Dear ,
Welcome to June 2014 issue of The Wealth Chronicle!
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SHOULD YOU RENT OR BUY A HOME
A recurrently hot topic in personal finance is the debate over whether to buy or rent a home. The conventional wisdom has always been that everyone should strive to be a homeowner and to stop paying rent. Prices in some markets still haven't recovered from the drops in 2008/2009 and the government is still offering incentives to home buyers. But is buying a home always the best decision?
Kyle Fishman's recent article titled Seeking Alpha argues that renting is far superior to owning a home.
His reasons include:
- Homeowners still have to pay rent in the form of property tax, maintenance/repairs, insurance, mortgage interest, and opportunity cost (the amount invested in the house could have alternatively been producing gains in the stock market)
- Transaction costs - you pay 7-10% of the cost of the house when you purchase it on legal, real estate agent, title check, inspections, ..) You then pay another 7% to 10% when it comes time to sell.
- Convenience. It's the landlord's responsibility to make necessary repairs, keep the driveway plowed, and the lawn mowed.
- You are more mobile; it's easier to move quickly whether you find another job or have some other reason to move such as safety concerns, conflicts with neighbors, or changes in the neighborhood.
Given all of these issues, you might wonder why you should seriously think about owning a home. Here are some advantages and disadvantages to consider:
- Security - Owning a home will give you a sense of security that you cannot find in a rental unit.
- You can customize your home to your individual needs, as opposed to rental units, where your options are more limited.
- You will have a sense of permanence and a feeling of being part of a community when you own your home.
- Most homes do appreciate in value over time. In addition, owning a home will reduce your federal and state tax obligations because of the deductibility of interest payments on your mortgage.
- A home is a vehicle for forced savings. You have probably heard the argument for term life insurance over your whole life: Buy term and invest the difference. The reality is that most people who buy term life insurance spend the difference. Having a mortgage payment due forces you to make payments. Over time, you will find that you have accumulated significant equity in your home.
- If you have a fixed-rate mortgage, your mortgage costs will be stable for the entire period of your mortgage, which is commonly 30 years. Rent typically increases yearly.
There are many factors that go into the decision whether to buy or rent. Here is an article sent to me by Robert Liano that includes the best rent or buy calculator I've ever seen to help you make that decision.
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GETTING A HANDLE ON CASH FLOW
I often talk about the importance of getting a handle on Cash Flow (the income you have coming and the money you spend on expenses going out). It is the foundation of getting control of your personal finances.
A lot of people think that budgets are only for people who have too much debt, are tired of never having money, have trouble paying the bills, or are blindsided by unexpected expenses. That couldn't be further from the truth. Everyone should have a handle on what they are spending. Your living expenses are just one part of the cash flow puzzle. How can you know how much you should be saving for retirement, investing for your child's education, or have in an emergency fund if you do not have a handle on your cash flow?
I have seen many different strategies that people take with managing their spending. A couple of them include:
The "Just Keep the Balance Growing" Method -
You actually make enough money to get by and aren't really in danger of over-drafting. You just keep an eye on your checking balance or your savings and try to make sure your balances are a little bigger than they were last month.
Why it doesn't work? You're not over-drafting or piling up debt, but you aren't putting yourself in a position to deal with the unexpected either. You are not putting yourself in a position to maximize financial progress and efficiency. You are not prioritizing your spending to make sure it matches the priorities you have for your life. Who knows how much better your finances could be?
The "Paycheck to Paycheck" Method -
You get some money, spend some money, then wonder where the money went. Panic sets in because suddenly there's no money left, so you wait for more money to arrive. You can't buy groceries and you're driving around on the fumes in your gas tank.
The most important thing to do with respect to budgeting is just to get started. There are many strategies, templates, and processes to budget. I would be happy walking you through my favorite strategies and processes to get a handle on your cash flow.
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SUMMER READING LIST
My high school Algebra teacher, Mr. Sandler's motto was "Knowledge is Power." I've taken that quote to heart and try to read at least 25 books every year.
