Nanaimo Real Estate Investors Club Newsletter
April 2009
Hi Folks!

Interesting weather lately eh? Even "old" people haven't seen this mix of spring and winter this time of year. Ya just get ready to mow the lawn for the first time and it's covered with snow! Maybe that volcano in Alaska is causing it (or is a symptom of the larger issue). Big things happening in today's world. How has it affected your life? Not much for me!

I've got a contact in Victoria who's looking for short-term financing to tie up an apartment building in Winnipeg. Around $200K. Let me know if you're interested or know someone who does that.

Please note that Layth an others are putting on a show of investment properties. Ad is right below this article.

Jon Murray from the mainland is finalizing his Las Vegas trip for investors. See article below.

Fianl article is an overview of commone investor mistakes, good reminders IMO.

I've noticed there's a lot less tenants around this spring in Nanaimo. Anyone know what's going on with that?

Anyone have a good contact for appliance parts (refridgerator in this case)?

I've added a Landlord's Guide to the Nanaimo club web site. Just scroll down past the meeting notice. Marv Steier of Tenant Verification Services provided it. Marv spoke at the Victoria club in March.
 
See you tomorrow night!

Take Care,
Gord Knox

Table of Contents
Real Auctions Are Unreserved
Next Meeting This Tuesday
RE NEWS
Las Vegas Property Tour
Real Estate Investment Mistakes
advert
RateMiser Income Prop Ad Apr 09



 
Jurock Insider Article

Real Auctions Are Unreserved

Despite what should be exciting and enriching moments in real estate, auctions for B.C. properties have lately been a dud. We recall one January "reserved price" auction at Maynard's in Vancouver where a $1 million plus lakefront estate near Merritt drew no live bidders and only three low-ball offers phoned in before the bidding was cancelled 15 minutes after it started.

Last Saturday, Andrew Khoo, the developer of Reflections, a Victoria-area condo project, held a reserved auction with secret bids in an attempt to sell 40 units that pre-sale buyers had walked away from. Those investors had put down deposits of around 10% on condos priced from $229,000 to $549,000. The auction reserve bid price on those same units was from $199,900 to $400,000. The developer sold 15 units during the auction. But, because the bids were secret and the auction was not unreserved, there was little more excitement than during a regular open house.

A comparison is what happened last September when Ritchie Bros held an unreserved auction (All Ritchie Bros. auctions are unreserved) at the River Rock Casino for five oceanfront and ocean-view estate lots at Sakinaw Ridge, Pender Harbour on the Sunshine Coast. The auction drew 180 bidders and three of the properties sold: one view lot for $145,000; and two oceanfront lots sold for $675,000 each. We don't recommend all auctions - there is a limited chance to view the property and it is easy to get caught up in a bidding frenzy if you are not careful - but if you wish to buy at an auction pick one that is "low bid wins" unreserved.

Dan Bouchard of Able Realty Corp. (604-526-9998) who conducts auctions agrees. Bouchard has been on a one-man campaign to convince developers to use unreserved, live-action auctions to clear out inventory quickly.

"Our belief has always been if customers are given the chance to openly bid against each other they will be more inclined to participate," Bouchard said.
In the recent Victoria auction, between 300 and 400 groups came through the homes but the developer was only able to get bids on 15 units, he notes. "If customers were given the chance to see that they were not the only ones bidding on a particular unit then we believe they would bid. By having it closed it takes away the sense of urgency and people will not respond."

The other problem with closed bids is that [buyers] are reluctant to bid on their second choice. If they knew immediately that they had to bid an additional $1,000 to get their first choice, they would most likely do so. If they know they have been out-bid on their first choice they are now free to bid on their second choice. "Developers use the word auction in their marketing because it results in great attendance, but if they followed through with an actual auction they would have much greater sales success." So far, Bouchard has had limited success convincing developers or property owners to go a real, live auction route. "It's a tough sell," he said, " but I am persistent and will convince someone to give us the chance."

Major Point: Our strategy at real, live auctions is to come early and check out how many people are in the room. If it is not busy, bid quickly as the auctioneer wants to get things going and will likely want to have the crowd taste a 'good deal'. If the room is packed - bid late, particularly if there are units left over. If it hasn't sold out ... call the developer or auctioneer afterwards and make a bid on what is left. Often both auctioneer and owner are willing to 'blow' out the last few units. Be sure to look at what you want ahead of time, fix a price in your mind and never go over your limit.

