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Friday October 31, 2014
tableTable of Contents
From David's Desk: The Paper Market Is In Control Until It Isn't
Andy Hoffman's Daily Thoughts: BS to the Nth Power
Weekly Podcast with Andy Hoffman
Featured Articles: King World News, Money Morning, Jim Sinclair, Ed Steer, Zero Hedge
Market Recap
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davidFrom David's Desk
David Schectman

The Paper Market Is In Control Until It Isn't

October 31, 2014

 

Silver Eagle sales are going through the roof, but the demand is not U.S. retail centered. There are rumors of a big buyer in Europe. At these prices, silver sales are very robust (See article in Jim Sinclair's column today).

 

I was talking to Andy Hoffman this morning and he said the paper market is in total control of the prices. I said I disagree - sort of. The paper market is in control until it isn't. The minute that physical gold or silver can't be sourced at the suppressed (paper) prices, the physical market will control the price. Can that time be far off? I think not. And when it turns, there will be a large number of hedge funds that will be in a hurry to exit their positions and the way back up should be as rapid, or even faster, than the way down.

 

In today's Featured Articles section, there are several good reports on Alan Greenspan. I think the best of the bunch is in the Money Morning section. Be sure and check it out.

 

For those of our readers who remember Jim Sinclair saying that the Fed will never be able to stop QE, here is his latest thought on the subject:

 

Jim,

 

I read today that the stimulus program was halted. I believe in QE to infinity, so do you see this as a temporary reprieve and/or propaganda to try to calm down Americans?

Thanks,

 

CIGA Jason

 

Jason,

 

It will be reinstated under a different name in 3 months.

 

Jim

-jsmineset.com, October 30, 2014

 

And finally, be sure and check out the first Featured Article from King World News about a report from Switzerland that money donated to help pass the gold initiative via a PayPal account set up to transfer it has been frozen - PayPal is silent on the matter. To what lengths will these criminals stoop to?

 

 

_______________________

 

 

Today's Featured Articles

 

King World News (Powers that be have frozen the money intended for the Swiss Gold Initiative)

 

Money Morning (Understanding Gold's Massive Impact on Fed Maneuvering)

 

Jim Sinclair (Where should investors turn? "Greenspan said gold is a good place to put money these days given its value as a currency outside of the policies conducted by governments.") (Greenspan: Price of Gold Will Rise) (U.S. Mint Gold Coin Sales Near 60,000 Ounces In October - Swiss Gold Initiative Leading To Increase In Demand?)

 

Ed Steer (As Ted Butler always points out, it's not the price, rather it's the number of long gold contracts that JPMorgan et al can get the Managed Money traders to puke up---and how deeply they can guide these same technical funds onto the short side of the gold market.) 

 

Zero Hedge (Santelli Slams The Fed As "Weak-Data"-Dependent; Lacy Hunt Warns "We're Not On The Right Path") (Putting The Fallacy Of QE Into Perspective) (Alan Greenspan: QE Failed To Help The Economy, The Unwind Will Be Painful, "Buy Gold") (Fireworks Fly As Peter Schiff Warns "An Economy That Lives By QE, Dies By QE")

 

 

Sincerely,

 


David Schectman
hoffmanAndy Hoffman's Daily Thoughts

BS to the Nth Power

October 30, 2014

 

Hopefully, readers understand just how much resource we put into the Miles Franklin Blog, both financial and human. Fortunately, we love what we do; and from a personal perspective, my work gives meaning to my life in an increasingly chaotic world. However, we cannot emphasize enough that we have a business to run; and thus, we humbly ask that if you are considering buying, selling, trading or storing precious metals, please call us at 800-822-8080 and give us a chance to earn your business.

 

Business has been difficult since TPTB embarked on the unprecedented raids of April 2013; and whilst Miles Franklin continues to soldier on - due to the goodwill generated, and exceptional service offered over 25 years in business - many of our competitors, for example, Tulving and Merit - have either folded or on the verge of such. Per this chart, the U.S. is essentially the only place on Earth where people have purchased less gold since the 2008 crisis, care of history's most maniacal market manipulation and propaganda campaign.

