02/17/2012 The Weekend Report


Greetings! 



Don't throw away your drachmas just yet  
    
 
All eyes have been on the European Union's quest for a bailout package to keep Greece financially afloat. The euro group will meet on Monday to seal the deal on proposed loans needed to keep Greece from defaulting on looming scheduled debt payments. While most expect this meeting to result in a positive resolution, don't throw away your drachmas just yet.

We had a most interesting week in the precious metals markets. On a technical basis the markets were flat and choppy. However, they held up very well in light of the U.S. dollar strengthening this week.

With the U.S. equities markets having a substantial rally today, and solid economic data coming from this week's U.S. reports, the current perception assumes that the Federal Reserve will continue its monetary policy course, which includes rounds of quantitative easing. This assumption has been supportive of the precious metals all week.

Strong physical demand is still coming from Asia and India. Particularly noteworthy was a Bloomberg article today that quoted billionaire Paulson telling investors "It's time to buy the metals as protection against inflation caused by government spending ." There can be no doubt that Paulson has already initiated and purchased his long gold positions. I find it interesting that both Paulson and George Soros were publicly on record as bearish on gold while they were slowly accumulating their net long gold positions. Go figure.  

 

Wishing you as always, good trading, 
 
 
Executive Producer
The Gold Forecast 

gary@thegoldforecast.com 

On Skype Gary.S. Wagner 


 

 

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Commentary

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Proper Action

 

 

GOLD: Maintain Long @1580. Our current stop sits just below 1706. My recommendation is to maintain your current position and stop placement.

 

SILVER: Maintain Long @28.10. Our current stop sits just below 32.80.






MARKET FORECAST

Gary S. Wagner

   

GOLD AND SILVER: On a technical basis, I believe the precious metals - particularly gold - have been forming a base twice tested but not breached. Over the last couple of weeks of trading gold has tested 1700, on both occasions finding tremendous support and rallying back off those lows. There can be no doubt we are forming a base, yet the devil's advocate in me warns that we have strong resistance at 1741, and then again at 1760.

With a special meeting in Europe on Monday, and a three day weekend here in the U.S.A., anything can happen. All in all though, I still believe we should see higher prices next week in the precious metals markets.  
      


 Weekly Gold Chart

   

 


Weekly Silver Chart 

 

 

 

Copyright (c) 2011 Wagner Financial Group 

 
Before deciding to participate in Gold or Silver investments, you should carefully  consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Most importantly with futures activity do not invest money you cannot afford to lose.There is considerable exposure to risk in any futures exchange transaction, including, but not limited to, leverage,and market volatility that may substantially affect the price of  gold and /or silver. Moreover, the leveraged nature of futures trading means that any market movement will have an equally proportional effect on your deposited funds. This may work against you as well as for you.