Next Meeting this Tuesday!

Real Estate Investing Basics

Robert Thomson,

author of "Hot Tips for Real Estate Investors"

  • Choosing a Realtor
  • How to Negotiate
  • What's Required for a Flip

Tuesday, April 7, 2009

Beban Park Rec Centre
2300 Bowen Road
Room 8 (enter off the breezeway on the right)
$10 at the door
7 - 9 pm
 
RE NEWS

Subprime mortgages in B.C. and Alberta

Two provinces have seen a surge in foreclosure proceedings
 
Foreclosure proceedings in Alberta have more than doubled in two years, according to data provided by the Alberta Justice Department - from 2,510 in 2006-2007 to 5,300 in the first 11 months of 2008-2009.
According to statistics provided by the British Columbia government, the province has seen a similar surge, with nearly 2,100 foreclosures filed between April and December of 2008 - more than the 1,900 that were filed in the entire previous fiscal year.
Despite having just a share of about 7 per cent of the national market, subprime lenders in Alberta accounted for 56 per cent of the foreclosures in 2008. In British Columbia, the tiny subprime market laid claim to 42 per cent of the province's 2008 foreclosures. In comparison, Canada's five largest banks accounted for 33 per cent of the foreclosures in Alberta in 2008, even though the country's chartered banks account for about two-thirds of Canada's total outstanding mortgages. (The remainder of the lenders in the mortgage market are made up of credit unions, trust companies and insurance firms).
The Globe and Mail's analysis shows that several cities have an extremely disproportionate share of subprime lenders who have started foreclosure proceedings, compared with traditional, prime lenders. Edmonton had 330 foreclosures in the calendar year 2008 - 60 per cent of which were initiated by subprime lenders. "Oh, it's here. For sure it's here," said Larry McTaggart, an Edmonton realtor who is often enlisted to sell homes for lenders who have foreclosed on properties. "I don't know where it came from... it's not the Bank of Montreal or the Bank of Nova Scotia or Toronto-Dominion" Mr. McTaggart said. "It's the 'B' lenders." The 90,000-person city of Red Deer only had 36 foreclosures in 2008, but 32 of them were launched by subprime lenders such as Accredited Home Lenders, Wells Fargo and the subprime lending division of HSBC.
(The findings are based on data provided by two private companies, British Columbia's Foreclosurelist.ca and Alberta's Foreclosurescanada.com. Both companies track foreclosure filings from each province's respective court systems and sell them to potential investors. They also advise homeowners who find themselves in default. Both companies acknowledge that their data collection isn't perfect. Some proceedings slip through the cracks, and they don't have access to foreclosures that might have been sealed by the court, but their records are the best available sample.
The most accurate numbers reside in the databases of the Alberta Justice Ministry and B.C. Ministry of the Attorney General, but both departments turned down The Globe's request for the data. They did provide, however, basic statistics on the number of foreclosure applications.)
SUBPRIME DEFINED
The word subprime has created much confusion because many mistakenly believe that it refers to an interest rate that is below the prime rate - which would obviously be a less risky and more affordable mortgage.
That is not what the word means. Rather, subprime refers to the credit-worthiness of the borrower.
There is no standardized definition of the word, but many mortgage experts interviewed agree that subprime mortgages are best described as loans that include at least two of the following characteristics: a borrower with a bad credit history, an interest rate that is significantly higher than prime lending rates and mortgage values that amount to more than 80 per cent of the market value of the house.
In the United States, there was a proliferation of subprime lenders coinciding with the boom in the real estate market. In 2007, when thousands of homeowners started defaulting on their mortgages, dozens of subprime lenders, including one of the largest, New Century Financial, filed for bankruptcy protection, which ultimately sent the economy into a tailspin.
GREG MCARTHUR AND JACQUIE MCNISH
From Saturday's Globe and Mail
Las Vegas Property Tour - Last Call!
 
This is the LAST and FINAL CALL for anyone interested in going on the Las Vegas property tour.  Call me today if you want to come.  Remember, you don't have to have cash to invest down there, as there will be many different creative options that I would be happy to help you with if you come.
 
Success in all your endeavors,
 
Jon Murray
"Mr. Creative"
 604 846 HELP (4357)
 
P.S.  The info for the Las Vegas property tour is below.
 