 

This dichotomy between America and the rest of the world is even more shocking when one realizes true gold demand is significantly larger than reported. To wit, China reports its 2013 physical gold demand was a whopping 2,199 tonnes, or twice the level the nefarious U.S.-based "World Gold Council" reports. Thus, as annual gold production is roughly 2,700 tonnes, the Chinese are purchasing roughly 80% of the total. And while this theft is occurring right under the noses of Americans - literally, as such demand has undoubtedly been satiated by surreptitious sales of official U.S. gold reserves - clueless miners continue to fund the World Gold Council. At current prices, it won't be long before the gold mining industry implodes; starting with year-end reserve write-downs, if prices remain anywhere near the current historically depressed levels. Given my experience as a sell-side analyst covering the energy sector in 1999 - when oil prices briefly plunged below $10/bbl. - I expect 2015 to be the year the mining industry completely halts due to "merger paralysis"; starting with the inevitable combination of two of the three largest gold miners, Barrick Gold and Newmont Mining, whose stocks have plunged to lows last seen in 1993 and 2001, respectively.

  

  


Moreover, the past two years of Western silver sales records are decidedly not due to Americans and Canadians, given the aforementioned sales trends we have observed. In other words, Easterners are not only draining the gold vaults at the COMEX, GLD and LBMA, but the silver vaults of the U.S. and Royal Canadian Mints - not to mention, the Shanghai Futures Exchange, which has lost 90% of its inventory in the past 18 months. Thus, the only thing more outlandish than the sky-high gold/silver ratio, is the fact silver prices are way, way below their cost of production. And thus, with base metal prices in steep decline as well (two-thirds of silver production is by-product from base metal mines), if you think the upcoming gold write-downs, mergers and production declines will be historic, get ready for truly cataclysmic occurrences in the global silver mining industry - which undoubtedly, is headed for a shortage situation that will make the 2008, 2011 and 2013 shortages pale in comparison.

 

And cataclysm will surely be the buzzword of the coming years, particularly now that the Fed has "set the table" for all-out collapse. Which, as you might have guessed, is the subject of today's article; as what they perpetrated this week, culminating with yesterday's FOMC statement was "BS to the Nth Degree."

 

Think about it. It's nothing short of "miraculous" how the "unemployment rate" fortuitously fell to a multi-year low of 5.9% last month, whilst QE3 fortuitously ended yesterday, six days before the mid-term elections. The fact that real unemployment - not just in the States, but worldwide - is at its singular low point of the century should not be considered, according to Washington and Wall Street. Or, for that matter, that QE is more necessary now than ever. With the global economy in such horrific shape and U.S. economic data falling as rapidly as anywhere else, record high stock and bond prices could not be more ominous. Debt is rising parabolically everywhere; and now that oil prices and currencies are serially collapsing, the inflationary and geopolitical ramifications will be devastating - including here in the States, where the ballyhooed shale boom is on the verge of an historic collapse.

 

Yesterday, the Fed culminated a month of blatant collaboration with the PPT, gold Cartel and Exchange Stabilization Fund, with one of the biggest pieces of economic propaganda in history - exceeding in brazenness even last month's "new home sales" figures, which we deemed the "all-time biggest lie." Not to mention, claiming to "end QE" with its final "POMO" - or Permanent Open Market Operation" - on October 27th; yet, producing a prototypical "dead ringer" algorithm on the "Dow Jones Propaganda Average" the very next day, proving its printing presses are as active as always.

 

In accompanying such chicanery with the outright lies in its statement, they elevated themselves to Pinocchio-like status. As Zero Hedge eloquently put it, the Fed pretended to be optimistic in its quest to "justify" ending QE and satiate its Washington and Wall Street masters ahead of the election. In reality, it again said "Nothing!" incremental about its policy stance - including its ongoing "data dependency" and intention to maintain ZIRP for a "considerable time." However, in stating "the Committee judges there has been a substantial improvement in the outlook for the labor market" and it "continues to see sufficient underlying strength in the broader economy to support ongoing progress toward maximum employment, in a context of price stability," they literally "broke the mold" on BS.

 

Recall, it was only July when Whirlybird Janet lamented of "significant underutilization of labor resources - which was promptly followed by a miserable August NFP report, and a September report depicting the overall Labor Participation Rate at a 36-low; and for males, a record-low - as when the gold standard was abandoned in 1971, millions of woman were forced to work to offset the massive inflation unleashed. And I won't even waste space speaking of the fact that any actual jobs created - outside of the fictitious "birth/death model" type - are largely part-time, minimum wage, non-benefits paying jobs in non-productive industries, entirely for 55+ year olds that can no longer afford retirement. Heck, it was just two weeks ago when, in response to plunging stock markets, six separate Fed governors were calling for a delay to QE's end. That is, before the PPT engineered its most blatant equity-goosing operation yet enabling the FOMC to publish such drivel and continue its "QE-ending" ruse. Yes, with economic data in freefall the world round, the aforementioned trends are sure to yield "maximum employment" and "price stability" in the very near future.

