Issue: #  55   JULY 2013
Bautis Financial
Dear ,
 

Welcome to July 2013 issue of The Wealth Chronicle!

Detroit Goes Bankrupt

 

Earlier this month the city of Detroit filed for federal bankruptcy protection.  The city that once defined industrial America, the Motor City's bankruptcy is the sad culmination of six decades of decline.  With industry and population fleeing and the tax base eviscerated, they have experienced a downward spiral caused by years of corrupt and incompetent governance.

 

Detroit's filing is the largest bankruptcy in history and stands out in size and scale, compared with other municipalities that have recently filed such as Vallejo and San Bernadino in California, or Jefferson County, Alabama.

 

What also distinguishes Detroit are competing obligations to bond holders and pensioners.   Owners of the cities bonds are expected to battle with retirees and others for pieces of the city's diminished wealth.  Some may say that if you are now holding municipal bonds from Detroit you are going to get what you deserve, but it may also set precedent for any other cities that declare bankruptcy in the future.

 

There are two types of municipal bonds: Revenue bonds and General Obligation bonds.  The owners of revenue bonds are guaranteed repayment solely from revenues generated by a specified revenue-generating entity associated with the purpose of the bonds.  Examples include water and sewer utilities, toll roads and bridges, power plans, airports and seaports.  General Obligation bonds are secured by a state or local government's pledge to use legally available resources, including tax revenues, to repay bond holders.

 

General Obligation bonds have always had precedence over other obligations, such as certificates of participation, leases, and pensions.  The city of Detroit has proposed that all competing claims should be treated equally.  A bankruptcy judge will rule if that will allowed in this case.  The outcome of the bankruptcy process will dictate if the value of the full faith and credit pledge backing General Obligation bonds across the country will be diminished going forward.  Recent history shows that we may be seeing a shift.  In the case of General Motor's bankruptcy, pension obligations were given precedence over bond holders claims.

 

 

 

The bankruptcy filing may also be a test case for how far a major US city can go in dealing with a chronic problem facing many local and state governments: unsustainable pension costs.  Many city workers across the US have assumed that their pensions were untouchable, even in bankruptcy.  A recent example retirees in Central Falls, Rhode Island agreed to 50% cuts in pension benefits, after the small city filed for bankruptcy in 2011.  By contrast the city's bondholders were paid in full. 

 

Public pensions may lack the basic safety nets that private-sector benefits enjoy.  Pensions granted by companies are typically backstopped by the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp and regulated by federal law.  Public pensions are not.

 

One lesson in all of this is to deal with the issues before the need to declare bankruptcy comes.  Another take away from this is to review your municipal bond holdings.  Muni's are very popular, especially with retirees because the interest earned from them is tax exempt.  Investors have been desperate for yield in recent years and within fixed income, they have gone longer in maturity and lower in quality.

 

Other links about the Detroit bankruptcy you might find interesting

 

Now that Detroit's Gone Bust, these cities could be next

http://www.businessinsider.com/cities-that-might-follow-detroit-bankruptcy-2013-7

 

What Happens in a Municipal Bankruptcy

http://www.businessinsider.com/municipal-bankruptcies-explained-2013-7

 

Detroit is Dead, Long Live Oakland County

http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2013-07-25/detroit-is-dead-dot-long-live-oakland-county

 

Could a Detroit bankruptcy scenario happen here in NJ

http://www.nj.com/news/index.ssf/2013/07/could_a_detroit_bankruptcy_scenario_happen_here_in_new_jersey.html

 

 

The Dangers of Investing in Cash

It is worth reminding ourselves that inflation is the major downside of holding cash.  Even in the low-inflation environments in much of the developed world, returns on cash have not kept up with consumer price increases.  So the value of cash diminishes in real or inflation-adjusted terms over time.

In the chart below the return on cash after inflation and taxes take their bite is a negative .8%.  And that is taking into account a 3.5% historical annual return on cash.  I don't think there are too many savings, checking, money market, or mattresses that are paying a 3.5% return on your cash.

 

 

   

Too often investor behavior is driven more by fears and concerns than realistic goals.  A diversified portfolio that addresses protection and growth helps clients ride out market fluctuations.  Abandoning ship and retreating to the sidelines in cash is usually not a successful long-term financial strategy.

What is Feared More Than Death?

 

Among workers ages 40 and 50, nearly half fear the financial consequences of a critical illness- compared with just 29 percent who rate dying as their biggest concern, according to a new study. 

 

That fear of a hit to the wallet being a bigger concern than dying is most pronounced among single workers, single women and single parents, according to the Sun Life Financail survey, "Well-Placed Fears: Workers' Perceptions of a Critical Illness."

For example, single women in that 40-50 age group are four times more concerned about the financial fallout of a critical illness than they are worried about being killed by it, the report found.

 

 

Click the image to enlarge

 

 There are different ways to cover your long term care expenses.  It makes sense to figure out which one is right for you.

Watercooler

 

Uncle Sam's Investment Portfolio- Before 2008, the federal government held less than $500 billion in cash, bonds, mortgages, and other instruments.  Today, its portfolio has expanded to $1.1 trillion, financed mostly through borrowing. 

 

Some of the debt was due to the financial crisis firefighting - but that debt has been sold off only to be replaced with a much bigger debt investment: student loans

 

 

 

The highest public employee salary by state

 

 

What is the Royal Baby Worth?

This month the British royal family added a new member to its ranks - George Alexander Louis.  The little guy stands to inherit as much as $1 billion in royal legacy, according to Wealth-X, a firm that researches ultra-high-net-worth individuals.  The baby boy is third in line for the throne, behind Prince Charles and Prince William.  Here is a look at what the other royals are worth

 

Queen Elizabeth II - Net Worth $660 Million

 

Prince Charles - Net Worth $370 Million

 

Prince William - Net Worth $20 Million

 

Prince Henry - Net Worth $16 Million

 

Prince Phillip - Net Worth .34 Million   

 

Summer Key Planning Dates

 

  

 

Please contact me if you have any questions about the articles above or about your personal or business finances.

  

Sincerely,

Marc Bautis
Wealth Manager

 

office: 201-842-7655
cell:    201-221-6895
fax:     201-754-9760
Disclaimer:The information contained in this newsletter is for information purposes only and may not be suitable for your specific financial situation.  You should consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions relating to the information contained in this newsletter

What's Inside?
Detroit Goes Bankrupt
Dangers of Investing in Cash
Feared More Than Death
Watercooler
Summer Key Planning Dates
Marc Headshow w Skyline, 9-2011
MEET MARC  

Marc Bautis is a Wealth Manager specializing in working with young families as well as retirees and those nearing retirement. He understands that everyone wants to not only protect their principal, but also be sure that their money lasts.  He is committed and proud to deliver independent advice, always in the interest of his clients.

Marc is the creator of the Retirement Fitness Challenge™,  a program designed to be sure his clients enjoy the retirement years as they have always envisioned them.  Marc's program is designed to prevent outliving your money but also to minimize expenses during retirement and find the best time to start taking Social Security benefits.   Marc is also the author of a recent book The Retirement Fitness Challenge: Shape Up Your Finances and Make Your Money Last a Lifetime, which is available on Amazon.com.

Marc is a graduate of Seton Hall University.  He is a Bergen County native, from Lyndhurst, where much of his extended family still resides. He currently lives in Hasbrouck Heights with his wife Katie, new daughter Charlotte and Old English Bulldog, Winnie.

 

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