chassignet (2013), The El Nino and Southern Oscillation in the historical centennial integrations of the new generation of climate model, Regional Environmental Change, doi:10.1007/s10113-013-0452-4.

Misra, V., and S. M. DiNapoli (2013), Understanding the wet season variations over Florida, Climate Dynamics, 40(5-6), 1361-1372, doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1382-4.

Misra, V., H. Li, Z. Wu, and S. Dinapoli (2013), Global Seasonal Climate Predictability in a Two Tiered Forecast System. Part I: Boreal Summer and Fall Seasons, Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-013-1812-y.

Zheng, Y., M. A. Bourassa, and P. J. Hughes (2013), Influences of sea surface temperature gradients and surface roughness changes on the motion of surface oil: a simple idealized study, J. Appl. Meteor. Clim., doi:10.1175/JAMC-D-12-0211.1. 
The Florida State University Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies (COAPS) is a center of excellence performing interdisciplinary research in ocean-atmosphere-land-ice interactions to increase our understanding of the physical, social, and economic consequences of climate variability. COAPS scientists and students come from a wide range of disciplines, including meteorology, oceanography, statistics, globeand the computer and information sciences. 

Director: Dr. Eric Chassignet
Website: http://coaps.fsu.edu
Email: contact@coaps.fsu.edu

Newsletter Editor: Meredith Field