SDSU Rural Life Census Data Center
Newsletter October 2012
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Dr. Mike McCurry, SD State Demographer & Director of SDSU's Rural Life Census Data Center
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Quick Links
Link to Last Month's Newsletter
and link to 2nd online training if available?
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ARDA releases U.S. Religion Census: Religious Congregations and Membership Study, 2010 (County File)
It's been over 75 years since the Census abandoned collection of data about religion - which has made updating some of Kumlien's work from 1935 somewhere between difficult and impossible. ARDA (The Association of Religious Data Archives) has released the data, at a county level, at http://www.thearda.com/Archive/ChCounty.asp . For anyone who wants to know what changes in religion have occurred in his or her county since 1906, the data is available. Kumlien asked the question, "Is South Dakota Over-churched?" in the mid 1930's. Now, with internet access, any of us can look at the data and decide whether our state is overchurched or not.
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Mental Health in SD
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The Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration has released "Mental Health United States 2010". At 376 pages, if you don't like it, there's plenty to dislike at http://www.samhsa.gov/data/2k12/MHUS2010/MHUS-2010.pdf.
On the other hand, current state level data on mental health may be useful, or interest some of our readers - one of the upbeat things is that South Dakota was tied with Hawaii for the lowest amount of serious mental illness - just 3.4%.
Other charts provide information about funding levels, levels of depression, suicide, etc. One of the advantages of the computer is that we can add books that were once both obscure and expensive to a personal electronic library at no extra cost.
-Mike McCurry, State Demographer
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South Dakota Grandparents
Raising Grandchildren
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With the National Grandparents Day marked on September 9, 2012, here are few quick facts about grandparents living with their grandchildren under 18 years in South Dakota from the latest American Community Survey, five year estimates (2006-2010).
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Data Center Offers
Collaborate Training Sessions
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The Rural Life and Census Data Center is pleased to be able to offer the following training sessions, open to all interested parties.
October 9
Confidence Levels and Confidence Intervals - How Trustworthy is the Data? by Mike McCurry
November 13
South Dakota's Population Projections by Eric Guthrie
December 11
Components of Population Change by Eric Guthrie and Mike McCurry.
The session will begin at 3:00 pm on the designated dates and can be accessed at:
https://sas.elluminate.com/m.jnlp?sid=2007004&password=M.5D9C5B7B3ADEC30581E3E81091794C
If you wish to sit in on the session(s) in person, come to Scobey Hall room 213 on the SDSU campus at the designated time. Sessions will be archived with the links to be published in future newsletters.
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Job Gains and Losses
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The National Employment Law Project (NELP) released an 8-page brief on job-loss and job-gain trends after the recession (http://www.nelp.org/page/-/Job_Creation/LowWageRecovery2012.pdf?nocdn=1).
Their analysis was of data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey (http://www.bls.gov/cps/), but an 8 page synopsis takes a lot less time to read.
Instead of listening to politicians explain why you're better off, or worse off, than you were four years ago, a glance at their charts does a nice job of showing which workers have lost the most, and which have seen the biggest comebacks. It's interesting to note that, while federal jobs increased during the recession (the Census?), government jobs at all levels, federal, state and local have decreased during the recovery.
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South Dakota
State Data Center Affiliates
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Black Hills Council of Local Governments
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Central South Dakota Enhancement District
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First District Association of Local Governments |
Governor's Office of Economic Development |
Karl E Mundt Library |
Labor Market Information Center |
Northeast Council of Governments |
Northern State University |
Planning & Development District III |
Rural Life Census Data Center |
Sioux Falls Planning Department |
South Dakota Department of Health
South Dakota Kids Count
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South Dakota State Data Center |
South Dakota State Library |
Southeast Council of Governments |
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Health Insurance Coverage
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The Census has released "The Small Area Health Insurance Estimates (http://www.census.gov/did/www/sahie/data/interactive/)
and it's one of the most user-friendly formats I've seen.
