South-Central Haiti Devastated
South-central Haiti is completely devastated in the
aftermath of a magnitude 7.0 earthquake that shook
the region at 1653 Jan. 12. Large portions of the
capital city Port-au-Prince, Petionville, Carrefour and
the southern tourist city of Jacmel have been
completely destroyed. Similar damage is likely in the
approximately two dozen smaller towns in the area,
many of which remain completely cut off due to
blocked roads and downed communication lines. The
destruction is catastrophic - entire neighborhoods
have been reduced to rubble, nearly all basic
infrastructure has collapsed and tens of thousands of
people are dead, missing or wounded.
Nearly 48 hours after the initial quake, the scene on
the ground remains chaotic, with no authority fully able
to take charge. Both the Haitian government and the
UN mission stationed in Haiti have suffered heavy
losses, including the collapse of the UN headquarters
and the death of UN mission chief Hedi Annabi. The
US Embassy is operational, with five diesel
generators providing power to the mission. About
3,000 UN troops have been organized and are
patrolling the streets, but these troops are stretched
thin across the massive disaster zone. Relief workers
have begun arriving, but are limited in their
effectiveness by the inaccessibility of many areas, the
lack of communication capabilities and the lack
operational facilities in which to aid victims.
Aftershocks are continuing in Haiti, increasing the risk
of additional building collapses and panic among
Haitian citizens. Hundreds of buildings have already
crumbled or suffered heavy damage, including
schools, hospitals, businesses, hotels, aid centers,
diplomatic facilities, government buildings and local
jails. The Presidential Palace, World Bank offices in
Petionville and the French Embassy have been
completely destroyed. Hotel Montana, Christopher
Hotel and Castel Haiti have also been devastated;
reports indicate that the Karibe Hotel in Petionville and
Hotel Oloffson in Port-au-Prince sustained only limited
damage and are currently housing refugees. The lack
of secure infrastructure has left most quake victims
without shelter.
Humanitarian Concerns
A final casualty toll is not likely for weeks, as workers
continuing searching through the rubble. Prime
Minister Jean-Max Bellerive said the final toll could
reach well over 100,000 people, while President Rene
Preval said 50,000 people could be dead. Meanwhile,
international aid groups predict that up to 3 million
people will likely need assistance. Estimates vary
widely, with a lack of data to back them up at this time.
Regardless of the total death toll, the situation in Port-
au-Prince and surrounding areas is clearly a
humanitarian disaster.
Search and rescue operations are ongoing, but
remain hindered by a lack of electricity that is
preventing nighttime searches; clogged roadways and
a lack of machinery to clear heavy debris are causing
additional delays. Though international relief teams
are bringing heavy lifting gear, it will take time to move
them to where they are needed. Most roads are
clogged with debris and the bodies of victims, as well
as survivors who have no place to go or who are afraid
to go inside until the tremors cease. The jammed
roads will hinder both rescue operations and the
transport of crucial aid.
A lack of communications in Haiti has made it difficult
to ascertain the condition of medical facilities in Port-
au-Prince and the surrounding area. Reports vary
widely, with some claiming that all of the hospitals
have collapsed and others maintaining that at least
two medical facilities remain operational - the Hopital
de La Communaute Haitienne in Freres and the
Argentine Mobile Medical Hospital. Attempts to contact
medical facilities have been unsuccessful.
International aid group Medecins Sans Frontieres
(MSF) has confirmed that all three of its facilities in
Port-au-Prince are non-operational. MSF workers have
set up tent hospitals and are treating the wounded as
they can, but lack the capability to fully tend to severe
trauma or surgery cases. A lack of relief workers is
also hindering medical care, as many doctors and
nurses were likely killed or injured in the quake. A
number of countries are sending supplies to set up
field hospitals and ships capable of providing medical
assistance, but it will likely take several days for these
resources to arrive and become fully established.
The sheer number of people requiring assistance is
also exhausting current aid capabilities. Food, water
and basic medical supplies are in short supply. There
is no way to transport many of the injured to the
makeshift medical facilities that are struggling to
operate. The lack of aid workers translates into slow
treatment for those who manage to make it to these
facilities; injured are often forced to wait for hours or
days. Those who are able are trying to cross the
border to the Dominican Republic (DR), but this is not
an option for most of the wounded.
The high number of dead is another concern.
Currently, thousands of bodies are laid in the streets,
inside and outside of hospitals or at any other
convenient location. Haiti has nowhere near the
number of body bags needed to contain the dead and
no designated site to bury them at this time. The
presence of dead bodies, in addition to a lack of clean
water, has prompted rising fears about the increased
spread of infectious diseases.
Medical relief efforts will be further hampered by the
fact that government agencies and international
organizations charged with helping coordinate
assistance operations in Haiti have also been
shattered by the quake. Many arriving aid groups will
struggle to set up operations in the city, with no clear
organization or communication capable between the
various groups. The poor infrastructure may make it
necessary for some aid groups to set up camp in
neighboring DR, likely further slowing relief efforts.
iJET has confirmed that as of 1400 Jan. 14, vehicular
traffic is
moving across the DR-Haiti border into Haiti; however,
it has not been confirmed if traffic is moving out of
Haiti into the DR. Those enter Haiti via road might
need to seek alternative routes back to the DR.
