.id community monthly newsletter

January 2012  

In This Issue
Migration - focus on SA
Census Countdown
NZ Spotlight - forecasting
Inside .id
Population growth slowing
Tips and Tricks - forecast .id mapping
Buckminster Fuller and the Dymaxion
Quick Link
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Greetings!

 

Welcome to 2012 - the year of the Census results!

A whole new chapter in the narrative of Australian society will be revealed this year. Pretty well the entire country has filled in the Census about who we are, where we live, where we work, how we live and what we do. There is a response rate of over 95% and the data is made available to the public for free! The Australian Bureau of Statistics does an awesome job of collecting, validating and disseminating the data.

Converting data into information

And when it is released later this year, our challenge is to convert all the data into information from which to build the knowledge to tell the stories.


Analysis of this data will reveal knowledge about national trends in births, migration, changing workplace, transport and housing trends, cultural change and age structure characteristics. (If you haven't already, check out Glenn's predictions for the 2011 Census results in his blog here).

Personally I'm most interested in what the data will reveal in the next chapter of the narrative of our local government areas, towns and suburbs - the stuff revealed at the 'local community level'.

Stay tuned-in to our vast on-line resources for Local Government - profile.id, atlas.id and economy.id because these will be updated with the latest Census data for 80% of communities throughout Australia.


 

Sincerely,

 

ivan-motley-id

Ivan

 

Focus on Local Government   

Migration in the last five years - focus on South Australia     

 

The next article in our migration series looks at South Australia. Not traditionally a migrant destination, SA is becoming more diverse.

 

South Australia was the nation's 4th most populous state until 1982 when it was overtaken by rapidly growing Western Australia. Nevertheless, SA has shared in Australia's large overseas migration over the last 5 years, adding around 57,000 permanent settler arrivals since the 2006 Census. Where are they coming from?

read more..

 

Census Countdown     

Under pressure - Census 2011 data release dates     

  

Census 2011 was conducted in August last year ... when we can expect to see some results?

 

Now that people are starting to get back to work after the holidays, I thought it would be a good time to provide an update about all things Census. Find out about release dates and when you can expect to see your .id products updated.

 

 

NZ Spotlight     

Forecasting is inevitably controversial...and our work in New Zealand is proving no exception     

  

Forecasting is inevitably controversial because it forces us to quantify assumptions we make about the future. We have to answer questions about the future that can be considered mere opinion.

As we in the forecasting game say, "One thing certain about a forecast is that it will be wrong!"

But there are distinct benefits in undertaking the process of forecasting because it forces us to question our assumptions and better understand our cities in the process.

read more..
 

id office

inside .id  

Conferences and speaking engagements    

 

As recognised leaders in demographic analysis and forecasting, we are often asked to speak at various conferences and events around the country.   

 

Next month, Ivan will be speaking at the LGMA (SA) conference in Adelaide on the 25th February.

The topic Ivan will be discussing is "Move over baby boomers, it's not all about you (I mean us!)". In this presentation, Ivan will look closely at the recent population trends and forecasts, and the implications they will have for local planners. He'll also be expanding on his blog about why forecasting is inevitably controversial

 

Come along and hear him speak - it will be an enlightening day!  

 

You can register for the conference here.  

We'll also have a display booth at the conference, so please come along and say hello..

 

If you can't make it, don't worry. We will be publishing highlights of Ivan's presentation in an upcoming newsletter and on our blog.

 

 

 

A word from our researchers

Population growth slowing but still high      

 

Australia's population grew in the year ended June 2011 to 22,620,600 people, a growth of 320,800 for the year (1.4%).

This is the lowest growth for any year since 2005-06, but it's still relatively high in historical terms.

The growth isn't evenly spread between the states, either. The surprises from this year include Victoria having larger growth than NSW, and the ACT growing faster than Queensland!

read more.. 

 

 

glenn_trainingTips and Tricks   

How to map population change in forecast .id

 

forecast.id is a great tool for understanding how your area's population is changing, and what are the likely future outcomes of demographic trends and housing development.

Many users are unaware that forecast.id contains a comprehensive mapping section, which is a great way of visualising how population is changing within your local government area.

It allows you to pinpoint areas with the greatest change, and target your local government services over the next 20 years.

         

read more..  

 

 
Final word 

Buckminster Fuller - architect, designer, engineer.  Inventor of the geodesic dome, and one of the world's worst cars....

      

Many pages, in print and on the web, have been dedicated to describing the remarkable achievements of the celebrated architect, engineer, designer, author, free-thinker and futurist, Buckminster Fuller.

 

But what will probably interest .id insight readers most is the role he played in influencing modern urban design, and to a much lesser degree, automotive design!

 

read more.. 

 

 

Quick Contact

 

+61 3 9417 2205

NZ Freecall : 0800 955 481

info@id.com.au

 

10 Easey Street, PO Box 1689, Collingwood

Victoria 3066, Australia  

www.id.com.au