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  August 2010  
IN THIS ISSUE
NEWS IS GOOD FOR COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE
CAUTIOUS OPTIMISM MAKING A COMEBACK
FEAR AND LOATHING IN (REAL ESTATE) INVESTING
CURRENT OPPORTUNITIES - AUGUST
FORECLOSURE RADAR REPORT-JUNE
HOME PRICES CONTINUE GAINS OVER 2009
JUST LEASED!
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There is a lot of talk about the state of the economic "recovery" - growth appears to be slowing; are we in for a "double dip?" Is the recession on Main Street truly over? Is deflation a real threat?  Whatever happened to the inflation worries? And the list goes on.  Aside from trying to figure out what information to trust (a whole other topic), I can tell you what I know today...

The GOOD...the telephone rings a lot more today than it did a year ago; leasing deals are getting done; SBA lending is available; Cash is available (stockpiling) on the sidelines and buyers are looking for (and finding) deals; pricing has mostly adjusted (good for buyers, bad for sellers); the panic of 4Q08 and 1Q09 has abated; the residential market appears to have stabilized and defaults are declining...

The BAD...the cash is sitting on the sidelines with extreme caution until the future picture is a little more certain; many commercial properties on the market today are now short sales and REO; there is still a wave of refinancing required from 2001-2005 acquisitions that is virtually impossible to obtain today;  unemployment remains stubbornly high, with little sign of quickly abating...

The UGLY...credit is not available on Main Street.  A recent conversation with a banker verified that they are making NO new credit extensions; though not in need of capital, they are selling high quality, performing loans to raise capital and improve their balance sheet further rather than earn a return; for a recent refinancing effort, I produced no less than 50 pdf files with 1,000s of pages of documentation; I know of 2 very successful mortgage loan brokers that recently left Bank of America because B of A's underwriting prevented doing deals...

I'm not sure what lies ahead but it is clear to me that we have a ways to go to return to any sort of normal economic environment.  
-Rick Longpre

News is good for commercial real estate:  CoStar says office markets have bottomed
by Paula C. Squires, CoStar

In a mid-year report, CoStar Group says that fundamentals in U.S. office markets appear to have stabilized and are headed toward recovery.

In its State of the U.S. Office Market: Mid-Year 2010 Review & Forecast, Bethesda based CoStar, a real estate research firm, confirmed positive net absorption in many markets (the net change in occupied space over a given period of time). Plus, it said office vacancy rates appear to have peaked and are no longer rising.

"As we anticipated two quarters ago, it now appears we have hit the bottom of the market in terms of vacancy and that is critical here in this business," said Andrew Florance, CoStar's CEO. Florance, though, acknowledged conflicting reports on the market's performance, with some sources still reporting an uptick in vacancy rates.  "I saw something the other day saying that vacancy rates were still going up and were expected to continue to do so for another year or more. I think that is just wrong," Florance said in statements issued with the report. Read more

Cautious Optimism Making a Comebackup graph
By Bob Howard, GlobeSt.com

LOS ANGELES-Cautious optimism, that hard-working phrase that is always much in evidence at the start of a recovery, is making a comeback. The gloomy mood that permeated the commercial real estate industry has given way to some more positive outlooks, albeit with realistic reservations, according to a quarterly survey by Lee & Associates' Investment Services Group and the Allen Matkins/UCLA Anderson Forecast.

Lee's survey asked thousands of its clients nationwide eight key questions facing private real estate investors and found that, among other things, "Most think we are starting to see commercial real estate strengthen." The Allen Matkins/UCLA Anderson Forecast, covering seven major markets throughout California, found "a distant glow of light at the end of the tunnel."
Read more...
graph CBRE

Fear and Loathing in (Real Estate) Investing
-Arthur Jones, CBRE

There is little debate within the real estate community-or outside of it for that matter-that the past two years have presented one of the most challenging environments ever encountered by investors. Since the end of 2007, fallout from the financial crisis has caused severe damage to the economy, and property fundamentals across all asset types. As a consequence, property values during the correction declined in excess of 40%, leading to everincreasing levels of distress, as underwater property owners that had executed high-leverage deals at the market's peak found they were unable to meet their debt service obligations. 
Download full article
Grant HouseLatitude, Inc. Current Featured Opportunities

Latitude is pleased to highlight some beautiful listings!
 
1227 De La Vina - Grant House Office for LEASE more info
7 W. Figueroa Street - Downtown office for SUBLEASE more info
325 Chapala Street - Downtown office for SUBLEASE more info

335 N. Milpas - Retail/Office/Industrial for SUBLEASE more info
597 Avenue of the Flags - Retail/Office in Buellton - more info 
28 E. Canon Perdido - Downtown Office for Sublease/Share - more info

For Complete Listings
click here
                                                                                                                                       

foreclosure4Foreclosure Radar Report - June 2010
-Source:  wwwforeclosureradar.com

Foreclosure activity was mixed in June after being down across the board in May. Filing of new foreclosure notices rose, while foreclosure sales dropped. The number of foreclosure sales that were cancelled hit an all time record in June, but the increase was primarily driven by just one lender JP Morgan Chase, and it's acquisitions including Washington Mutual. Although the number of properties purchased by 3rd parties at auction dropped significantly, they purchased nearly the same percentage of the total properties sold, and at a better discount to market value then we've seen in months.

Download June 2010 Foreclosure Radar report here

newsMore News! 

Home Prices Continue Gains Over 2009
Source:  CoreLogic

U.S. home prices, including distressed sales, increased by 2.9 percent compared to the same month last year, according to CoreLogic in its monthly index.

May was the fourth straight month prices showed a year-over-year increase.  Read more.....


Where Home Prices are Strongest Now 
Source:  SmartMoney.com
Read article.....


Go to www.latitude.net for more news every day!
El Paseo

Just Leased
 

We are pleased to announce a recent Latitude deal.  Complexions Urban Retreat, a local spa, has just signed a five year lease at 38 S. La Cumbre Road.  The spa offers an array of body and skin therapies.  The location is near Highway 101 and State Street and is in walking distance to 5 Points Center and La Cumbre Plaza. Rick Longpre of Latitude, Inc. represented both the landlord and the new tenant in this lease transaction.  
Latitude, Inc. is a full service commercial real estate company, headquartered in Santa Barbara, on California's Central Coast. While its brokerage and development services are focused on California's Central Coast, Latitude's management and investment expertise have expanded its geographical reach with experience throughout the Western United States.