11/11/2011    


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"But I don't want to go among mad people," said Alice. "Oh, you can't help that," said the cat. "We're all mad here." (Lewis Carroll)
 
 
This week saw volatility become the watchword as Greece seemed to resolve its issues, although not fully, and saw Italy waltz on the stage carrying its trunk full of debt issues. The struggles of the two E.U. countries served to focus attention on ALL the problems in the Eurozone, and inevitably brought the spotlight onto the United States.

This all inevitably drove gold higher, with silver tagging along during the week. The consequences of the sovereign debt crisis in the United States and the European Union, if left unchecked, will at some point become a certainty, a certainty that cannot be overridden.

There is no such thing as a free lunch. At some point the meal must be paid for, the bill must be satisfied. Countries that continue to embrace an operating methodology that deepens their national debt because it is the path of least resistance have now set in motion repercussions that cannot be overridden. We live in a global economy, and unlike depressions of the past, the effects of an economic meltdown in Europe or the US will be felt worldwide.
"But I don't want to go among mad people," said Alice. "Oh, you can't help that," said the cat. "We're all mad here. " Lewis Carroll
Are we all mad here? Look at the facts. But the real question is what it will take to correct this problem. The answer I fear is too simple for the leaders and economists to figure out: spend within your means.

The only solution is to drastically change budgetary policies with one unbreakable rule: revenues must meet or exceed expenses. As countries continue to squander their national wealth they will make a global melt down a certainty. Repeating the actions and mistakes of the past and believing that they will create different results is delusional. One by one the nations of the EU are beginning to fall and top political leaders being forced to resign as the economic cataclysm ripens.

  

 As always, wishing you good trading.  

 

 gary@thegoldforecast.com 

On Skype gary.s.wagner 

 

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News:
We are in the final stages of completing our new web site and member portal. I am very excited about the new members portal.

We are working with Adobe and have added their Adobe Connect platform.
 
This will be our meeting point where we can learn trade and create a community of traders, who desire the ability to interact and exchanges idea globally in this virtual room. I have left it open this weekend so members can log in and take a look.
 
 
Also iPhone and iPad users .. We will be adding video content created for you. I will finsh the link later today, please test this video if you plan on using this format

Proper Action

Gold & Silver:

 

11.11 Long @ 1770 Stop @ 1735 

 

Long Gold @ 1739 out  @ 1768 on 11.10

 

Maintain Long Silver @ 34.29 stop @ 32.90

 



MARKET FORECAST

Gary S. Wagner


  

 GOLD: 

The chart above contains my short term forecast. We should see the price of gold move back above $1800 and should trade as high as 1830 per ounce before succumbing to any concrete resistance. Given my extreme bullish bias I strongly believe is more likely that we will see $1800 gold rather than gold breaking back below 1700. I am faced with two possible scenarios. The first scenario, which is the opinion that I am currently leaning towards, asserts that a major ABC correction has concluded and we have just entered a new major impulse phase. Typically a major ABC count would take more time to unfold. It is the percentage gold gave back during this last sell-off

 

 If gold prices continue lower it would invalidate this assumption. It would supply evidence that would forecast one more corrective wave before completing this phase. Because of my bullish bias I am leaning towards the view that we have completed this correction.

 If that is the case gold has just begun an impulse phase, and $2000 gold is very close at hand. 

 

 

SILVER:  Silver made back much of its losses, but still fell short of my line in the sand 35 dollars per ounce. That being said I think that the momentum of gold will carry silver higher. The first target is 38 dollars after tackling $ 35. Upside target is forty dollar per ounce.

 

Copyright (c) 2011 Wagner Financial Group 

 
Before deciding to participate in Gold or Silver investments, you should carefully  consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Most importantly with futures activity do not invest money you cannot afford to lose.There is considerable exposure to risk in any futures exchange transaction, including, but not limited to, leverage,and market volatility that may substantially affect the price of  gold and /or silver. Moreover, the leveraged nature of futures trading means that any market movement will have an equally proportional effect on your deposited funds. This may work against you as well as for you.