06/11/2012   Daily Outlook



Greetings!,

 

There is a Spanish proverb: "Mucho ruido y pocas nueces," which translates roughly as "Much ado about nothing."

 

Although the news of Spain's banking bailout is welcome broadly speaking, it has meant next to nothing for the gold and silver markets. In Asia and Europe, at first markets were buoyant, but then in New York during the morning, the precious metals took a beating (leaving out platinum and palladium). Then bargain hunters took over and by mid to late afternoon, gold and silver were both up 0.25% - until near the end of session, which found gold up a paltry 1/10th of a percent and silver up 2/10ths of a percent.

 

There was a certain amount of dollar tracking and that took some of the wind out of the sails of the mini-rally. The essential problem is that Europe is engaged in a high-stakes game of financial whack-a-mole. All right, fine, Spain is more or less patched up. But next - POP - Greece has elections on Sunday, and the French - POP - are already voting their disposition, continuing a leftward drift. Additionally, Italy, now in recession - POP - is coming under more intense scrutiny.

 

Gold is all about two things: the Euro situation and what the U.S. Fed might or might not do.

 

It is no wonder then that a safe haven such as gold swings all around from overnight to morning to afternoon, from Asia to Europe to New York, with bargain hunting and short covering pushing it up and hen selling taking gold prices  back down.

 

So gold is left to track the dollar inversely. The dollar rises, gold sinks. The dollar falls and gold goes up.

 

Absent any real news, that's the fundamental outlook, although the technical analysis (below) and in the video at right may tells us otherwise.

 

As always, wishing you good trading

Executive Producer
The Gold Forecast

gary@thegoldforecast.com 

On Skype Gary.S. Wagner

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MARKET FORECAST

Gary S. Wagner

 

Gold & Silver: both gold and silver seem to be trading within a defined range, and more importantly defined resistance. Today's video will discuss in detail the trading range is found in both gold and silver in attempts to find the best trading strategies for us at this time.

Gold Chart  

     

Silver Chart

       

 

 

 

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Before deciding to participate in Gold or Silver investments, you should carefully  consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Most importantly with futures activity do not invest money you cannot afford to lose.There is considerable exposure to risk in any futures exchange transaction, including, but not limited to, leverage,and market volatility that may substantially affect the price of  gold and /or silver. Moreover, the leveraged nature of futures trading means that any market movement will have an equally proportional effect on your deposited funds. This may work against you as well as for you.