We can pick any year from 2005 to 2010, and find data for any county. In South Dakota, in 2010, 13.9 percent of the population had no health insurance - but the interactive map and tables go beyond that.
Union County, in the southeast corner, had the lowest percentage (8%) uninsured, while Harding, in the northwest corner had the highest (26.3%). It's not a directional thing - Union County's high median income seems to correlate with a higher percentage of jobs with health insurance, while Harding County's high Gini index (income inequality) seems to correlate with fewer.
It goes beyond this, though, in showing the prevalence of health insurance by age, sex, and percentage of poverty in four categories. I do still have my standard complaint - it breaks down the report by race, too - but in DC, they think in black and white terms . . . so if I need reservation data, I have to pick it out at county levels.
Mike McCurry, Ph.D.
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Annual Avera and South Dakota State University Research Symposium
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Mary Kills-A-Hundred and Mary and Prekchya Singh presented their poster on "Hutterite Fertility and Female Longevity" at the 4th Annual Avera and South Dakota State University Research Symposium held at Callaway's Event center, Sioux Falls on September 12th, 2012.

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State Transportation Statistics
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The Bureau of Transportation Statistics has released "State Transportation Statistics: 2011." This 148 page document (http://www.bts.gov/publications/state_transportation_statistics/state_transportation_statistics_2011/pdf/entire.pdf) is loaded with some rather intriguing data - for example, it shows that South Dakota has 5,877 bridges; then it shows 1,217 as structurally deficient, and 218 obsolete. Numbers that might bother a driver until you look at Pennsylvania, with 24.9 percent of its bridges structurally deficient, and 16.8 percent obsolete. A friend (retired railroader) was trying to explain how rail transportation of oil was environmentally superior to pipelines - but this provides the documentation to check his opinions. If you want a real surprise, go to F-11 to see what gas prices, without taxes were, in 2008, 2009 and 2010.
Mike McCurry, Ph.D.
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SD Life Expectancy
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An article in the Daily Yonder got me looking at the University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. That sort of title kind of screams out that there may be some useful data here (the Census isn't the sole source of useful data).
One set included life expectancy tables for each county in the US - something we're happy to see, since it's always nice to find someone else has done calculations that let you check your figures. It was particularly pleasant to see that the University of Washington agreed with our calculations on Shannon and Jackson Counties - the Pine Ridge Reservation.
Last May, a New York Times columnist described life expectancy on the Pine Ridge as ". . . somewhere around the high 40s - shorter than the average for sub-Saharan Africa." It's pleasant to see UW confirming that life expectancy on the Pine Ridge is over 70.
You can access the report at http://www.pophealthmetrics.com/content/9/1/16. The title "Falling behind: life expectancy in US counties from 2000 to 2007 in an international context" may not sound so upbeat - but in South Dakota, whether on or off reservation, life expectancy increased.
To access more of their articles, the website is http://www.healthmetricsandevaluation.org/publications/research-articles.
Mike McCurry, Ph.D.
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Living Wage Calculator
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We need to thank Dr. Amy Glasmeier of MIT's Geography department for developing a Living Wage Calculator (http://livingwage.mit.edu/) that provides information at the county level. (All right, her grad student, Eric Schultheis, did the work). In 2009, Kristi Corcoran developed a small book of this data for South Dakota (EC 930, Wages Required for Self-Sufficiency in South Dakota). With the updated data available online, we won't need to update that book.
It was interesting to examine her results - the living wage minimum for a single adult in Brookings County was $6.90/hour, while in Shannon County (frequently mentioned as the poorest county in the US, and always a contender for that title) the living wage minimum was $7.29.
Another webpage she has developed is the Community Economic Development Toolbox at http://economictoolbox.mit.edu/. This also breaks down data to county level - I was pleased to see charts that supported our study of job growth in Indian Country - where the Employment Growth Index between 1990 and 2003 in Buffalo, Dewey, Shannon, Dewey, and Todd Counties exceeded South Dakota's Employment Growth Index. I won't go into the counties that were below the state average - you can click the link and check things out on your own.