 

As for the "market reaction," just how ridiculous could the manipulations be? As occurs every time the Fed speaks, precious metals were mercilessly bombed - as they are every moment of every day recently. Meanwhile, the stock market's initial decline was, as always, halted within minutes; and even a second wave of selling was met by staunch PPT support, enabling modest losses by the close. And contrary to the Fed's "bullish" hype, interest rates ended the day lower - and even following this morning's "better than expected" GDP reading (ENTIRELY due to government spending as personal consumption spending growth was not only lower than expected, but lower than the first quarter's "weather" related plunge ), rates are lower still. As are global equities, which either don't buy the BS are historically overvalued, or both. Of course, the PPT reversed an entire morning's worth of Dow future weakness at the NYSE open - compared to plunging European markets; as well as commodities, currencies, and essentially everything the U.S. PPT doesn't control. As for the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield, for all the Fed's hype, it sits at 2.29% as I write, enroute to breaching its new 2.20% line in the sand - and eventually, Japanese and German rates below 1.0% before hyperinflation inevitably arrives. Remember, just because QE3 is over, it doesn't mean QE is over; certainly not covertly - and as we will likely learn next year, overtly as well. Remember, fiat currency is by definition a Ponzi scheme - and thus, QE must continue to "infinity" to prevent instantaneous collapse. As Peter Schiff puts it, QE is an "economic roach motel" - in that once you get in, you can never get out!

  

 

 

Last but not least, I'd be remiss if I didn't highlight what "Maestro" Greenspan said this week, as part of his ongoing campaign to whitewash his legacy of having sold his soul - and staunch beliefs in real money - for the power of being Fed Chairman. Having watched Greenspan speak this week, Bill Holter described this transformation in greater detail, but the simple quote below describes his heresy completely. This, from the man I consider more responsible for the unfolding economic catastrophe than any other...

 

Gold is a good place to put money these days, given its value as a currency outside of the policies conducted by governments.

-Wall Street Journal, October 29, 2014

 

Hopefully, you too will listen to what this "ultimate insider" is saying, now that he is not beholden by the corridors of Washington in the twilight of his sorry pathetic life. I'd say gold at $1,200/oz. is the bargain of a lifetime. However, seeing silver at $16.65/oz. - with an average production cost of $20-$25/oz.; an industry-sustaining cost of $25-$30/oz.; record-high global demand; record-low global inventory; and the prospect for not only an imminent production implosion but long-term industry impairment, it's difficult not to "pound the table" at such prices.

 

PROTECT YOURSELF, and do it NOW!

 

Call Miles Franklin at 800-822-8080, and talk to one of our brokers.  Through industry-leading customer service and competitive pricing, we aim to EARN your business.

 

 

 

 

interviewWeekly Podcast with Andy Hoffman
October 30, 2014

On his weekly podcast, Andy Hoffman discusses gasoline and oil prices, manipulation of all the markets, the Dow Jones Propaganda, unemployment rate, the housing market, gold and silver.

Download the Audio File: Janet In Wonderland

Janet In Wonderland
Janet In Wonderland


featuredFeatured Articles

Powers That Be Have Frozen Money For Swiss Gold Initiative - kingworldnews.com

October 30, 2014

 

Today a 42-year market veteran told King World News that the powers that be have frozen the money intended for the Swiss Gold Initiative.  This is a stunning event.  Below is what Egon von Greyerz, who is founder of Matterhorn Asset Management out of Switzerland, had to say in this extraordinary interview.

 

Greyerz:  "Eric, there was a time when central bankers were independent and free thinking individuals.  But now they are all part of the system.  They are more investment bankers than central bankers.  Alan Greenspan wrote in 1966, 'In the absence of a gold standard there is no way to prevent savings from confiscation through inflation.'....

 

"Before joining the Fed, Alan Greenspan was totally in favor of owning gold.  But by 1987 he was busy at the Fed.  Later he was manipulating markets and printing money as U.S. debt levels skyrocketed.  But today Greenspan is free from constraints, so he is once again saying that gold is a good place to be because it's not possible for the Fed to end its easy money policies.

 

And if we look at Switzerland, before 1999 Switzerland kept 40 percent gold in the Swiss National Bank's balance sheet.  This was a requirement.  But the central planners snuck something into the Constitution that changed that requirement and the amount of gold plunged from 40 percent in 1999, down to 19 percent in 2009.  But then Switzerland really started printing money and so now there is only 7 percent gold in the Swiss National Bank's balance sheet, which is one of the lowest of all the European countries.