I usually try to knock out a book or two sitting by the pool or beach, but this year's vacation involved catching Charlotte jump into the pool a couple of hundred times and meeting the Sesame Street friends, her favorites are Elmo & Abby, for breakfast.
Here are a couple of the books I am planning to read this summer:
A Whole New Mind, Why Right Brains Will Rule the Future, by Daniel Pink -
Pink believes the future belongs to the artists, inventors, storytellers-creative and holistic "right-brain" thinkers whose abilities mark the fault line between who gets ahead and who doesn't. Being a left brained person I found the subject pretty interesting.
Flash Boys: A Wall Street Revolt, by Michael Lewis -
Many people may know Michael Lewis as the author of Moneyball, the book made into a movie starring Brad Pitt and Jonah Hill. In Flash Boys, he writes about how Wall Street has stacked the deck once again against the common investor
Talk Like TED: The 9 Public-Speaking Secrets of the World's Top Minds, by Carmine Gallo. I picked this book off of the JP Morgan Bankers recommended reading list. I admire great speakers and I've heard some great TED talks over the past couple of years. My favorite one was by Jack Andraka on pancreatic cancer detection.
I plan to review these four books by September's newsletter. If you read any of them I'd love to hear your thoughts.
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THE ECONOMICS OF THE WORLD CUP
Every four years Goldman Sach's releases it's most popular report. It's not a report forecasting the growth of the global economy. Nor is it an analysis of how the new Presidents economic policies will impact the country. Their most popular report is "The Economics of the World Cup." Every four years Goldman Sachs does an analysis of the World Cup, predicting who will advance out of the group stage and who will win the tournament. They put together an all tournament team. A couple of things I found interesting from this years report were.
There is no doubt that the World Cup captures huge attention and, with it, generates a massive amount of passion. But does it have any impact on stock markets? Goldman's overall conclusion is that it does, at least for a brief period. Looking at history, there is a clear pattern of outperformance by the winning team in the weeks after the World Cup final. On average, the victor outperforms the global market by 3.5% in the first month, a meaningful amount, although the outperformance fades significantly after three months. But sentiment can only take you so far, in markets at least - the winning nation doesn't tend to hold on to its gains and, on average, sees its stock market underperform by around 4% on average over the year following the final. The message seems to be: enjoy the gains while they last...
They also did an analysis on when China and India would make the World Cup Final. Together, China and India account for more than one-third of the world's population. China's sporting achievements include having won more Olympic medals than any other country, and India has a very young and growing population. Yet, they languish in football rankings because of the small number of players in both countries, China's limited success in team sports, and poor infrastructure and administration in India. While the popularity of the sport is high in China and increasing in India, Goldman thinks they are unlikely to participate in a World Cup final in the next 20 years unless significant changes are made.
You can read the report here - http://www.goldmansachs.com/our-thinking/outlook/world-cup-and-economics-2014.html?cid=corp-amplification-worldcuplinkedin1
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Please contact me if you have any questions about the articles above or about your personal or business finances.
Sincerely,
Marc Bautis Wealth Manager
office: 201-842-7655
cell: 201-221-6895
fax: 201-754-9760
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Disclaimer:The information contained in this newsletter is for information purposes only and may not be suitable for your specific financial situation. You should consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions relating to the information contained in this newsletter
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 | MEET MARC |
Marc Bautis is a Wealth Manager specializing in working with young families as well as retirees and those nearing retirement. He understands that everyone wants to not only protect their principal, but also be sure that their money lasts. He is committed and proud to deliver independent advice, always in the interest of his clients.
Marc is the creator of the Retirement Fitness Challenge™, a program designed to be sure his clients enjoy the retirement years as they have always envisioned them. Marc's program is designed to prevent outliving your money but also to minimize expenses during retirement and find the best time to start taking Social Security benefits. Marc is also the author of a recent book The Retirement Fitness Challenge: Shape Up Your Finances and Make Your Money Last a Lifetime, which is available on Amazon.com.
Marc is a graduate of Seton Hall University. He is a Bergen County native, from Lyndhurst, where much of his extended family still resides. He currently lives in Glen Ridge with his wife Katie, new daughter Charlotte and Old English Bulldog, Winnie.
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