Las Vegas Property Tour April 17 - 19, 2009
 
Thursday 16th  7:25pm                        Flight leaves Bellingham
                          9:50pm                        Flight arrives in Las Vegas
                         10:30 pm                     Arrive at Caesars Palace Hotel
 
Friday 17th       8:30am - 10am            Group Breakfast
                          10am - 12pm               Speaker #1 - Mortgage Broker
                          12pm - 1pm                 Speaker #2 Luncheon - Insurance Specialist
                          1pm - 4pm                   Property Tour (MLS Listings)
                          4:30pm                        Arrive at Venetian
                         4:30pm - 6:30pm         Dinner @ Venetian (Delmonico Steakhouse  )
                          7pm - 9pm                   Blue Man Group Show
                             http://www.bestofvegas.com/Shows-Tickets/Blue-Man-Group/
 
Saturday 18th   8:30am - 10am            Group Breakfast
                           10am - 12pm               Speaker - Property Management Company
                           12pm-1pm                   Luncheon  EscrowCompany
                           1pm - 4:30pm              Property Tour (MLS listings)
                           5pm                             Arrive at Hotel
                           5pm - 7pm                   Dinner @ Bellagio      (Prime Steakhouse)    
                           7:30pm - 9:30pm         "O" Cirque du Soleil Show
                                   http://www.bestofvegas.com/Shows-Tickets/O/
 
Sunday 19th     8:30am - 10am            Group Breakfast
                          10am - 2pm                 Property Tour (FSBO?)
                          2pm                             Late lunch on own and free time
                          7:40pm                        Flight home
                          10:20pm                      Arrive in Bellingham
 
·         Includes return flights including all applicable taxes
·         Includes accommodation at Caesar's Palace including all applicable taxes
·         Includes luncheon meetings with local real estate professionals as guest speakers
·         Includes 2 afternoon tours of HOT investment properties by a local real estate agent
·         Includes 1 afternoon guided tour by Jon of local For Sale By Owners
·         Includes deluxe ticket to Blue Man group show
·         Includes deluxe ticket to "O" Cirque du Soleil show
·         All food is included except the two dinners as meal preferences may vary
·         Jon will be with you and hosting this event so you will be able to tap into valuable information
All inclusive price of only $1950 CDN (Must book by April 6th to guarantee this price)
Real Estate Investment Mistakes
 * Real Estate Investment Mistake #1 - Quick Buck Schemes & Scams

Real estate wealth was the road to riches of 9 of every 10 Canadian millionaires. That's why in looking at real estate we agree you are definitely going in the right direction. But few made their fortunes in overnight changes of value, or by buying their real estate for less than it was worth when they bought it. They made their fortune in buying the real estate for less than it was worth over time as they owned it. Pre-foreclosure, foreclosure, pre-construction, fix and flip, remodeling, probate, lease options, and a million other schemes count on your buying something for less than it is worth at closing. That can happen, but the most predictable real wealth from real estate comes from appreciation from market forces over time not the stupidity or lack of knowledge of sellers at the closing table.

* Real Estate Investment Mistake 2 - Not Having a Business Plan

The first thing you should figure out is, what are your goals, and what road map will get you there? Do you want real estate you work for, or real estate that works for you? Do you want the independence of being in charge of your real estate like you are in charge of, say, owning your home, or do you want to turn over control and handcuff yourself to partnerships, tenancies in common, REITs, and so on? How much wealth do you need to reach your goals of independence and security at retirement? Is there a better way to get there than real estate (obviously, we think, no!)? But it has to be real estate done the right way, with the right business plan.

* Real Estate Investment Mistake # 3- Not Doing Your Homework

So you need a business plan, but don't expect to have a good one until you do your homework. Where is the right area to own? What kind of property should you own? What leveraging or financial structure maximizes ROI (return on invested dollars)? What should your acquisition costs to potential rent ratios be? How can you get a head start on your homework?