 

As you know, Eric, I have been involved in the Swiss Gold Initiative.  The Swiss National Bank is opposing this initiative.  They have admitted that it stops their ability to manipulate markets.  The campaign is going well.  The public has generously donated because of KWN and other sites.  But that came to a stop two days ago when PayPal closed the account for donations and they froze the funds that were in that account without any warning.

 

So unfortunately the campaign cannot receive some of those donations, which were just frozen.  PayPal will not even answer the questions we are asking them, but I assume the money will be returned to the donors.  Clearly the powers that be did not want the campaign to receive this money.  We will keep on fighting for this campaign because gold will always have an advantage over worthless printed pieces of paper that governments and central banks create at will in order to manipulate markets."

 

Greyerz added: "But coming back to the Fed, Eric, they will never be able to permanently stop QE.  It's not that QE is a solution, it's just that if they stop it rates will go up and there will be no chance to refinance the massive U.S. debt load or the Fed's own balance sheet.  The system cannot survive with higher rates.

 

So I believe there will continue to be some type of ongoing secret QE done through foreign central banks or some type of Plunge Protection Team.  But eventually the system will require massive worldwide money printing.  This is because the problems from the 2008 collapse are still present in the system.

 

But regardless, the public will continue to suffer with high unemployment, high personal debt loads, and falling real wages.  90 percent of Americans are poorer today than they were in 1987.  58 percent of the population is now earning below $28,000.  We also just saw a 19-year low in mortgage applications, which shows that the problem in the real economy is massive.

 

But we will also see more QE in Japan, where there are huge problems.  And China's property market is now in a real bubble.  This will affect China's banking and shadow banking system.  French unemployment is also at a record high now, and Germany's Business Confidence is at a 6-month low.

 

If you look at the stress tests in Europe, 25 banks failed.  But the stress test was devised in such a way that most banks passed.  Virtually all of them would have failed a normal stress test.  But even the banks, which did not pass the test, won't have to take measures to pass at a later stage.  The bad debt in Europe is now over $1 trillion euros.  This will eventually mean even more massive money printing in Europe.  

 

So people need to be patient and focus on the fundamentals as the Western central planners push the gold and silver prices around one last time in their game of psychological warfare against hard asset investors.  Before this is over, Eric, the people invested in gold and silver will see the prices of the only true money the world has ever seen skyrocket."

 

 ____________________   

   

 

Understanding Gold's Massive Impact on Fed Maneuvering - moneymorning.com

By PETER KRAUTH, Resource Specialist, Money Morning October 30, 2014

 

Just about everyone knows Alan Greenspan. As central bankers go, he may just be the most famous ever. Even today, 1 in 6 Americans still think he's the current chair of the Federal Reserve.

 

As Fed chief from 1987 until 2006, Greenspan oversaw the latter part of the greatest stock bull in history.

 

For that, some called him "The Maestro."

 

From other quarters, the names are far less flattering. Many blame him for inflating massive stock and real estate bubbles, resulting in financial devastation across the economy.

 

Well, these days Greenspan is acting rather schizophrenic. In fact, you won't believe what he's saying now, unless you understand where he's coming from.

 

Given the havoc its wreaking on market stability (while ostensibly doing the opposite), it's absolutely critical to look back at Greenspan's handiwork to try to make sense of today's Federal Reserve maneuvering...

 

Greenspan Was Molded Decades Before Heading the Fed

 

Greenspan has been an economic adviser to two presidents and a director at several corporations, including JP Morgan & Co., as well as a director of the Council on Foreign Relations.

 

But his ideas about economics and money change dramatically depending on when you ask him, or where he works.

 

Back in the early 1950s Greenspan became a member of Ayn Rand's inner circle.  His essay "Gold and Economic Freedom" was published in Rand's newsletter The Objectivist in 1966 and in her book, Capitalism: The Unknown Ideal in 1967.  He even read Atlas Shrugged while it was being written.

 

In case you're confused, yes... it's the same Alan Greenspan.

 

In the "Gold and Economic Freedom" essay, he wrote: "... gold and economic freedom are inseparable, that the gold standard is an instrument of laissez-faire and that each implies and requires the other."

 

He went on to say: "In the absence of the gold standard, there is no way to protect savings from confiscation through inflation. There is no safe store of value."

