04/27/2012      



Greetings!,

 

An interesting report surfaced on Bloomberg news today. They reported that central banks expanded their bullion reserves and hedge funds increased bets that gold will experience a rally for the first time in three weeks.

 

Mexico, Russia and Turkey added about 44.8 metric tons to their reserves in March. This purchase amounts to approximately $2.4 billion worth of gold. International Monetary Fund data shows fund managers raised their net long positions by 2-1/2%. Although there is no certainty where the future price of gold will go it appears that the large players believe gold will be higher.

 

This week's press conference and the following Q&A session shed light on the current stance of the Federal Reserve. Asked specifically if QE3 was still on the table Fed chairman Bernanke replied that it is a tool that remains at the ready to be used if necessary. This statement has been considered bullish for the precious metals markets by many analysts.

 

Renewed concerns about the sovereign debt crisis in the E.U. - including a credit downgrading of Spain to a BBB rating - also fueled speculation that gold's pricing would begin to move back up.

 

The best answer as to where we will see gold prices in the upcoming week can be seen as this long corrective fourth wave concludes. I anticipate a price rally above 1700, followed by one final leg down. This activity will culminate with a thrust above the resistance created in the triangle correction signaling a return to an impulse phase and a push to substantially higher prices in gold. 

 

As always, wish you good trading,

Executive Producer
The Gold Forecast

gary@thegoldforecast.com 

On Skype Gary.S. Wagner

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Proper Action

 GOLD & SILVER :

 

 Gold: Maintain long in gold @ 1650 avg Stop below 1623

 

Silver:  Aggressive traders bought yesterday.

Conservative traders flat until next week.

 



MARKET FORECAST

Gary S. Wagner

 

Gold & Silver: On a technical basis this week's trading activity can be best characterized with the following three words: support, support support.  We saw gold able to hold a critical level right around the support trend line drawn from the two lows found at waves one and three. Although gold traded a little below that point it was able to maintain that price point on a closing basis throughout the week. Silver was able to hold its 61% retracement and bounce off of those lows. Today's video will look in detail at price targets in silver and outline an underlying strategy for the upcoming moves in gold. 

 

Gold Chart

 


 

   

  

SILVER Chart:

 

 

 

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Before deciding to participate in Gold or Silver investments, you should carefully  consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Most importantly with futures activity do not invest money you cannot afford to lose.There is considerable exposure to risk in any futures exchange transaction, including, but not limited to, leverage,and market volatility that may substantially affect the price of  gold and /or silver. Moreover, the leveraged nature of futures trading means that any market movement will have an equally proportional effect on your deposited funds. This may work against you as well as for you.