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  second quarter 2009  
IN THIS ISSUE
SO. CA HOME PRICES RISE SLIGHTLY IN MAY
US HOME PRICES DOWN IN APRIL: CASE-SHILLER
MORE BUYERS LURED TO FORECLOSED PROPERTIES
Latitude, Inc. CURRENT OPPORTUNITIES
LOCAL BANKS FACE BIG LOSSES
IF WE JUST HAD A DATA POINT
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logos combinedSometimes we forget that what we see and hear in the mainstream media is not necessarily the complete "reality."  While we are clearly experiencing severe economic dislocations and the residential and commercial real estate sectors have a long way to go to recover, all is not "doom and gloom."  The residential market is showing some positive signs:  credit markets are active, interest rates are at historic lows, residential sales are increasing and the price decline is slowing, affordability is at historic highs and investors are very active in acquisitions.   Many observers feel we are at, or very near, the "bottom" of the residential cycle.  The unknown is what the "upside" will look like; few expect a rapid appreciation in prices and most foresee a slower recovery.  The commercial sector likely has further to go to recovery mode as long as the credit markets continue to contract and restructure.  Before the commercial investment world recovers, a return to "normalcy" in the credit markets will be required.  In the meantime, SBA financing is available at great rates and owner-users are searching for values not seen in years.  Lease rates have dropped in all sectors, lowering the value of commercial real estate but helping the occupancy costs of the tenants.  We expect these difficult times to continue throughout this year and likely into the next (or 2011), providing both current pain as well as opportunities for the future.
-Rick Longpre
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Southern California Home Prices Rise Slightly in May

The median price was $249,000, which is up less than 1% from $247,000 in April. It was the first month-to-month gain since July 2007.
By Peter Y. Hong, LA Times

Southern California's median home price rose slightly in May for the first time in nearly two years. But the increase was more reflective of a change in the types of homes sold than an end to falling values, a real estate research firm reported Wednesday.
The $249,000 median price in May was up less than 1% from April's $247,000 figure, and marked the fifth-straight month the median has held at roughly $250,000, according to San Diego-based MDA DataQuick.  Read more...
 
graph downU.S. Home Prices Down in April: Case-Shiller 
But improvement hints at some stabilization
 
By Ruth Mantell, MarketWatch
June 30, 2009

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- U.S. home prices fell in April, but overall annual declines are slowing, according to the national Case-Shiller home price index released Tuesday.

On a month-to-month basis, prices in 20 selected cities fell 0.6% in April, with declines in 11 cities, compared with a decline of 2.2% in March. The overall annual pace of decline has slowed, said David Blitzer, chairman of the index committee for Standard & Poor's, which compiles the Case-Shiller index.  Read more...

More Buyers Lured to Foreclosed Properties
 
Many households say that foreclosures are a bargain and are increasingly eager to buy them, according to a Harris Interactive survey conducted for Trulia.com and RealtyTrac.

The survey found that 55 percent of U.S. adults are at least somewhat likely to consider purchasing a foreclosed home, up from 47 percent who answered the same question in November 2008.

But buyers aren't naïve about the hassles involved with purchasing foreclosed property. About 85 percent said that they could identify negative aspects, up from 80 percent who felt the same way last November.
 
71 percent were concerned about hidden costs;
46 percent believe the process is risky;
31 percent fear the property will lose value.

Buyers of foreclosures also expect hefty discounts - at least 25 percent.

Source: RealtyTrac.com and Trulia.com (05/20/2009)
Grant HouseLatitude, Inc. Current Featured Opportunities
 
Latitude is pleased to announce 
some beautiful new listings! 
 
 
401 E. Haley for SALE more info
5464 Carpinteria Avenue Office for Sublease more info
123 El Paseo Office for Sublease more info
 
1227 De La Vina Office Space for Lease more info 
28 E. Canon Perdido - Downtown offices for Lease  more info
Condo/PUD for SALE - Goleta 5205 Calle Morelia more info
 
For Complete Listings click here 
 
                                                                                                                                        
 
moneyLocal Banks Face Big Losses 
wsj.com
 
Commercial real-estate loans could generate losses of $100 billion by the end of next year at more than 900 small and midsize U.S. banks if the economy's woes deepen, according to an analysis by The Wall Street Journal.Such loans, which fund the construction of shopping malls, office buildings, apartment complexes and hotels, could account for nearly half the losses at the banks analyzed by the Journal, consuming capital that is an essential cushion against bad loans. Read more...

 
If We Just Had a Data Point
-Brian Halpern, Senior Vice President
Debt & Equity Finance
CBRE Capital Markets, Los Angeles Office
 
As highlighted in last month's newsletter, the Federal Government has created numerous vehicles to help stimulate liquidity specifically in the Commercial Real Estate (CRE) market. Attempts to strengthen balance sheets and move loans, both good and bad, from one institution to another, look to be proceeding. This month the Federal Reserve, in a further attempt to stimulate the CRE debt market, added commercial mortgage backed securities into its Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility (TALF) for five-year maturities. This is expected to better suit the market and looks to have the potential to allow banking institutions to create new CRE loan programs. AAA rated CMBS spreads have withdrawn sharply in connection with the Fed announcement. Lenders including GE and Deutsche Bank have even begun marketing TALF based loan program specifics. The dreaded bank stress test results have been publicized without inciting further panic. While the short and long term benefits of Government capital programs to-date can be debated, what all players across the CRE industry ultimately want are simply data points. Sales comps, rent comps and loan comps - the market is hungry for a basis to begin again.
Read more..
New "LoopNet Pulse Poll" Results:  Commercial Real Estate Market Participants See Recovery Beginning in 2010
  
We recently asked LoopNet members to tell us when they expected commercial real estate sale market to bounce back. More than 1,500 LoopNet members responded to the poll... click here for the results
 
Latitude, inc. is a full service commercial real estate company, headquartered in Santa Barbara, on California's Central Coast. While its brokerage and development services are focused on California's Central Coast, Latitude's management and investment expertise have expanded its geographical reach with experience throughout the Western United States.