 

Does this sound like a guy who would be in charge of the world's most powerful central bank?

 

Remember, the raison d'�tre of central banks, and of course central bankers, is to promote and defend a system of fiat money creation and debt. Gold is neither of those. Actually it's the complete opposite. It's the anti-fiat money and anti-credit.

 

It's not perfect, but it's still the best money that fiat money can buy.

 

Greenspan knows it.  He's always known it.

 

Now, no longer obliged to toe the Fed's line, he's again free to say what he really thinks.

 

Which has him back to extolling the virtues of gold, a topic he was outspoken on before selling out to the dark side of central banking...

 

Recycling a Tired Stance

 

"The Maestro" recently shared his thoughts through an op-ed piece in Foreign Affairs magazine, published by the Council on Foreign Relations.

 

That's the same publication that brought us the "brilliant" article we recently discussed in Money Morning, suggesting the Fed should print and give cash directly to citizens.

 

In Greenspan's piece, "Golden Rule: Why Beijing Is Buying," he suggests:

 

If China were to convert a relatively modest part of its $4 trillion foreign exchange reserves into gold, the country's currency could take on unexpected strength in today's international financial system. It would be a gamble, of course, for China to use part of its reserves to buy enough gold bullion to displace the United States from its position as the world's largest holder of monetary gold. (As of spring 2014, U.S. holdings amounted to $328 billion.) But the penalty for being wrong, in terms of lost interest and the cost of storage, would be modest.

 

Greenspan is even on the pro-gold standard bandwagon:

 

The broader issue - a return to the gold standard in any form - is nowhere on anybody's horizon... For more than two millennia, gold has had virtually unquestioned acceptance as payment. It has never required the credit guarantee of a third party. No questions are raised when gold or direct claims to gold are offered in payment of an obligation...  If the dollar or any other fiat currency were universally acceptable at all times, central banks would see no need to hold any gold. The fact that they do indicates that such currencies are not a universal substitute.

 

Here's a guy who's as connected as one gets in the realm of central banking, and yet he's extolling the virtues of gold as money, suggesting a return to a gold standard. Heck, he even thinks China ought to beef up its gold reserves, enough to overtake the U.S. as the largest owner of gold.

 

Why? Because he realizes that's what it would take to partially back China's currency, the renminbi, with gold, or at least challenge the dollar's status as world reserve currency.  He also appreciates that it's a strategy that would be impossible to implement without sufficient gold.

 

In fairness, as Fed chief, Greenspan did display some affinity towards the precious metal.

 

In fact, he even followed his own system of a "virtual gold standard" for years, a principle he eventually abandoned the moment it became inconvenient...

 

The "Virtual Gold Standard" Was Quietly Cultivated

 

Greenspan recounts how, back in the 1990s at a G-10 governors' meeting, the discussion was all about the European counterparts itching to sell off their gold.

 

They knew their simultaneous dumping risked depressing the gold price. So they set up the first Central Bank Gold Agreement in 1999, whereby 15 European central banks agreed to limit sales to 400 metric tons annually over the next 5 years. Curiously, Greenspan points out that Washington abstained.

 

Clearly he was the savviest of the bunch, knowing that gold is the ultimate form of payment, something a central bank should never sell unless it's absolutely necessary.

 

Understanding the positive effects of gold as money, Greenspan devised his own method to reap the benefits.

 

While heading the Federal Reserve, Greenspan appears to have imposed a "virtual gold standard," at least according to Donald Luskin of Trend Macrolytics.

 

Gold, it seemed, acted as the barometer.  As its rising price signaled inflation, Greenspan would raise the funds rate. As gold's price fell, he would inject liquidity by lowering the funds rate.

 

But in 1997, that relationship was severed.

 

The Maestro dropped his "virtual gold standard," and raised rates as gold prices fell, and vice versa.

 

That fueled the blow-off phase of the dot-com bubble and its inevitable crash. Greenspan then drastically cut rates again, inflating the housing bubble.

 

By 2006 Greenspan had exited, leaving the reins to Bernanke. The housing bubble soon popped, and we all know how that ended. On Ben's watch, the funds rate was slashed and has flat-lined near zero for the past five years running.

 

Smell any bubbles? Poor Janet.

 

Back to Alan...

 

Let's follow the Maestro's original advice. The fact remains that Greenspan knows sound money, and he recognizes the deleterious side effects of fiat money.

