04/05/2012   Daily Outlook



Greetings!,

 

On the heels of the precious metals markets trading to an 11-week low, today both gold and silver showed signs of improvement and moderate gains on the day. Those who believe the fundamentals in the precious metals markets are still bullish have their work cut out for them at this instance, but stand by for change. 

 

New reports that emerged recently have reignited concern over the European Union's sovereign debt crisis. Italian as well as Spanish bond yields have surged. This news would pressure the euro and support the U.S. dollar, pushing it to higher prices.

 

Which brings us to our current quandary. Will we see gold prices reflect safe haven demand if we see the European Union debt crisis escalate, or will it react as a risk on risk on investment? (In other words a risk asset that in fact becomes a bearish influence on gold prices.)

 

Over the last six months we have seen gold react in both manners - sometimes reflecting a risk asset investment, and other times reflecting a safe haven investment. This oscillation in the perception of gold alternating between a safe haven and risk asset has been a recent addition to the factors that must be analyzed. It certainly keeps analysts like me on their toes.

 

As always, wishing you good trading,

Executive Producer
The Gold Forecast

gary@thegoldforecast.com 

On Skype Gary.S. Wagner

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Proper Action

 GOLD & SILVER :

 

 Gold: Maintain long in gold @  1650 avg stop below* 1623**  

 

Silver:  Maintain  Long @ 32.91 and 32.02 (32.46 avg) Stop below* 30.52

 


*How far below? I suggest at minimum 1% to 1.5 % 
 gold = $16 below      silver .32 below   

 

 

 



MARKET FORECAST

Gary S. Wagner

 

Gold & Silver: on a technical basis today's gains were a good indication that we might in fact be forming a base and strong levels of support in both gold and silver. Silver had a more stellar showing on the day, not only benefiting from any outside activity in gold, but as an industrial metal reacting positively to perceptions of increased demand from increased manufacturing. Indeed, the next few days will be critical as we see if the bearish faction will be able to take the price down more, or if the bulls can regain control of the market. 

 

Gold Chart

 


  

 SILVER Chart:

 

 

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Before deciding to participate in Gold or Silver investments, you should carefully  consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Most importantly with futures activity do not invest money you cannot afford to lose.There is considerable exposure to risk in any futures exchange transaction, including, but not limited to, leverage,and market volatility that may substantially affect the price of  gold and /or silver. Moreover, the leveraged nature of futures trading means that any market movement will have an equally proportional effect on your deposited funds. This may work against you as well as for you.