-Mike McCurry, Ph.D.
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Public Employment & Payroll
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The Census released the 2011 Annual Survey of Public Employment & Payroll on August 23. While federal data is not yet available, summaries of state and local government employment are - for South Dakota, the state government summary is at http://www2.census.gov/govs/apes/11stsd.txt , while the local government summary is at http://www2.census.gov/govs/apes/11locsd.txt.
A few numbers I found interesting is that South Dakota employs 1,456 instructional employees in higher education, and 2,683 other employees, for a total of 4,139 higher ed employees. Local governments employ 250 instructional employees and 217 other employees in higher education. On the other hand, local government employs 13,462 elementary and secondary instructional employees and 3,922 other employees. It's an interesting document if you want to see what's happening in our state and in the nation.
-Mike McCurry, Ph.D.
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Death in the USA |
The National Center for Health Statistics has released "Death in the United States, 2010" ( http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/databriefs/db99.pdf ). That may be a title that only a demographer will like - but it's filled with good news - between 2009 and 2010, the average life expectancy went up by a tenth of a year. Infant mortality has dropped to the lowest level in US history. South Dakota's age-adjusted death rate is lower than the US average, and, looking at the statistics, you'd have a hard time convincing me that I should move to Mississippi. It's only 8 pages, and well worth the read.
-Mike McCurry, Ph.D.
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Characteristics of Recent Grads
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In August, the National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics released "Characteristics of Recent Science and Engineering Graduates: 2008" (http://www.nsf.gov/statistics/nsf12328/pdf/nsf12328.pdf). The report includes information related to bachelors and masters degrees, in both the hard and soft sciences, as well as engineering, and includes the numbers (national) of full-time students in each discipline.
It can be a little confusing - the numbers look a bit large until you check the definition of recent graduate and learn that group graduated between July 1, 2005 and June 30, 2007 - so there are two graduating classes in the statistics. It's just one of those documents that is improved by going to the back and reading the appendix and definitions first.
There were some unchanging facts - chemical and electrical engineers had the highest median salaries for new graduates. Chemical Engineers are the most likely to be employed in science and engineering. As a nation, we're graduating a lot of folks in psychology - 184,000 of the 1.128 million science and engineering graduates held a bachelors degree in psychology - over 16 percent. Fifteen thousand held jobs in a science and engineering profession. Biology was second in total new graduates - 147,000 (13 percent)., with 29,000 employed in science and engineering.
Health occupations were at the end of the list - but there were 194,000 health graduates (17 percent), with 136,000 working in science and engineering professions.
This 165 page report might be a good reference for anyone who deals with college-bound students.
-Mike McCurry, PhD.
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More Claim Lower Class Status
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PEW Research Center released a report titled simply "A Third of Americans Now Say They Are in the Lower Classes" (http://www.pewsocialtrends.org/files/2012/09/the-lower-classes-final.pdf ). That's the sort of title that makes me wonder what else I can say. That's up from from a quarter in 2008, and demographically, more young adults are self-classifying as lower class than before - but click on the link, and read the whole article -its only 16 pages, so even if you don't like it, it's not like its long enough to get angry about.
-Mike McCurry, Ph.D.
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The Cost of Education
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The National Center for Education Statistics has released "Postsecondary Institutions and Price of Attendance in 2011-12, Degrees and Other Awards Conferred: 2010-11, and 12-Month Enrollment: 2010-11 First Look (Provisional Data)" (http://nces.ed.gov/pubs2012/2012289rev.pdf ).
This may be more interesting to those of us working in the Postsecondary business, or to people who have kids either in colleges or going there soon. The cost data made me feel pleased to be in South Dakota's more affordable system - on the other hand, I was surprised to see that almost ten percent of the nation's population was enrolled in postsecondary education during 2010-2011. About 57½ percent of the student body was female. As always, for more data, click the link and download the report.
-Mike McCurry, Ph.D.
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Mike on Population Studies
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"Demography is everyone's science, and I want every South Dakotan
to have a chance learn demography."