 

In testimony before the U.S. Banking Committee in 1999, Greenspan said, "Gold still represents the ultimate form of payment in the world." Later, when Maryland Senator Sarbanes asked him if he endorsed a return to the gold standard he replied: "I've been recommending that for years, there is nothing new about that."

 

Yet it's intriguing that for all the ambiguous talk Greenspan spewed out during his tenure, his thoughts on gold seem to be clear as crystal.

 

Greenspan summed it up best when addressing the Council on Foreign Relations back in 2010: "Fiat money has no place to go but gold... It signals problems with respect to currency markets. Central banks should pay attention to it."

 

Indeed they should. Indeed we all should. If you're ever going to follow any the Maestro's advice, follow that bit and ignore the rest.

 

It's just Fedspeak.

 

 

____________________   

 

    

Jim's Mailbox - www.jsmineset.com

Posted October 30th, 2014 at 10:14 AM (CST) by Jim Sinclair

 

Jim,

 

Strap on your seat belts: The Federal Reserve ended its controversial quantitative-easing (QE) program at its meeting today.

 

It also plans to keep interest rates at record lows for a "considerable time," and that environment will continue to support gold prices.

 

However, today's biggest news came not from Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen but one of her predecessors, none other than Alan Greenspan. In a speech at the Council on Foreign Relations, "The Maestro" said he fears potential "turmoil" in the economy as the Fed halts QE. "I don't think it's possible" for a smooth exit, he said, implying that rampant inflation and bursting asset bubbles could result. QE has failed to jump-start the real economy, he said.

 

"QE has been most effective in inflating asset prices, and both the markets and economy are addicted to the stimulus," said Peter Boockvar of the Lindsey Group. History indeed shows that since 2009, the stock market has lost its gains each time the Fed has previously ended QE. With the global economy rapidly slowing, and with no correction of 10% or more in the S&P 500 in three years, stocks are overdue for a fall.

 

And the real danger here is that once the stock market corrects - or any number of risks from Ebola to a eurozone debt implosion cause a wider crisis - the Fed will succumb to pressure and launch a new round of QE. That's when things could start to spiral out of control.

 

Where should investors turn? "Greenspan said gold is a good place to put money these days given its value as a currency outside of the policies conducted by governments," The Wall Street Journal reported.

 

CIGA Art M.

 

***

 

In The News Today - www.jsmineset.com

Posted October 30th, 2014 at 6:43 PM (CST) by Jim Sinclair

 

Greenspan: Price of Gold Will Rise  
Axel Merk, Merk Investments 
October 29, 2014

 

Any doubts about why I own gold as an investment were dispelled last Saturday when I met the maestro himself: former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan. It's not because Greenspan said he thinks the price of gold will rise - I don't need his investment advice; it's that he shed light on how the Fed works in ways no other former Fed Chair has ever dared to articulate. All investors should pay attention to this. Let me explain. The setting: Greenspan participated on a panel at the New Orleans Investment Conference last Saturday. Below I provide a couple of his quotes and expand on what are the potential implications for investors.

 

Greenspan: "The Gold standard is not possible in a welfare state."

 

The U.S. provides more welfare benefits nowadays than a decade ago, or back when a gold standard was in place. Greenspan did not explicitly say that the U.S. is a welfare state. However, it's my interpretation that the sort of government he described was building up liabilities - "entitlements" - that can be very expensive. Similar challenges can arise when a lot of money is spent on other programs, such as military expenditures. It boils down to the problem that a government in debt has an incentive to debase the value of its debt through currency devaluation or otherwise. As such, it should not be shocking to learn that a gold standard is not compatible with such a world. But during the course of Greenspan's comments, it became obvious that there was a much more profound implication.

 

Who finances social programs?

 

Marc Faber, who was also on the panel, expressed his view, and displeasure, that the Fed has been financing social programs. The comment earned Faber applause from the audience, but Greenspan shrugged off the criticism, saying: "you have it backwards." Greenspan argued that it's the fiscal side that's to blame. The Fed merely reacts. Doubling down on the notion, when asked how a 25-fold increase in the Consumer Price Index or a 60-fold increase in the price of gold since the inception of the Fed can be considered a success, he said the Fed does what Congress requires of it. He lamented that Fed policies are dictated by culture rather than economics. So doesn't this jeopardize the Fed's independence? Independence of a central bank is important, for example, so that there isn't reckless financing of government deficits. Greenspan: "I never said the central bank is independent!" I could not believe my ears. I have had off the record conversations with Fed officials that have made me realize that they don't touch upon certain subjects in public debate - not because they are wrong - but because they would push the debate in a direction that would make it more difficult to conduct future policy. But I have never, ever, heard a Fed Chair be so blunt. The maestro says the Fed merely does what it is mandated to do, merely playing along. If something doesn't go right, it's not the Fed's fault. That credit bubble? Well, that was due to Fannie and Freddie (the government sponsored entities) disobeying some basic principles, not the Fed.

