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Current Course 2Q10

There
is a lot of talk about the state of the economic "recovery" - growth
appears to be slowing; are we in for a "double dip?" Is the recession
on Main Street truly over? Is deflation a real threat? Whatever happened
to the inflation worries? And the list goes on. Aside from trying to
figure out what information to trust (a whole other topic), I can tell you what
I know today...
The
GOOD...the telephone rings a lot more today than it did a year ago; leasing
deals are getting done; SBA lending is available; Cash is available
(stockpiling) on the sidelines and buyers are looking for (and finding) deals;
pricing has mostly adjusted (good for buyers, bad for sellers); the panic of
4Q08 and 1Q09 has abated; the residential market appears to have stabilized and
defaults are declining...
The
BAD...the cash is sitting on the sidelines with extreme caution until
the future picture is a little more certain; many commercial properties on the
market today are now short sales and REO; there is still a wave of refinancing
required from 2001-2005 acquisitions that is virtually impossible to obtain
today; unemployment remains stubbornly high, with little sign of quickly
abating...
The
UGLY...credit is not available on Main Street. A recent
conversation with a banker verified that they are making NO new
credit extensions; though not in need of capital, they are selling high
quality, performing loans to raise capital and improve their balance sheet
further rather than earn a return; for a recent refinancing effort, I produced
no less than 50 pdf files with 1,000s of pages of documentation; I know of 2
very successful mortgage loan brokers that recently left Bank of America
because B of A's underwriting prevented doing deals...
I'm
not sure what lies ahead but it is clear to me that we have a ways to go to
return to any sort of normal economic environment. -Rick
Longpre
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News is good for commercial real estate: CoStar says office markets have bottomed by
Paula C. Squires, CoStar
In a mid-year report, CoStar Group says that fundamentals in U.S. office
markets appear to have stabilized and are headed toward recovery. In its State of the U.S. Office Market: Mid-Year 2010 Review &
Forecast, Bethesda based CoStar, a real estate research firm, confirmed
positive net absorption in many markets (the net change in occupied
space over a given period of time). Plus, it said office vacancy rates
appear to have peaked and are no longer rising. "As we
anticipated two quarters ago, it now appears we have hit the bottom of
the market in terms of vacancy and that is critical here in this
business," said Andrew Florance, CoStar's CEO. Florance, though,
acknowledged conflicting reports on the market's performance, with some
sources still reporting an uptick in vacancy rates. "I saw something
the other day saying that vacancy rates were still going up and were
expected to continue to do so for another year or more. I think that is
just wrong," Florance said in statements issued with the report. Read more |
Cautious Optimism Making a Comeback By Bob Howard, GlobeSt.com
LOS ANGELES-Cautious optimism, that hard-working phrase that is always
much in evidence at the start of a recovery, is making a comeback. The
gloomy mood that permeated the commercial real estate industry has
given way to some more positive outlooks, albeit with realistic
reservations, according to a quarterly survey by Lee & Associates'
Investment Services Group and the Allen Matkins/UCLA Anderson Forecast.
Lee's
survey asked thousands of its clients nationwide eight key questions
facing private real estate investors and found that, among other
things, "Most think we are starting to see commercial real estate
strengthen." The Allen Matkins/UCLA Anderson Forecast, covering seven
major markets throughout California, found "a distant glow of light at
the end of the tunnel." Read more...
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Fear and Loathing in (Real Estate) Investing -Arthur Jones, CBRE
There is little debate within the real estate community-or outside of it
for that matter-that the past two years have presented one of the most
challenging environments ever encountered by investors. Since the end of
2007, fallout from the financial crisis has caused severe damage to the
economy, and property fundamentals across all asset types. As a
consequence, property values during the correction declined in excess of
40%, leading to everincreasing levels of distress, as underwater
property owners that had executed high-leverage deals at the market's
peak found they were unable to meet their debt service obligations.
Download full article
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Latitude, Inc. Current Featured Opportunities
Latitude is pleased to highlight some beautiful listings! 1227 De La Vina - Grant House Office for LEASE more info 7 W. Figueroa Street - Downtown office for SUBLEASE more info 325 Chapala Street - Downtown office for SUBLEASE more info335 N. Milpas - Retail/Office/Industrial for SUBLEASE more info
597 Avenue of the Flags - Retail/Office in Buellton - more info
28 E. Canon Perdido - Downtown Office for Sublease/Share - more info
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Foreclosure Radar Report - June 2010 -Source: wwwforeclosureradar.com
Foreclosure activity was mixed in June after being down across the board
in May. Filing of new foreclosure notices rose, while foreclosure sales
dropped. The number of foreclosure sales that were cancelled hit an all
time record in June, but the increase was primarily driven by just one
lender JP Morgan Chase, and it's acquisitions including Washington
Mutual. Although the number of properties purchased by 3rd parties at
auction dropped significantly, they purchased nearly the same percentage
of the total properties sold, and at a better discount to market value
then we've seen in months. Download June 2010 Foreclosure Radar report here
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More News!
Home Prices Continue Gains Over 2009 Source: CoreLogic
U.S. home prices, including distressed sales, increased by 2.9 percent
compared to the same month last year, according to CoreLogic in its
monthly index.
May was the fourth straight month prices showed a year-over-year increase. Read more.....
Where Home Prices are Strongest Now Source: SmartMoney.com Read article.....
Go to www.latitude.net for more news every day!
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 Just Leased
We are pleased to announce a recent Latitude deal. Complexions Urban Retreat, a local spa, has just signed a five year lease at 38 S. La Cumbre Road. The spa offers an array of body and skin therapies. The
location is near Highway 101 and State Street and is in walking distance to 5
Points Center and La Cumbre Plaza. Rick Longpre of Latitude, Inc. represented both the landlord and the new tenant in this lease transaction.
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Latitude, Inc. is a full service commercial real estate company, headquartered in Santa Barbara, on California's Central Coast. While its brokerage and development services are focused on California's Central Coast, Latitude's management and investment expertise have expanded its geographical reach with experience throughout the Western United States.
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