Last month, I started the demography story with fertility and fecundity. This month, we'll move from being born into a society to getting out of a specific population.
There are only two ways to leave a population - migration and death. Some people will only leave a population once - at its simplest, the death rate is the same for each of us: 100%. But we're all time travelers, moving through the world at a rate of one minute per minute. Migration describes movement in the three dimensions we usually notice. Death and age measures our membership in the fourth dimension - how long a population keeps its members.
Probably one of the greatest things about being an American demographer is the Census. It's a constitutionally mandated count of people and where they are. I can infer births in the Census - but death is a bit more difficult. Now we have state agencies taking care of vital statistics - in an earlier age, we had cemeteries and family bibles.
For most of humanity's time, life expectancy was short - Weeks estimates between 20 and 30 years, explaining that "about two-thirds of babies survived to their first birthday, and only about one-half were still alive at age 5". He estimates life expectancy in the Roman Era at 22 (Weeks, 2008, p148). Plague, pestilence and famine left high mortality - at all ages.
A dozen years back, Gladwell's book "The Tipping Point" explained that Paul Revere was more significant than his fellow rider William Dawes because Revere was a "connector." From a demographer's perspective, Dawes died at 44, with two sons and a daughter, while Revere outlived two wives, and died at 83, with a half-dozen surviving children. Paul had 40 more years to connect. The length of life makes a difference - both at the individual and societal level.
European history suggests that life expectancy increased to more than 30 years during the middle ages due to better nutrition - and then, lost about a third of the population between 1346 and 1350 to Black Death (Weeks, p149). With European diseases coming to the Americas with folks like Columbus, Cortez, and DeSoto, life expectancy for Native Americans plummeted. On the other hand, with corn and potatoes introduction to Europe, nutrition improved, and the result was more Europeans - a surplus who migrated to the Americas. Ironically, three more outbreaks of Black Death occurred in Spain between 1596 and 1685 - resulting in most of American history being written in English.
Increased life expectancy usually correlated with industrialization - but it's not a direct result. Public health made the first difference - clean water, toilets, sewerage systems, rodent-resistant storage. By 1850, life expectancy (male) was passing 40 years in England - and it went up to 45 in 1900. It's interesting to recall that in 1832, Congress appropriated $1,200 toward vaccinating the Plains tribes against smallpox - though the story of an army physician, leading a pair of cowpox-infected dairy cows across the plains, and explaining vaccination to a Lakota Oyate might make a heck of a movie: "Let's see if I have this right? You want to stick needles into the pus-filled sores on that cow, then stab them into me and my children, and you claim it will prevent smallpox? I don't think so."
If the 19th Century was the century of public health, the 20th Century was the century of medical marvels. Vaccines flourished, and epidemics diminished. The longer life spans then were cut short by chronic diseases - and techniques were developed to hold back the chronic diseases - heart failure, cancer, etc. Between 1950 and now, US life expectancy went from about 72 for women to about 80.
So the death rate remains constant at one death per person. In reality, we're concerned with the years of life - longevity. This table may show part of the importance:
Life Expectancy (female)
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Percentage of Deaths less than 5 years-old
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Percentage of Deaths age 65 and over
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Number of Births Required for Zero Population Growth
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20
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53%
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18%
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6.1
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30
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39%
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17%
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4.2
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40
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27%
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29%
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3.3
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69
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9%
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74%
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2.1
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80
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<1%
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87%
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2.1
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(extracted from Weeks, p149)
Time travel isn't impossible - we just don't notice it because we're all traveling at the same rate of speed. I hope the journey is long and pleasant for each of you.
Mike McCurry, Ph.D.
State Demographer/Assistant Professor
Department of Sociology & Rural Studies
South Dakota State University
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We hope you enjoy this issue of the Rural Life Census Data Center newsletter. If you have any news tips or items that you would like to see included in a future newsletter, let us know at: 605-688-4899 or email: michael.mccurry@sdstate.edu
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