06/15/2012      



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Gold was up $3.40 on Friday while silver was up 10 cents. Not bad, but everyone awaits news over the weekend and the middle of next week.

There are times in life - and trading - when the head of the hammer hits the anvil. The next 7 days will demarcate such a time.

The election this Sunday in Greece will define the direction that the flailing country will go in. The pro-bailout argument seems to be winning narrowly, although no one has a firm grasp on what the electorate is really thinking.

The FOMC meets on Thursday and again, thinking is evenly divided on whether a third round of quantitative easing (QE3) will be injected into the American economy, or if some more conservative methods will be deployed. An extension of the Twist seems very likely and the Fed, through its daughter agencies, may buy up more mortgage paper that has been burdening banks in the hope that this will prompt those banks to readily lend more money.

There is also a measure of unrest and uncertainty in Egypt, which of itself isn't that important, but may cause ripple effects in Libya, Tunisia and Algeria, whose stability is crucial because of oil production.

The unsettled nature of French politics is also coming to the fore this weekend, and while leftist parties are expected to win some sort of majority in the lower house elections, the nature of that majority is at stake. Will more center-left candidates win? Far left? How troublesome will former head of state Sarkozy's rightist coalition be? The extreme right and the extreme left loathe the European Union and although they attack it from different ends, they could be accidental bedfellows in the French assembly should debate open on how to inject liquidity into euro laggards like Greece.

With all this uncertainty, it is no wonder that safe-haven buying is starting to percolate. But, even this seems uncertain, as many traditional gold buyers who might otherwise exchange their petro-dollars for gold don't seem to be diving into either the physical market or more speculative gold investments. (Mexico, Russia, Venezuela are among those players not playing.)

Is there any wonder why smart minds devised technical analysis? Without it, we all might be reading tea leaves or sifting through the entrails of sacrificed goats.

 

 As always, I wish you good trading,
Executive Producer
The Gold Forecast

gary@thegoldforecast.com 

On Skype Gary.S. Wagner

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Proper Action

 

 GOLD & SILVER :  Maintain Longs

 

Long August gold @ 1619 stop below 1560

Long silver at  28.80 stop below 28.00




MARKET FORECAST

Gary S. Wagner

 

Gold & Silver: For the sixth straight trading session we have seen gold trade higher. Gaining over 2% on the week gold is once again acting as a safe haven investment. Whether it was a combination of the European unions debt crisis, with Greece and Spain now in the forefront, or the belief that it simply a matter of time before the US Federal Reserve or the central banks of Europe will begin to loosen their monetary policy, investors believe these scenarios are bullish for the precious yellow metal.

 

One thing seems to be fairly concrete and that is the support level of 1530 in gold has held and should provide long-term support on a technical basis.

 

Gold - US Dollar Charts

 

 

    

  

Silver Chart:

 

 

 

 

Copyright (c) 2009 - 2012 Wagner Financial Group 

 
Before deciding to participate in Gold or Silver investments, you should carefully  consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Most importantly with futures activity do not invest money you cannot afford to lose.There is considerable exposure to risk in any futures exchange transaction, including, but not limited to, leverage,and market volatility that may substantially affect the price of  gold and /or silver. Moreover, the leveraged nature of futures trading means that any market movement will have an equally proportional effect on your deposited funds. This may work against you as well as for you.