05/15/2012   Daily Outlook



Greetings!,

 

As we enter this new trading week we see a continuation of bearish pressure on the precious metals markets. With both gold and silver down in double digits today, it is the strength of the dollar that has been a predominant factor in this bearish correction. As long as the dollar continues to strengthen precious metals will have an arduous uphill battle to gain in price.

Greek citizens will now return to the ballot box. Whether Greece will remain within the E.U. is now a completely legitimate question. The bottom line question is "Can the conditions set forth in their bailout agreements can be met?" This contingency I believe at this point to be set in stone, and Greece cannot remain in the E.U. without complete compliance. Yet it is in no position to comply given its internal political pressures. And, if Greece is drummed out of the monetary union, the drachma will be the most feeble currency in the developed world.

I seriously question if Greece has the long term prospects economically to not just live up to the stipulations but to grow their economy properly. My take is that Greece has no real future unless it drags itself into the modern world.
A good model for Greece is Israel, a country similarly without natural resources, somewhat isolated, and formerly struggling to cope in the contemporary global marketplace. Israel is now one of the two or three top economies in the world when one measures diversification.

The euro has been plummeting as the U.S. dollar has been rising against it. The euro is now at a four-month low with European equities under intense pressure. It is quite possible that we will see the common currency continue to fall and could even trade at par with the US dollar sooner than later.

 

 As always, wishing you good trading,

Executive Producer
The Gold Forecast

gary@thegoldforecast.com 

On Skype Gary.S. Wagner

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MARKET FORECAST

Gary S. Wagner

 

Gold & Silver:  both gold and silver continue their downward slide, trading to new multi-month lows. Gold is very close to testing it's recent intraday low of 1520 per ounce. It is my current belief that we are in the final "C" wave of this multi-month correction. Depending on how the market reacts, if and when gold retests those lows will give us an indication and insights as to whether this final corrective wave is about to conclude or if gold is headed to an even lower price. I think there is a decent likelihood that 1520 as a level of support will hold. However, until we have technical confirmation of a bottom, we will base our assumptions on a market trading lower. Silver also continues to drop. Today's video will give specific targets for short players to look to cover.


 

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Before deciding to participate in Gold or Silver investments, you should carefully  consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Most importantly with futures activity do not invest money you cannot afford to lose.There is considerable exposure to risk in any futures exchange transaction, including, but not limited to, leverage,and market volatility that may substantially affect the price of  gold and /or silver. Moreover, the leveraged nature of futures trading means that any market movement will have an equally proportional effect on your deposited funds. This may work against you as well as for you.