02/29/2012


Daily Outlook



Greetings!,

 

When the U.S. Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke speaks, the world listens, and listens closely. Precious metals dropped to their lowest prices in many weeks, with the steepest one-day drop witnessed this year. In today's testimony to the U.S. Congress, the Federal Reserve chairman remarked about signs of improvement in the U.S. economy and pointedly made no mention of any new additional rounds of quantitative easing. 

 

As continued and aggressive monetary easing had been factored into the market, traders began to unwind long positions, taking profits under this new assumption.

 

On a technical basis today's video will discuss my current belief that we have completed the first of three upside impulse waves, wave one. We will also look at potential pivots or targets for the beginning of March, 2012.

 

There can be no doubt that today's sell-off in the precious metals markets took many traders and analysts, including myself, by surprise. I was once told that a technician is much like a passenger of a large ship watching the waves on the back of the ship. The technician tries to forecast the direction of the boat based upon the wake that he sees. However, only the captain knows when he will turn the wheel. Captain Bernanke certainly turned the wheel hard today.

 

As always wishing you good trading,

  

Executive Producer
The Gold Forecast

gary@thegoldforecast.com 

On Skype Gary.S. Wagner

       Today's video 

  

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Proper Action

 

GOLD: On January 2 of this year we entered a long gold trade at 1580. Trailing stops along the way, our last stop placement was below 1706. Today that stop was hit and even as I write this letter, gold trades below $1700 per ounce. We will maintain a neutral position and let the dust settle as we analyze and strategize our next scenario

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SILVER: Maintain Long @28.10. Our current stop sits just below 32.80. With the current pressure on gold it might be wise to move your stop to 33.80

 



MARKET FORECAST

Gary S. Wagner

 

Gold & Silver: As I'm sure you're well aware of over the last few days I have gone back and forth as I looked at gold having trouble breaking through resistance that we clearly identified some time ago. Although I'm still deciphering and trying to make sense of this deep sell off today, my initial technical analysis is as follows: we have probably completed our first intermediate wave one, which was capped with a truncated minor fifth wave. If that is the case we will most likely see a bounce to the upside (a minor B wave) followed by a final corrective minor C wave.

 

Gold Daily Chart

 


  

 SILVER Daily Chart:

 

 

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Before deciding to participate in Gold or Silver investments, you should carefully  consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Most importantly with futures activity do not invest money you cannot afford to lose.There is considerable exposure to risk in any futures exchange transaction, including, but not limited to, leverage,and market volatility that may substantially affect the price of  gold and /or silver. Moreover, the leveraged nature of futures trading means that any market movement will have an equally proportional effect on your deposited funds. This may work against you as well as for you.