06/22/2012   Weekend Review



Greetings!,

 

This week precious metals investors and traders experienced yet another roller coaster ride. Beginning with the elections in Greece on Sunday followed by the FOMC meeting and press conference held on Thursday, we saw the precious metals fall under extreme pressure.

 

It had been my long term assumption that many traders, believing that the Federal Reserve would initiate another round of quantitative easing (QE3), began to buy the precious metal, thereby factoring that belief into the marketplace. One day prior to Fed chairman Ben Bernanke's press conference, the U.S. equities markets rallied on the assumption that there would be some sort of announcement of further monetary easing by the Fed chairman. 

 

Buy on rumor, sell on fact 

 

This popular saying seems to be shaping the underlying tone of both the precious metals markets and the U.S. equities markets. Downside pressure occurred when the Fed chairman announced merely a continuation of the Twist program. The continuation of this program by the Federal Reserve was interpreted as a tepid approach to a critical situation requiring much more action than just a simple continuation of a program believed to have very few economic teeth to bite into the problem. As such we saw the premium that had developed in both gold and equities quickly vanish from the marketplace, which resulted in a minor meltdown once again in the financial markets.  

 

What will occur next week is anybody's guess, but real concern of deflation continues to grow in the marketplace. The issues that have been fueling the advance of the precious metals markets still remain as real and as prevalent as six months ago. However, we have seen gold once again trade as a risk on risk off investment as opposed to a safe haven investment.

 

As always, wishing you good trading

Executive Producer
The Gold Forecast

gary@thegoldforecast.com 

On Skype Gary.S. Wagner

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I recorded my first issue of a bi-monthly video publication for Kitco news: LINK
 
 

Proper Action

 GOLD & SILVER :

 

Flat with no positions in market

 



MARKET FORECAST

Gary S. Wagner

 

Gold & Silver: with both gold and silver under extreme pressure this week we will be looking to see if gold continues lower and how it reacts at the 1520 area. On three separate occasions since gold hit its record high of 1920 last year it has tested at 1520, a price point that has proven to signal substantial support. On today's video we will look at not only that area, but if gold should continue lower and reach 1520, then what might be logical target to look for.

 

Gold Chart   

  Silver Chart

 

 

US Dollar Index

      

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Before deciding to participate in Gold or Silver investments, you should carefully  consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Most importantly with futures activity do not invest money you cannot afford to lose.There is considerable exposure to risk in any futures exchange transaction, including, but not limited to, leverage,and market volatility that may substantially affect the price of  gold and /or silver. Moreover, the leveraged nature of futures trading means that any market movement will have an equally proportional effect on your deposited funds. This may work against you as well as for you.