 

And what about QE? He made the following comments on the subject:

 

Greenspan: "The Fed's balance sheet is a pile of tinder, but it hasn't been lit ... inflation will eventually have to rise."

 

But fear not because he assured us:

 

Greenspan: "They (FOMC members) are very smart."

 

Trouble is, if no one has noticed, central bankers are always the smart ones. But being smart has not stopped them from making bad decisions in the past. Central bankers in the Weimar Republic were the smartest of their time. The Reichsbank members thought printing money to finance a war was 'exogenous' to the economy and wouldn't be inflationary. Luckily we have learned from our mistakes and are so much smarter these days. Except, of course, as Greenspan points out it's the politics that ultimately dictate what's going to happen, not the intelligence of central bankers. And even if some concede central bankers may have above average IQs, not everyone is quite so sanguine about politicians.

 

Now if they are so smart, the following question were warranted and asked:

 

More...

 

U.S. Mint Gold Coin Sales Near 60,000 Ounces In October - Swiss Gold Initiative Leading To Increase In Demand?

29 October 2014

By Mark O'Byrne

 

The U.S. Mint has sold nearly 60,000 ounces of American Eagle gold coins so far in October due to increased global demand from store of wealth buyers as economic and geopolitical uncertainty increased.

 

With only three business days left until the end of October, the U.S. Mint has sold 59,500 American Eagle bullion one ounce gold coins. On a year-on-year basis, U.S. gold coin sales in October are up 21% from 48,500 ounces in October 2013. 

 

 

 

  

U.S. Mint Silver Eagle, 2014 (1 Ounce)

 

Store of wealth silver bullion buyers continue to stack silver at a steady clip. They bought 4.12 million ounces of American Silver Eagle coins so far this month, versus 4.14 million ounces in September.

 

This means that nearly 68 times more silver in ounce terms was bought than gold. Silver buyers continue to see silver as severely depressed with silver below $20/oz and the gold silver ratio at 71 or $1,228/oz divided by $17.24/oz.

 

More...

 

 

 ____________________

 

Greenspan: "The Price of Gold Will Rise-Measurably" - www.caseyresearch.com

By Ed Steer

October 30, 2014

 

The Wrap

 

When small men begin to cast big shadows, it means that the sun is about to set. -- Lin Yutang

 

Well, I'm sad to say that the Wednesday trading session turned out exactly as I expected it would, although I was hoping beyond hope that it might be different this time---but it wasn't.

 

But what should not be lost in this is the continuing engineered price declines in both gold and silver---and after 'da boyz' and their algorithms got through with both metals yesterday, there's only 20 or so dollars to go to get back to the October 6 low in gold.

 

But, as Ted Butler always points out, it's not the price, rather it's the number of long gold contracts that JPMorgan et al can get the Managed Money traders to puke up---and how deeply they can guide these same technical funds onto the short side of the gold market.  So how 'low' the price goes, will be a direction function of that process.

 

Here are the 6-month charts for both gold and silver.

 

Casey Research
Casey Research
 

 

 

Ted says that with silver, the Managed Money is all 'locked and loaded' with a record short position.  It's possible they may have added to their short position yesterday, but there's no way of knowing, because Wednesday's price action occurred a day after the cut-off for tomorrow's Commitment of Traders Report.  So we'll have to wait until the COT Report on November 7, which is a lifetime away at the moment.

 

And as I type this paragraph, the London open is about 50 minutes away.  I note that the two tiny rally attempts that occurred in gold---one shortly after trading began in New York yesterday evening---and the one that came shortly after 9 a.m. Hong Kong time, were both sold down.  But the real sell-off began around 1 p.m. Hong Kong time as the HFT boyz leaned on the price---and gold is now at a new low for this move down, and it probably won't be the low of the day.  Gold volume is already north of 32,000 contracts, which is very heavy for this time of morning---and 99 percent of it is in the current front month, which is December, so it's not normal trading volume.

 

Silver's tiny rally attempt in morning trading in the Far East on their Thursday met with the same fate as gold---and 'da boyz' really put the boots to the price shortly before 2 p.m. Hong Kong time.  The silver price is now knocking on the door of its old low set back on Friday, October 3.  Gold volume is just north of 12,000 contracts at the moment, which is also pretty big for this time of day.