* Real Estate Investment Mistake # 4- Making the Cash Flow Mistake

Cash flow is an important piece of the real estate wealth puzzle. But you can rob yourself of future profits by putting too much emphasis on just this one, albeit important consideration. Why? Because no one gets rich on cash flow. Isn't it appreciation over time that yields the real rewards? Did the equity in your home come from cash flow or appreciation? If a slight cash flow at acquisition impresses you to the point it drives your purchase decisions, aren't you looking at the wrong end of the telescope? Cash flow is an important indicator, but potential appreciation flow is the secret to real estate wealth. That's why doing your homework is so important.
* Real Estate Investment Mistake 5 - Forgetting That Sheep Do Not Earn the Lion's Share
It's human nature to follow the crowd. That's why so many of us buy a stock after it's gone up like a rocket, instead of before where the ride up can be significant. It's the same in real estate. Doesn't it make sense to anticipate growth, not follow growth, by analyzing the layering of probabilities of the elements that can presage significant growth to come? The crowd won't be there until it's too late to make the profits you will have made. We'll show you how we layer the probabilities to serve our customers, folks just like you who are committed to their economic independence

* Real Estate Investment Mistake -#6 Being Your Own Property Manager

This is intuitively sensible, which is why so many intelligent people fall into this trap. Why not save the cost of a property manager and increase your net cash flow? Who will pay as much attention as you will to your own property? Who will care as much? Yes, but consider this. Property management is a low margin, many aspect enterprise. Experienced successful property managers will tell you a property management company does not make sense economically until it has a customer base of a hundred properties or more.
Then marketing, clout with subcontractors like plumbers, round the clock staff to be attentive to tenant concerns or emergencies, and so on makes sense proportionately. You would almost always do better to put the time you may be wasting as your own property manager into your own business or career. It will pay better. But the more important reason should be obvious. By managing your own property, aren't you handcuffing yourself to the area where you live? That just doesn't make sense if your goal is to own real estate in the areas most likely to appreciate the most over the coming years. Don't let the tail wag the dog.

* Real Estate Investment Mistake # 7 - Not Considering Your Exit Strategy

Real estate is a wonderful reservoir of value, and the only one that serves as its own collateral, allowing ordinary good economic citizens like you and us access to the capital markets in abundance in the form of readily available mortgage money. But real estate is among the most illiquid of asset classes. Consider that when you decide you want to turn your illiquid real estate riches into cash by selling it, you want to have the largest possible pool of potential buyers. Don't get stuck in the wrong type of real estate.

* Real Estate Investment Mistake# 8 - Biting Off More Than You Can Chew

It is horrible to see good people finally take action but not be prepared for real world real estate ownership. Sometimes, even in strong rental markets, your unit can be vacant. It is great to leverage your purchase, but that should be a choice, not a necessity. Sometimes vacancies happen. Sometimes emergencies happen. We vet our customers to help them avoid the shock of real world real estate ownership. Doing it right may mean buying one property this year and not two. There is no faster better or more certain path in our view to real wealth and financial independence than the right kind of real estate as part of the right kind of business plan. But slow and steady wins the race every time. Part of due diligence is learning that patience is a virtue.

* Real Estate Investment Mistake 9 - Not Checking Out Your Vendors

Including Us. Your homework should include not only learning about being in the right place at the right time, but also making sure the product is the right product and that your vendors deliver what they promise. At a minimum, that means you should check out your vendors' track records. While past performance is no guarantee of future results, doesn't it give you a good framework to begin an analysis? What systems and methodology do your vendors use when designing the product they bring to market? What are their relationships with other necessary professionals? What do their existing customers think of them? What kind of warranties come with their product? What kind of people are they?

* Real Estate Investment Mistake 10 - Not Taking Action Today!

Success in life is always a balancing act. We have tried to warn you about common mistakes above, made by rookies and very experienced buyers alike. But far and away the biggest mistake we see is not balancing your due diligence with your responsibility to take action. Very few people have achieved the security and wealth they need to retire comfortably and worry free knowing they have taken care of their responsibilities to themselves and their families. Your biggest asset is always your income from work. When our income from our careers stops at retirement most of us need at least several million dollars in assets to substitute for it. And most of us do not have that kind of number in our asset column. Time is the friend of those who own real estate and the enemy of those who do not own enough.
If you are like most Canadians, as to retirement wealth, your economic house is on fire. If you have a good income from your career, in one sense that means that you are used to a certain lifestyle. We talk to many folks who are rightly proud of having several hundred thousands of dollars in RRSP assets, equity in their homes and other real estate, and in the stock market. Very few are in that position. But estate planners say these folks need three to five million dollars to enjoy a secure and prosperous retirement which may last twenty or thirty years or more. If you are ten, twenty, or even thirty years from retirement you have no time to lose. We believe with all our hearts that the right kind of real estate gives the highest probability of allowing these kinds of results. But chances are, you have no time to lose. So please, take action today

Thanks to my friends at Canada REIC for this article

#337, 110-174 Wilson Street
Victoria, BC V9A 7N7