Infrastructure
Much of Haiti's infrastructure in the Port-au-Prince
region has been severely damaged or destroyed.
Toussaint Louverture International Airport (PAP)
suffered damage to a control tower, but runways are
clear for flights. A US military contingent, in
cooperation with some UN forces, has secured the
airport facilities. US military and aviation personnel
have since repaired the damaged tower, allowing
round-the-clock airport capabilities. The US Embassy
is evacuating US citizens through PAP to Santo
Domingo, DR, and points in the US. Embassy officials
are requesting US citizens do not go to the airport, but
wait until they are contacted. US citizens wishing to be
evacuated may email acspap@state.gov. US officials
will require those being evacuated to present a valid
passport and sign a promissory note for the cost of
the evacuation flight.
Flight capabilities remain limited by a lack of fuel,
cargo-handling capabilities and runway space for
arriving aircraft. The Haitian government was forced to
temporarily suspend flights on Jan. 14 because ramp
space at PAP was full and there was no available fuel.
A lack of airport workers has also made it difficult for
planes to unload supplies on arrival. Flights may be
forced to divert to the DR and transport supplies and
personnel by land. Meanwhile, all commercial flights
have been canceled until further notice. Most airlines
remain unsure as to when normal flight operations
will resume. Helicopter appears to be the sure means
of transport in and out of Haiti at this time. However,
landing space is extremely limited. Those traveling by
helicopter should also be aware that they may be
mobbed upon landing by victims thinking they are aid
workers.
Though the airport is now operational, the main road
between PAP and Port-au-Prince remains clogged
with debris. UN workers are moving to clear the
debris, but streets remain clogged across the region,
hindering the transport of goods and aid workers.
Regional roads to Jacmel and other smaller towns
that are also likely in dire need of supplies also
remain blocked, isolating these areas from outside
assistance in the short-term. Further, Haiti is
beginning to experience gasoline shortages,
necessitating aid workers to transport such supplies
with them.
Port-au-Prince's main seaport was heavily damaged
in the quake, making assistance via sea extremely
difficult. Most docks are closed and the port's only
operational cargo crane is now submerged.
Authorities are also concerned about possible debris
in the water. While at least one ship is set to arrive
and serve as a floating hospital, it remains unclear
where the ship will anchor and how the injured will be
transported to and from the facility, as roadways to the
port are currently impassible.
Nearly all of Port-au-Prince's basic utility services are
down in the quake aftermath. Municipal water
supplies have been cut off to Port-au-Prince, leaving
the victims, medical workers and aid personnel
without clean water. Electricity is not working in most
areas, hampering efforts to rescue and treat the
injured. Communications remain spotty throughout
the region. Initially after the quake, nearly all land,
cellular and satellite phone lines failed, though some
had reportedly been restored as of Jan. 14. Social
networking and text messaging services largely
remain functional and have provided an alternate form
of communication for those who have access.
Security Concerns
Port-au-Prince was riddled with high crime prior to the
quake and the security situation is likely to worsen
significantly in the coming days. Reports of looting
emerged almost immediately after the quake, with
individuals targeting grocery stores, markets and
hotels. Extensive damage to local jails and prisons
freed a number of convicted criminals, possibly
providing leadership to makeshift criminal groups that
are likely to form among victims desperate to obtain
supplies. Riots, looting and robberies are particularly
likely when aid supplies begin arriving. Individuals
seeking aid cargo have targeted distribution centers
and caravans in the past. Attacks against these
targets may prompt some aid organizations to base
their operations out of the DR.
Some security personnel remain active in Haiti but are
not able to meet all of the demands. Approximately
3,000 UN peacekeepers have been deployed, but are
facing a variety of tasks, including rescuing individuals
and clearing blocked streets. The few available
security personnel will likely move to contain any
mass unrest or major attacks against aid groups, but
will probably ignore small cases of looting due to a
lack of resources.
The security situation has been made worse by the
destruction of numerous symbols of authority - such
as police stations, the UN headquarters and
government buildings - and the death of individuals
who may have been able to inspire some calm,
including UN chief Hedi Annabi and the archbishop of
Port-au-Prince, Monsignor Serge Miot. Rescue
operations are still underway at the UN headquarters,
and it remains unclear how many troops have been
killed, wounded or are still missing. Haitian police
were stretched thin before the disaster and likely also
faced casualties, minimizing their ability to respond.
Long-Term Concerns
The earthquake is likely to have significant long-term
implications for Haiti. Violent unrest and crime may
increase significantly in the wake of the quake.
Business operations are not likely to fully resume in
the area for months, if not years. Necessary
infrastructure will likely be repaired in the short-term to
essential sites, but infrastructure will likely remain
crippled in many of the more impoverished areas. The
quake will also have significant implications in the
political sphere, coming as it did ahead of legislative
elections scheduled for February. iJET will explore
these topics more fully in the February issue of its
Monthly Intelligence Forecast.
iJET resources are on the ground in Haiti and the
Dominican Republic. Please call 877-606-IJET (4538)
or 443-716-2419 for assistance if you do not currently
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