Celebrating 15 Years in Business
Issue No. 5January 2011

We are in an era of historical low mortgage rates with levels not seen in decades. In combination with four years of home value declines, homes are more affordable than we have seen in years.

 

In mid-2007, about the time the subprime mortgage market was beginning to implode and throw our country into a recession, the average rate on a conventional 30-year fixed rate mortgage was close to 7%. This past fall, the average rate on the same mortgage kept hitting new lows. Now it's trending around the 4.875% level.

 

The reasons for the real estate market to get stronger in 2011:

  • Homes are more affordable than they have been in a generation due to low rates and lower housing prices.
  • The economy is improving and jobs are being created, unlike the previous three years. As the economy improves, household formulation will rise as well.
  • While credit standards are tight, we have probably reached the height of the credit cycle and as real estate recovers banks will be more anxious to lend. Along the same lines, as rates have crept up, refinances are down and that means banks will be competing for a smaller market share of home loans.
  • The population is growing. We are now over 300 million. These people need to live somewhere. Even those who are foreclosed upon will need to live somewhere--and not necessarily in an apartment. It is a great time to buy a home!

Bill Holmes

President

NMLS License #162051

What the Mortgage Bankers Association Predicts for 2011  

 

The number of applications for home purchases is expected to become a bigger part of the market in 2011 as home prices stabilize, predicts the Mortgage Bankers Association. Refinancing has mostly dominated in recent months as home owners looked to lock-in low rates, but experts predict refinancing to slow as home purchase shoppers dominate. Real estate analysts predict the other following trends in the home loan market for 2011:

  • Rates on the rise. The Mortgage Bankers Association predicts rates to rise slightly in 2011 and hover around 5%. They expect rates to increase to about 6% in 2012.
  • Jumbo loans become more attractive. Jumbo loans (loans over $417,000 in our housing market) are expected to pick up pace in the next few months. Jumbo loans often have higher rates than conforming loans. However, with rates on jumbo loans dropping, experts predict a hike in refinancing and purchase applications for high-end housing.
  • All-cash purchases. All-cash purchases represented about a quarter of all existing home purchases in the last four months of 2010, according to Lawrence Yun, chief economist of the National Association of REALTORS®. He expects all-cash purchases to continue to represent a big part of the real estate landscape in 2011.
  • Slow and complex loan process. The time between application and closing can take as much as 60 days and that's not expected to get any faster, experts say. Lenders often recommend borrowers lock in a loan 60, 75, or 90 days to help ensure the loan process will be completed within that lock-in period. The industry's new levels of documentation and verification that is now required is causing lengthy delays in the loan process, experts say. Source: MSNBC
Numbers Don't Lie

 

START OVER - 1.53 million Americans filed for personal bankruptcy (either Chapter 7, 11 or 13) in calendar year 2010, the 4th consecutive year of an increasing national total. (Source: American Bankruptcy Institute)


MORE THAN A MILLION - 1,046,762 homes were seized by lenders in calendar year 2010 as a result of foreclosure, an average of 2,868 per day. There are 75 million homeowners in the USA, 24 million of which do not have any mortgage debt on their homes. (Source: RealtyTrac, Census Bureau)


DEBT - 50% of the 75 million homeowners in the USA either have an outstanding mortgage balance on their primary residence that is less than 50% of their home's current fair market value (e.g., mortgage debt of less than $100,000 on a $200,000 home) or they have no outstanding mortgage debt at all. (Source: Census Bureau)

 

Since late 2006

387

major U.S. lending operations have "imploded

 

Where Have They Gone 

Source: American Banker  

 

Many appraisers have left the field due to retirement, a slow real estate market, lower fees and new regulations; and companies have slowed recruitment. Unfortunately, lenders fret that fewer appraisers will lead to higher costs, delays and deterioration of appraisal quality as the market rebounds. 
Credit Corner 

Source: MyFico.com & BankRate.com 

 

New Credit


Number of recently opened accounts, and proportion of accounts that are recently opened, by type of account
Number of recent credit inquiries
Time since recent account opening(s), by type of account
Time since credit inquiry(s)
Re-establishment of positive credit history following past payment problems


Types of Credit Used


Number of (presence, prevalence, and recent information on) various types of accounts (credit cards, retail accounts, installment loans, mortgage, consumer finances accounts, etc.)


In our next issue we will provide a brief summary and a few tips to maintain a good credit score.

 

In this issue we will look at the last two categories that influence your credit score: new credit and the types of credit used.  These two categories comprise 20% of your credit profile.
 
Ann Arbor Mortgage Company
2200 Green Road, Suite E
Ann Arbor, MI 48105
734.669.5880
 
Company ID: 129386
In This Issue
What the Mortgage Bankers Association Predicts for 2011
Numbers Don't Lie
Where Have They Gone?
Credit Corner
Did you Know?
NAR Says...
Mortgage Rate Update
Raving Fans
Did you Know?

 

72% of the market have purchase opportunities at RENTAL PRICES.
 
Source: TBWS Daily

NAR Says... 


In its latest real estate and economic forecast, the National Association of Realtors anticipates that sales of existing homes, after falling 4.8% in 2010, will rise 7.9% this year, to 5.3 million, and another 4.5% in 2012, to 5.53 million.


Lawrence Yun, NAR's chief economist, said in a statement, "Modest gains in the labor market and the improving economy are creating a more favorable backdrop for buyers, allowing them to take advantage of excellent housing affordability conditions. Mortgage rates should rise only modestly in the months ahead, so we'll continue to see a favorable environment for buyers with good credit."

Mortgage Rate Update

Good economic news pushed mortgage rates higher this week, according to the latest weekly survey from government mortgage financier Freddie Mac.
 
The popular 30-year fixed mortgage climbed to 4.80% from 4.74% during the week ending January 27, but is still slightly below the 4.98% average seen this time last year.
 
The 15-year fixed averaged 4.09%, up from 4.05% last week, but still below the 4.39% seen a year ago.
 
The interest rates above are good for conforming loan amounts at 80% loan-to-value; pricing adjustments may increase or lower the rate ultimately received, and mortgage points may also be required.
 
Jumbo loans continue to price a half percentage point or more higher than conforming mortgages.


Our goal is that each customer and client becomes a RAVING FAN, someone who is so pleased with the experience they have had with Ann Arbor Mortgage Company, that they naturally and enthusiastically refer family, friends, and associates to us anytime the topic of home financing arises.

I have worked with Pete Stegler twice now -- for my first ever mortgage and now for a refinancing. Pete is the perfect person for a new home buyer. I had NO idea what I was doing and in many ways, didn't want to get involved with the details. Pete walked me through every step so clearly, explaining exactly what I needed to know. He is absolutely great at his job. I recommend him to everyone I know, and wouldn't use anyone else!

Beth C.

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Hi Bill
 
Once again a great pleasure working with you and your team.
 

Your knowledge and professionalism have been exemplary, and you and your staff have been a pleasure in all correspondence.

Not only have you been able to beat other quotes but have guided and advised throughout the whole affair making the whole process particularly painless and stress-free.
 
I have indeed been 'singing your praises' and have passed your details onto several people who are looking to refinance, and will continue to recommend the services of Ann Arbor Mortgage Company to those who don't know better!
 
I hope you have a great and prosperous new year!
 
Kind regards
Andrew N.