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Unlocking Real Value Newsletter

The V-Word Is Back

The stock market has continued its upward climb this year, so far deftly avoiding the normal bull market correction that so many are expecting.

The daily +/- 100 point swings in the DJIA that we've experienced periodically throughout this long bull run have been gone ...

Well, guess what? Volatility is back as of a few weeks ago, and it's probably a good thing. The market has been ignoring events that should make it nervous, including the imminent end to the Fed's easy money policy and growing geopolitical uncertainty.

I view it as positive that the market is finally seeming to acknowledge that the road will indeed be bumpy. Qualitative Easing (QE) is ending this month, and interest rates will be raised by mid-2015 at the latest.

Positively, the domestic economy remains on an upward track, corporate profits are strong and the Fed seems cognizant of not raising rates too quickly.

The economic situation in Europe, however, is a lot less certain, as the sanctions war with Russia could very well push the Euro zone back into recession.

So, yes, given these cross currents, the next few months may be volatile. And don't be surprised to see that long awaited correction. But don't confuse short-term setbacks with the positive longer-term outlook.

With volatility on the rise, keeping clients comfortable, informed and invested in their long-term investment plans is important now more than ever.

Andy Klausner
Founder & Principal

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4Q2014

 
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AK Advisory Partners LLC is a consultancy to the financial services industry, providing advice and training to firms and individuals operating in the fee-based, investment management and wealth management areas.

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