03/22/2012


Daily Outlook



Greetings!,   

Analysis of the precious metals markets is continuously fraught with questions. Just when one set of conditions evaporates, another set come barreling in. Some questions refuse to fade away.


Unlike the United States' Federal Reserve System, the European Union has never had the mechanisms in place to funnel capital to their debt ridden member nations. The mechanisms they created recently alleviated panic as they bailed out Greece, allowing that country to make good on a credit payment. Kudos must be given to the European central banks and its leadership as they put into place a bailout package, which for the time being has securely placed a finger in the dike.

Italy, Ireland and Portugal, according to some reports, face a debt crisis similar to Greece's. Will the E.U. be able to provide bailout packages and infusions of massive amounts of liquidity as these countries face potential defaults on their current loans?

Can those sovereign nations increase their GDP's to match their unsustainable spending? Will they be able to restructure their budgets to align spending with their annual GDP's? Can the E.U. properly enforce a sustainable budget policy tied to annual GDP's?  

Now that the gold market has factored in a more stable European Union, what will happen if sovereign nations begin to require huge monetary bailouts?

It is because of largely unanswerable such as these that we turn to technical analysis to see us through.

 

As always, wishing you good trading,

  

Executive Producer
The Gold Forecast

gary@thegoldforecast.com 

On Skype Gary.S. Wagner

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Proper Action

 GOLD & SILVER :

 

 Gold: Maintain long in gold @ 1658 and 1642 (1650 ave) stop below 1623

 

Silver:  We will issue a buy signal if we see follow through from  

this morning's bounce off the lows

 



MARKET FORECAST

Gary S. Wagner

 

Gold & Silver: yesterday I mentioned that new evidence has caused me to question whether or not we had seen a conclusion of a corrective wave two. This morning's trading activity, specifically in gold, as it retested lows on an intraday basis at 1628, confirmed my new assumption. Trading substantially lower on the day when gold retested 1628, it not only found support but bounced aggressively off that point as it is currently trading almost $20 from the bottom. 

 

This information prompted a buy trigger, which we issued this morning so that we could dollar cost average our long gold position thereby harvesting a better price. As you can see from the charts below, although very short term (60 min.), it is clear that gold quickly found support and bounced higher. As of this writing silver still lags behind.

  

 

Gold Chart

 


  

 SILVER Chart:

 

 

Copyright (c) 2009 - 2012 Wagner Financial Group 

 
Before deciding to participate in Gold or Silver investments, you should carefully  consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Most importantly with futures activity do not invest money you cannot afford to lose.There is considerable exposure to risk in any futures exchange transaction, including, but not limited to, leverage,and market volatility that may substantially affect the price of  gold and /or silver. Moreover, the leveraged nature of futures trading means that any market movement will have an equally proportional effect on your deposited funds. This may work against you as well as for you.