 

After trading flat for most of the Far East session, platinum also met the same fate starting shortly before 1 p.m. Hong Kong time.  Palladium got hit shortly after trading began at 6 p.m. in New York last night---and has been allowed to trade flat since then.

 

The dollar index has been in rally mode almost since the open yesterday evening---and at the moment it's up 25 basis points.  But if you believe that these engineered price declines are a result of the 'strength' in the dollar index, do I have a bridge for you!  However, that's what the so-called experts will use as a reason for the decline in all precious metals.

 

I'd like to think that this is the last swing for the fences by JPMorgan et al, but it's just not possible to tell at the moment.  I think some comfort should be drawn from Greenspan's use of the world "measurable" because it confirms that there is an end game, which, as I've said many times over the years, will certainly result in a re-pricing of not just the precious metals, but all commodities in general.  The only thing we don't know is the timing.  But looking at the current set-up in the Comex futures market, never have the stars been so favorably aligned---and that was Ted's opinion in his mid-week commentary yesterday, which was headlined "Resolution is Dead Ahead".

 

So we wait some more.

 

Continue reading on Casey Research.com.

 

____________________

 

 

Santelli Slams The Fed As "Weak-Data"-Dependent; Lacy Hunt Warns "We're Not On The Right Path"- www.zerohedge.com

Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/29/2014 18:43 -0400

 

Confirming Rick Santelli's perspective on the unending 'easiness' of the Fed, Hoisington Investment Management's Lacy Hunt states unequivocally that "The Fed will not raise rates in 2015," and warns that the US economy and monetary policy "are not on the right path," in this excellent brief interview. Santelli slams the Fed's asymmetric policy, coining a new phrase that Yellen is only "weak-data"-dependent and Hunt confirms that "by its past policy errors, the Fed has put itself out of business," enabling massive build ups of debt, warning that "debt is an increase in current spending in lieu of future spending," and confirms the truth that rather than deleveraging, "the world is significantly more leveraged now than in 2008."

 

Continue reading on Zero Hedge.com.

 

***

 

Putting The Fallacy Of QE Into Perspective - www.zerohedge.com

Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/29/2014 18:11 -0400

 

"Remember, the Fed has injected into the market nearly 4 Trillion dollars. That's $4,000,000,000,000.00.

 

"In just 3 years the Federal Reserve has pushed into the financial markets via the QE programs the equivalent in dollar amounts to have purchased 510 B-2 Stealth Bombers, 72 Nimitz Class Air Craft Carriers, 120 Ohio Class Submarines. and still have Two TRILLION or so left in my pocket left to spend."

 

As far as what we have to show for all this spending at the end of QE this month? Who knows, but I do know - we didn't even get a lousy T-shirt.

 

Continue reading on Zero Hedge.com.

 

***

 

Alan Greenspan: QE Failed To Help The Economy, The Unwind Will Be Painful, "Buy Gold"- www.zerohedge.com

Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/29/2014 23:42 -0400

 

"Effective demand is dead in the water" and the effort to boost it via bond buying "has not worked.

 

"I don't think it's possible" for the Fed to end its easy-money policies in a trouble-free manner. ...

 

"Gold is a good place to put money these days given its value as a currency outside of the policies conducted by governments."

 

Continue reading on Zero Hedge.com.

 

 

***

 

Fireworks Fly As Peter Schiff Warns "An Economy That Lives By QE, Dies By QE" - www.zerohedge.com

Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/29/2014 22:15 -0400

 

Ahead of tomorrow's decision by the FOMC, Peter Schiff ventured on to CNBC to discuss the economy, the fed, and gold... among other things. Schiff rightly fears that while the Fed may well stop QE3 tomorrow, QE4 will not be too long behind it as he notes, rather eloquently, that "an economy that lives by QE, will die by QE" as the Fed's total lack of willingness to allow stocks to fall (see Bullard 2 weeks ago) or a 'cleansing' recession leaves the nation's economy in far worse shape than it was before the Fed's intervention. Schiff calmly replies to the anchor's questions (as she proclaims "I am not on the side of the Fed but..."), gently explains his view on gold when challenged about his 'wrongness', but when a guest starts hounding him for being dangerous to CNBC viewers' wealth... Schiff (rightly) loses it - must watch!

 

Continue reading on Zero Hedge.com.

 

recapMarket Recap
Thursday October 30, 2014





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